ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CLE	39.1%	82%	81.43	68.81	71.83	41.77	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.21
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	35.3%	73%	73.14	70.21	70.86	56.22	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.16
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	34.1%	79%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR22 AB237 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp64°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA9.50 HR/92.00
4	Dane Myers ▸	CIN	SD	34.1%	82%	60.50	73.01	47.97	46.41	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.435 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %5.3% Hard Hit %31.6% Launch Angle19.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up37.0% Blast %11.1% EV50— season HR3 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.53 HR/90.62
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	32.8%	82%	80.15	70.42	70.88	42.46	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA3.98 HR/90.99
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	32.0%	82%	78.75	69.72	25.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA1.46 HR/90.31
7	Masataka Yoshida ▸	BOS	TB	31.4%	73%	66.32	61.11	62.43	56.22	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %63.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up51.5% Blast %27.3% EV50— season HR1 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.16
8	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	30.8%	82%	79.50	73.01	47.95	46.75	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp64°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameSpencer Arrighetti HandR ERA1.94 HR/90.53
9	Amed Rosario ▸	NYY	CLE	30.6%	82%	71.10	41.65	66.68	41.77	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.433 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle13.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up23.7% Blast %11.9% EV50— season HR6 AB96 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.21
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	30.5%	79%	76.01	63.91	78.33	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp64°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA9.50 HR/92.00
11	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	ATH	30.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	73.41	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB164 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.80
12	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	BAL	29.9%	66%	77.62	73.01	77.92	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR13 AB170 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	29.2%	79%	67.52	61.11	96.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB246 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp64°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA9.50 HR/92.00
14	James Wood ▸	WSH	SF	28.7%	82%	80.28	73.01	61.82	38.01	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB249 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.25 HR/90.61
15	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	MIL	28.7%	82%	68.76	66.01	42.06	44.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR12 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA1.57 HR/90.63
16	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CLE	27.6%	82%	67.25	36.75	54.19	41.77	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.21
17	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYY	27.0%	82%	80.33	70.42	43.86	41.77	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp58°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA3.22 HR/90.98
18	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	27.0%	79%	62.87	66.71	66.24	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR11 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.26 HR/91.49
19	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SF	27.0%	82%	75.85	70.91	57.32	38.01	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR14 AB238 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.25 HR/90.61
20	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	ATH	26.9%	82%	75.50	52.64	73.41	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR6 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.80
21	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	SD	26.5%	82%	53.95	54.11	45.48	46.41	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR5 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.53 HR/90.62
22	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	BOS	26.1%	79%	71.61	61.53	59.18	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR1 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.26 HR/91.49
23	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SD	25.3%	82%	77.16	39.55	55.65	46.41	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.53 HR/90.62
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	CIN	23.7%	82%	69.71	63.91	46.10	46.41	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR1 AB238 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp64°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.06 HR/91.18
25	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	BAL	23.5%	66%	73.45	59.01	68.43	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR8 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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