ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	NYM	40.0%	79%	81.43	68.81	80.57	48.06	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR37 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp66°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA3.53 HR/91.49
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	35.3%	82%	80.15	70.42	75.79	53.33	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.17
3	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	WSH	34.0%	82%	79.50	73.01	47.85	60.85	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB467 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp83°F Wind7 mph SSW vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.60 HR/90.47
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	NYM	33.9%	79%	51.89	54.11	77.23	48.06	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp66°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA3.53 HR/91.49
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TB	33.7%	79%	80.04	70.42	90.67	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB522 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.33 HR/91.70
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	32.9%	82%	78.75	69.72	44.62	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB501 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.91 HR/91.07
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	32.3%	69%	74.52	59.01	68.48	45.47	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR26 AB504 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAA	31.9%	79%	80.28	73.01	53.61	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB466 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.74 HR/90.62
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	31.4%	69%	67.51	66.01	75.50	53.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR38 AB571 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	30.8%	79%	80.33	70.42	62.50	52.65	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp71°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameConnor Prielipp HandL ERA5.25 HR/91.17
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TB	30.5%	79%	76.01	63.91	77.26	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB465 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.33 HR/91.70
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAA	30.4%	79%	75.85	70.91	49.55	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.74 HR/90.62
13	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	STL	30.1%	82%	72.67	63.21	66.56	50.66	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.41 HR/90.95
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CIN	30.1%	82%	77.14	61.11	70.70	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR10 AB419 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.66
15	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	29.9%	69%	68.10	63.21	64.25	53.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIA	28.8%	79%	78.54	66.01	52.63	59.96	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.17
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TEX	28.6%	82%	67.64	61.53	67.18	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.61 HR/91.34
18	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TB	28.2%	79%	67.52	61.11	77.97	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.33 HR/91.70
19	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	MIL	27.2%	69%	53.95	54.11	62.22	45.47	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	26.7%	69%	71.51	52.64	66.11	53.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	COL	26.7%	82%	79.48	70.42	85.49	45.80	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp63°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.64
22	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	MIA	26.6%	79%	64.69	63.91	66.86	59.96	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR27 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.17
23	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CWS	26.6%	79%	86.93	52.64	45.03	50.66	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp69°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameSean Newcomb HandL ERA2.71 HR/90.22
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	HOU	26.1%	79%	62.87	66.71	50.81	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB565 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.67 HR/90.90
25	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	25.8%	69%	77.16	39.55	69.57	45.47	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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