ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	HOU	55.0%	80%	81.43	68.81	66.25	60.00	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameSpencer Arrighetti HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.15
2	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	HOU	48.2%	80%	78.94	39.55	66.25	60.00	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR9 AB96 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameSpencer Arrighetti HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.15
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	NYY	48.3%	83%	80.04	70.42	91.89	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR11 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameLuis Gil HandR ERA4.11 HR/92.35
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CLE	44.8%	86%	78.75	69.72	72.46	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB96 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp52°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA6.20 HR/91.82
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	46.4%	86%	80.15	70.42	57.94	55.93	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR8 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.79 HR/91.55
6	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	39.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	83.44	55.93	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR6 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.35
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	43.2%	86%	67.51	66.01	77.16	55.93	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR7 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.35
8	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	DET	43.1%	83%	74.52	59.01	73.13	42.12	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR9 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp58°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.68 HR/91.15
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	KC	44.3%	83%	79.50	73.01	66.25	53.27	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR8 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp74°F Wind14 mph SE vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA1.15 HR/91.15
10	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SEA	40.0%	86%	86.93	52.64	78.67	55.07	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB97 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA2.83 HR/91.57
11	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PHI	44.9%	86%	69.74	70.21	57.94	55.93	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.35
12	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	NYY	38.9%	83%	67.52	61.11	85.88	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR6 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameLuis Gil HandR ERA4.11 HR/92.35
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	NYY	37.0%	83%	76.01	63.91	72.04	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameLuis Gil HandR ERA4.11 HR/92.35
14	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	TEX	43.5%	83%	68.76	66.01	53.78	54.72	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB91 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind16 mph S vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA3.48 HR/90.87
15	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	41.3%	86%	71.51	52.64	75.87	55.93	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR7 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.35
16	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIN	36.0%	86%	62.87	66.71	78.04	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR3 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA5.96 HR/91.75
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	DET	35.9%	83%	77.16	39.55	73.13	42.12	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp58°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.68 HR/91.15
18	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	BAL	38.7%	86%	73.14	70.21	52.45	36.91	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR5 AB92 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp51°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.96 HR/90.72
19	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	36.5%	86%	69.71	63.91	68.50	51.36	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB96 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp70°F Wind16 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA6.97 HR/91.74
20	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	WSH	34.7%	86%	72.67	63.21	64.88	36.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp51°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.38 HR/91.69
21	Ramón Laureano ▸	SD	ARI	36.9%	86%	65.56	57.33	78.88	51.36	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo89.3 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up23.0% Blast %12.3% EV50— season HR4 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp70°F Wind16 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA6.97 HR/91.74
22	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	MIN	33.8%	86%	58.80	48.44	94.52	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR6 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA5.96 HR/91.75
23	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	ATL	32.9%	86%	68.02	41.65	57.94	55.93	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.79 HR/91.55
24	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	SEA	32.7%	86%	77.15	43.75	58.38	55.07	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR3 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA2.83 HR/91.57
25	James Wood ▸	WSH	CWS	34.9%	80%	80.28	73.01	46.25	36.88	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp51°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameBryan Hudson HandL ERA1.54 HR/91.15

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