ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CLE	40.6%	82%	81.43	68.81	81.62	53.69	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp74°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.92 HR/91.20
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	34.7%	79%	73.14	70.21	51.11	56.92	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp78°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.29 HR/90.76
3	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	LAD	33.3%	82%	85.09	73.01	91.67	51.34	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR14 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA5.74 HR/92.49
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	CWS	32.9%	82%	69.74	70.21	76.55	52.79	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB193 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.01
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	32.5%	82%	78.75	69.72	35.38	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.31 HR/91.07
6	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	32.4%	82%	80.15	70.42	58.96	42.96	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA3.05 HR/90.73
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	32.2%	82%	80.04	70.42	56.55	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR22 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.72
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CWS	32.0%	82%	67.51	66.01	92.29	52.79	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB258 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.01
9	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CLE	31.1%	82%	67.25	36.75	63.62	53.69	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp74°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.92 HR/91.20
10	James Wood ▸	WSH	SF	31.1%	82%	80.28	73.01	88.02	42.51	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB253 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA5.49 HR/91.48
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CWS	31.1%	82%	68.10	63.21	90.77	52.79	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR13 AB222 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.01
12	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	31.0%	82%	79.50	73.01	62.12	44.72	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp61°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYY	30.5%	79%	80.33	70.42	52.35	53.69	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp74°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA2.00 HR/91.50
14	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	MIL	30.5%	79%	68.76	66.01	77.83	44.06	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR14 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.73 HR/91.35
15	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SF	29.5%	82%	75.85	70.91	83.57	42.51	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR14 AB242 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA5.49 HR/91.48
16	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	28.3%	82%	76.01	63.91	34.54	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.72
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ARI	27.4%	79%	67.49	66.01	65.83	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB256 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameZac Gallen HandR ERA5.32 HR/91.54
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	27.3%	79%	67.64	61.53	43.82	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR10 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA2.81 HR/90.61
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIN	27.3%	82%	79.48	70.42	61.13	52.84	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB213 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp72°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.56 HR/90.89
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	26.9%	82%	67.52	61.11	52.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.72
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	NYM	26.4%	82%	86.93	52.64	70.08	45.08	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR16 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp62°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA3.63 HR/91.13
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	PIT	26.1%	82%	78.54	66.01	44.63	51.34	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR10 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.83 HR/90.77
23	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SD	26.1%	79%	77.16	39.55	80.30	44.12	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB244 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp60°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameLucas Giolito HandR ERA4.86 HR/91.62
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	25.6%	79%	62.87	66.71	41.74	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR12 AB231 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp78°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA2.28 HR/90.57
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	PIT	23.6%	82%	64.69	63.91	56.28	51.34	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR14 AB198 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.83 HR/90.77

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