ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	COL	45.4%	80%	95.00	70.42	80.00	34.22	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %59.6% Launch Angle20.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB22 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.23 HR/92.08
2	Juan Soto ▸	NYM	SF	45.4%	77%	99.60	70.91	57.92	48.08	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.429 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %18.1% Hard Hit %55.3% Launch Angle12.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp66°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
3	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	MIA	45.3%	80%	100.00	39.55	70.43	38.16	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.460 Exit Velo95.4 mph Barrel %24.7% Hard Hit %58.2% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB24 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp52°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.86 HR/92.57
4	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	ARI	41.0%	80%	76.63	66.01	46.25	59.91	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %53.3% Launch Angle14.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
5	George Springer ▸	TOR	CWS	46.4%	80%	81.81	66.01	57.92	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.404 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.1% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle17.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB26 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp54°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameGrant Taylor HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	43.9%	77%	81.05	66.01	80.00	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.361 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %16.3% Hard Hit %56.3% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA10.80 HR/92.70
7	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	CLE	39.1%	77%	60.16	61.81	60.31	55.02	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %10.4% Hard Hit %44.4% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB24 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp75°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA4.91 HR/91.15
8	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIN	40.4%	80%	67.95	66.71	80.00	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.353 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %52.5% Launch Angle5.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp38°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA6.75 HR/92.25
9	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	PHI	38.5%	80%	56.44	40.74	79.42	34.22	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB24 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp47°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.40 HR/93.60
10	Jo Adell ▸	LAA	SEA	31.3%	80%	76.07	61.81	49.17	51.25	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %17.3% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
11	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	BAL	37.2%	77%	71.67	59.01	70.43	54.81	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %56.6% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp75°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.86 HR/91.93
12	Eugenio Suárez ▸	CIN	TEX	30.8%	80%	55.82	43.12	51.38	56.68	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.320 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle21.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp78°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA3.38 HR/91.15
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	ATL	34.6%	80%	76.25	47.74	79.42	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.372 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %14.5% Hard Hit %49.9% Launch Angle16.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB24 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.80
14	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TEX	32.9%	80%	52.46	43.12	51.38	56.68	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %44.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB24 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp78°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA3.38 HR/91.15
15	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	PIT	33.9%	77%	61.16	54.11	46.25	54.81	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %49.2% Launch Angle9.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Andrew McCutchen ▸	TEX	CIN	29.6%	80%	50.07	54.11	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo89.5 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %42.5% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB14 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA6.75 HR/92.25
17	Zach Neto ▸	LAA	SEA	33.3%	80%	63.70	56.91	49.17	51.25	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.344 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %46.6% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB26 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
18	William Contreras ▸	MIL	KC	30.2%	77%	53.90	56.21	46.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.331 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %6.4% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle7.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.15
19	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	ARI	23.5%	80%	47.37	51.31	46.25	59.91	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.315 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %43.4% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB29 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Christian Yelich ▸	MIL	KC	28.0%	77%	54.41	54.11	46.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %46.4% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB21 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.15
21	Wyatt Langford ▸	TEX	CIN	30.2%	80%	65.99	40.74	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA6.75 HR/92.25
22	Alec Bohm ▸	PHI	COL	26.8%	80%	50.00	56.91	80.00	34.22	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %6.2% Hard Hit %46.4% Launch Angle6.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB21 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.23 HR/92.08
23	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	HOU	28.7%	80%	55.32	43.12	80.00	48.97	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.328 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %11.2% Hard Hit %44.9% Launch Angle16.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB24 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA11.57 HR/93.86
24	Pete Alonso ▸	BAL	PIT	27.5%	77%	88.70	32.55	46.25	54.81	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %18.9% Hard Hit %54.4% Launch Angle15.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	23.6%	80%	53.39	49.21	51.38	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.314 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %12.9% Hard Hit %46.1% Launch Angle16.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA3.38 HR/91.15

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