ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	COL	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	97.91	61.23	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA5.19 HR/91.85
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	COL	46.2%	86%	51.89	54.11	92.42	61.23	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR28 AB465 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA5.19 HR/91.85
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	HOU	51.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	67.97	62.42	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR43 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp85°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameHunter Brown HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.03
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	SD	48.4%	86%	80.28	73.01	76.88	58.51	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB460 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.19
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	37.4%	86%	74.52	59.01	52.42	54.65	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR25 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp97°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.98
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	TB	43.4%	86%	67.51	66.01	75.51	61.71	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.82 HR/91.34
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SD	41.0%	86%	75.85	70.91	72.88	58.51	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.19
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ATH	42.7%	83%	78.75	69.72	40.12	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrady Basso HandL ERA4.32 HR/90.81
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BOS	44.4%	83%	79.50	73.01	49.39	54.21	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB460 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp75°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA3.34 HR/90.81
10	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	PHI	43.8%	86%	80.04	70.42	55.47	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.58 HR/90.69
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	TB	40.0%	86%	68.10	63.21	65.44	61.71	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB526 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.82 HR/91.34
12	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	PIT	41.6%	86%	72.67	63.21	81.61	55.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR30 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.59 HR/91.51
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BAL	43.2%	86%	80.33	70.42	42.69	60.81	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR13 AB445 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp87°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA3.91 HR/90.66
14	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIN	35.1%	83%	79.48	70.42	82.95	56.54	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameZebby Matthews HandR ERA4.69 HR/91.69
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CHC	30.0%	86%	77.14	61.11	52.92	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.38 HR/91.16
16	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	TB	41.0%	86%	71.51	52.64	65.96	61.71	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB482 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.82 HR/91.34
17	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	32.0%	86%	53.95	54.11	47.45	54.65	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp97°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.98
18	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	DET	32.8%	83%	64.66	61.53	47.16	56.54	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR12 AB376 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.52 HR/90.94
19	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	PHI	29.3%	86%	76.01	63.91	38.85	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR18 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.58 HR/90.69
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	31.2%	86%	78.54	66.01	65.58	54.65	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp97°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.43 HR/91.24
21	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	DET	34.6%	83%	51.60	63.91	48.76	56.54	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR18 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.52 HR/90.94
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	WSH	39.1%	86%	69.71	63.91	55.36	58.51	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR20 AB561 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameJackson Kent HandL ERA5.55 HR/90.37
23	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	30.6%	86%	77.16	39.55	54.98	54.65	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB556 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp97°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.98
24	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	KC	39.0%	86%	61.77	66.01	33.70	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB428 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA3.51 HR/90.67
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATL	37.9%	73%	62.87	66.71	62.30	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB553 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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