ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	MIA	47.3%	77%	100.00	39.55	63.17	46.62	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.460 Exit Velo95.4 mph Barrel %24.7% Hard Hit %58.2% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind17 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
2	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ▸	NYY	MIA	39.4%	77%	59.57	56.21	63.17	46.62	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo89.0 mph Barrel %15.0% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB26 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind17 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
3	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	ARI	42.4%	80%	76.63	66.01	46.25	58.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %53.3% Launch Angle14.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	George Springer ▸	TOR	CWS	45.9%	80%	81.81	66.01	49.17	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.404 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.1% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle17.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp49°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameGrant Taylor HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
5	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	PHI	39.3%	80%	56.44	40.74	80.00	41.23	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp57°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA9.00 HR/93.00
6	Jo Adell ▸	LAA	SEA	32.8%	80%	76.07	61.81	46.25	59.63	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %17.3% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp81°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	41.7%	77%	81.05	66.01	49.17	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.361 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %16.3% Hard Hit %56.3% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
8	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIN	39.2%	80%	67.95	66.71	63.75	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.353 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %52.5% Launch Angle5.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp36°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameMick Abel HandR ERA13.50 HR/91.15
9	Cody Bellinger ▸	NYY	MIA	35.2%	77%	42.85	40.74	63.17	46.62	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.327 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.5% Hard Hit %37.9% Launch Angle18.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind17 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	BAL	38.1%	80%	71.67	59.01	63.75	58.53	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %56.6% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp80°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.15
11	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	PIT	36.0%	80%	61.16	54.11	55.88	58.53	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %49.2% Launch Angle9.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarmen Mlodzinski HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.15
12	Zach Neto ▸	LAA	SEA	28.6%	80%	63.70	56.91	46.25	59.63	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.344 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %46.6% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp81°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	SD	31.8%	80%	68.12	63.21	46.25	32.63	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.358 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %13.9% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp46°F Wind15 mph E vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	Tyler Soderstrom ▸	ATH	HOU	32.9%	80%	63.18	54.11	63.75	46.86	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %49.8% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp63°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA13.50 HR/91.15
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	31.0%	80%	61.44	59.01	68.92	61.81	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.350 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %10.4% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp86°F Wind4 mph SSW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA3.60 HR/93.60
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	ATL	33.4%	80%	76.25	47.74	46.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.372 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %14.5% Hard Hit %49.9% Launch Angle16.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB26 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
17	Eugenio Suárez ▸	CIN	TEX	28.1%	86%	55.82	43.12	73.50	44.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.320 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle21.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp59°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA5.74 HR/91.54
18	William Contreras ▸	MIL	KC	30.2%	80%	53.90	56.21	46.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.331 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %6.4% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle7.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp47°F Wind17 mph NW vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.15
19	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TEX	30.0%	86%	52.46	43.12	73.50	44.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %44.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp59°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA5.74 HR/91.54
20	Pete Alonso ▸	BAL	PIT	29.6%	80%	88.70	32.55	55.88	58.53	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %18.9% Hard Hit %54.4% Launch Angle15.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarmen Mlodzinski HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.15
21	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	ARI	24.4%	80%	47.37	51.31	46.25	58.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.315 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %43.4% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Wyatt Langford ▸	TEX	CIN	29.4%	80%	65.99	40.74	68.92	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.80
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	25.5%	80%	53.39	49.21	80.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.314 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %12.9% Hard Hit %46.1% Launch Angle16.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameLuis Morales HandR ERA10.38 HR/96.23
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	BOS	29.9%	80%	75.64	63.91	46.25	33.44	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.370 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %51.8% Launch Angle9.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp46°F Wind15 mph E vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA1.69 HR/91.15
25	Luis García Jr. ▸	WSH	LAD	28.2%	77%	55.54	54.11	49.17	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.339 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %9.0% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15

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