ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	PIT	48.4%	83%	80.15	70.42	84.37	53.33	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR20 AB169 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.62 HR/91.38
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATL	43.9%	86%	73.14	70.21	44.51	60.30	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA1.81 HR/90.49
3	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	SF	37.0%	80%	68.76	66.01	64.39	58.91	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR8 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.46
4	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CHC	45.3%	86%	72.67	63.21	90.90	59.33	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA3.94 HR/92.17
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	44.9%	83%	74.52	59.01	57.83	50.46	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA2.98 HR/90.99
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TEX	42.8%	86%	80.04	70.42	68.45	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR14 AB168 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.62 HR/91.21
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	BAL	46.3%	83%	80.28	73.01	69.67	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR12 AB171 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA5.21 HR/90.71
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	42.0%	86%	78.75	69.72	27.33	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.90 HR/90.58
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BOS	42.0%	83%	67.51	66.01	57.25	60.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB174 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA1.99 HR/90.79
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	PHI	45.0%	83%	85.09	73.01	47.78	53.33	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.11 HR/90.49
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	40.8%	83%	80.33	70.42	83.61	50.46	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA7.63 HR/91.76
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	BAL	38.8%	83%	75.85	70.91	63.33	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA5.21 HR/90.71
13	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	34.5%	83%	79.50	73.01	35.00	50.24	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp69°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.42 HR/90.40
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BOS	34.6%	83%	68.10	63.21	37.25	60.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR8 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA1.99 HR/90.79
15	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	COL	35.6%	86%	61.77	66.01	76.66	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB144 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA4.07 HR/91.93
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	KC	37.8%	83%	86.93	52.64	66.50	55.24	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR13 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp75°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.55 HR/91.26
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	39.2%	86%	67.64	61.53	71.66	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB144 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA4.07 HR/91.93
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BOS	39.3%	83%	71.51	52.64	50.03	60.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR12 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA1.99 HR/90.79
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	34.3%	86%	67.52	61.11	63.62	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR10 AB166 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.62 HR/91.21
20	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	34.8%	83%	77.16	39.55	59.46	50.46	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB172 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA2.98 HR/90.99
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	32.4%	86%	62.87	66.71	46.35	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR6 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind18 mph SW vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.90 HR/90.62
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	33.2%	86%	67.49	66.01	28.20	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB175 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind18 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA1.70 HR/90.57
23	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	TOR	34.5%	80%	79.48	70.42	51.92	47.73	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR8 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp65°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Fluharty HandL ERA5.40 HR/90.60
24	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	WSH	35.6%	86%	50.24	54.11	51.77	61.22	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB188 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.02 HR/90.22
25	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	27.9%	83%	78.54	66.01	32.02	50.24	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA1.66 HR/90.83

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