ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CLE	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	86.29	62.05	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR17 AB204 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.25 HR/91.31
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	SD	52.7%	83%	80.15	70.42	87.41	61.85	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB219 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameLucas Giolito HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.42
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	BAL	45.8%	86%	73.14	70.21	82.00	61.26	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR11 AB203 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA6.84 HR/91.48
4	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	PIT	46.4%	80%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR21 AB225 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA10.38 HR/94.15
5	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CHC	45.8%	86%	68.76	66.01	78.60	57.82	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR11 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.67
6	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	TOR	47.6%	73%	69.74	70.21	59.18	59.29	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	HOU	37.8%	86%	85.09	73.01	56.13	57.86	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR14 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp80°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA2.57 HR/91.07
8	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CLE	47.0%	86%	67.25	36.75	66.11	62.05	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR7 AB194 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.25 HR/91.31
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	TOR	42.7%	73%	67.51	66.01	75.46	59.29	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB242 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ATL	42.0%	86%	78.75	69.72	27.75	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.01 HR/90.81
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYY	36.4%	83%	80.33	70.42	40.66	62.05	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB213 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp84°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarlos Rodón HandL ERA3.32 HR/90.47
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	TOR	38.0%	73%	68.10	63.21	73.12	59.29	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR13 AB213 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	PIT	34.8%	80%	76.01	63.91	79.08	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB204 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA10.38 HR/94.15
14	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	PIT	38.3%	80%	67.52	61.11	99.16	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB231 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA10.38 HR/94.15
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ARI	38.6%	86%	78.54	66.01	80.14	52.60	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR9 AB225 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp101°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA4.82 HR/92.07
16	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	PHI	38.6%	86%	69.71	63.91	33.25	61.85	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR1 AB222 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.27 HR/91.03
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	LAD	36.8%	86%	67.64	61.53	37.78	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR8 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp101°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.87 HR/90.57
18	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	BOS	36.7%	86%	50.24	54.11	84.98	61.26	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR13 AB260 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA5.63 HR/91.61
19	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	SD	34.4%	83%	68.02	41.65	82.61	61.85	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR14 AB213 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameLucas Giolito HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.42
20	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	ARI	33.9%	86%	60.89	66.01	88.64	52.60	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR13 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp101°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA4.82 HR/92.07
21	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	ATH	28.7%	86%	56.81	45.92	56.63	57.82	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR13 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp79°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA2.87 HR/90.91
22	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	CHC	31.0%	86%	54.87	43.12	85.01	57.82	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR14 AB224 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.67
23	Will Smith ▸	LAD	ARI	28.3%	86%	50.79	66.01	78.13	52.60	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR6 AB168 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp101°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA4.82 HR/92.07
24	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	TOR	26.3%	73%	62.80	43.75	59.96	59.29	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR5 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Wilyer Abreu ▸	BOS	BAL	30.1%	86%	64.33	34.65	71.49	61.26	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %51.0% Launch Angle16.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.5% Blast %17.4% EV50— season HR7 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA6.84 HR/91.48

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