ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	COL	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	76.32	59.00	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA6.19 HR/90.86
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	HOU	50.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	58.97	60.18	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR43 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA3.18 HR/90.45
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	COL	44.7%	86%	51.89	54.11	71.00	59.00	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR28 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA6.19 HR/90.86
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	38.3%	86%	74.52	59.01	48.75	59.35	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR24 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp90°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.86 HR/90.82
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ATH	37.7%	86%	78.75	69.72	68.54	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB490 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp89°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.50 HR/91.65
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	PHI	45.9%	86%	80.04	70.42	91.25	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.55 HR/91.45
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BOS	45.8%	86%	79.50	73.01	63.20	56.30	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB456 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NamePatrick Sandoval HandL ERA4.41 HR/91.10
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	SD	37.3%	86%	80.28	73.01	67.82	57.45	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB456 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp93°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.64 HR/91.03
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	TB	43.7%	86%	67.51	66.01	84.15	60.80	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.96 HR/91.41
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	TB	45.6%	86%	68.10	63.21	74.02	60.80	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB522 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.96 HR/91.41
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	PIT	42.1%	86%	72.67	63.21	67.75	59.31	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR30 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.30 HR/90.79
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SD	35.7%	86%	75.85	70.91	63.67	57.45	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB522 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp93°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.64 HR/91.03
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	PHI	29.5%	86%	76.01	63.91	73.71	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR17 AB451 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.55 HR/91.45
14	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	33.1%	86%	53.95	54.11	43.45	59.35	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp90°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.86 HR/90.82
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	33.0%	86%	86.93	52.64	54.29	60.82	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB553 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.17 HR/90.68
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	33.0%	86%	78.54	66.01	72.62	59.35	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB521 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp90°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.08 HR/91.69
17	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	DET	32.1%	86%	64.66	61.53	57.00	57.91	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR12 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameDrew Anderson HandR ERA3.73 HR/91.28
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	TB	36.4%	86%	71.51	52.64	74.56	60.80	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.96 HR/91.41
19	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CHC	32.4%	86%	77.14	61.11	52.37	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB406 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.39 HR/90.99
20	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	31.8%	86%	77.16	39.55	52.37	59.35	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB552 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp90°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.86 HR/90.82
21	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	DET	34.1%	86%	51.60	63.91	58.58	57.91	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR18 AB508 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameDrew Anderson HandR ERA3.73 HR/91.28
22	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	PHI	30.6%	86%	67.52	61.11	78.66	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR24 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.55 HR/91.45
23	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	30.6%	86%	64.69	63.91	87.14	59.35	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR26 AB427 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp90°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.08 HR/91.69
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	WSH	30.5%	80%	69.71	63.91	57.70	57.45	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR20 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp93°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameRiley Cornelio HandR ERA5.96 HR/90.79
25	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	NYM	37.0%	83%	67.49	66.01	60.96	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB564 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.47

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