ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	STL	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	63.62	61.17	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.76
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	52.6%	86%	80.15	70.42	90.75	60.90	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.56 HR/91.43
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	51.1%	86%	74.52	59.01	81.23	61.35	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.79 HR/91.54
4	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CWS	45.1%	86%	73.14	70.21	61.02	62.11	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB360 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp86°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.04 HR/90.94
5	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	STL	46.7%	83%	51.89	54.11	59.99	61.17	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.76
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	48.7%	86%	75.85	70.91	97.65	60.90	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA6.72 HR/91.90
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BAL	46.6%	83%	79.50	73.01	58.08	60.20	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB339 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.27 HR/90.82
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TOR	46.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp92°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	43.2%	83%	67.51	66.01	70.19	61.85	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB439 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
10	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	44.0%	86%	80.33	70.42	44.11	62.95	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA2.99 HR/90.91
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	STL	45.5%	83%	67.25	36.75	46.39	61.17	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.76
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	39.8%	83%	68.10	63.21	60.63	61.85	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
13	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATH	42.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	86.06	61.35	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.79 HR/91.54
14	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TOR	33.3%	86%	76.01	63.91	82.24	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB374 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp92°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
15	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	38.1%	86%	79.48	70.42	67.86	58.98	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR24 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp80°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.56 HR/90.97
16	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	KC	38.0%	86%	51.60	63.91	58.61	60.12	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR14 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.59 HR/91.09
17	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	40.9%	83%	71.51	52.64	64.67	61.85	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB349 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
18	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TOR	32.9%	86%	67.52	61.11	90.95	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp92°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
19	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	37.5%	86%	77.14	61.11	45.18	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.90 HR/90.94
20	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CHC	29.9%	86%	64.69	63.91	80.70	60.86	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.69
21	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	37.0%	86%	67.64	61.53	40.20	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp101°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.70 HR/90.52
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	35.1%	83%	67.49	66.01	55.81	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA3.84 HR/91.43
23	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	37.9%	86%	69.71	63.91	69.56	52.60	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB439 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp101°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Bratt HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.74
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	WSH	34.2%	86%	68.02	41.65	84.22	60.90	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR24 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.56 HR/91.43
25	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	LAD	28.3%	86%	56.81	45.92	80.00	60.86	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR18 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp83°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA4.50 HR/92.05

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