ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	39.4%	82%	81.43	68.81	92.72	39.91	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR41 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp53°F Wind19 mph NW vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.38 HR/91.77
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	34.1%	82%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.16 HR/92.45
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	32.5%	82%	51.89	54.11	87.13	39.91	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp53°F Wind19 mph NW vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.38 HR/91.77
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATL	32.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	64.71	46.71	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR29 AB543 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.13
5	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	CIN	32.2%	82%	69.74	70.21	90.45	46.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR20 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
6	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CLE	31.6%	76%	73.14	70.21	89.35	35.10	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp48°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameDaniel Espino HandR ERA4.73 HR/92.02
7	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIL	31.4%	76%	80.15	70.42	64.08	37.82	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp52°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameBryse Wilson HandR ERA3.67 HR/90.79
8	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	30.9%	82%	76.01	63.91	85.17	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB496 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.16 HR/92.45
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CIN	30.8%	82%	67.51	66.01	97.63	46.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB613 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
10	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PHI	30.0%	82%	77.14	61.11	70.43	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp52°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.59 HR/91.57
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CIN	29.4%	82%	68.10	63.21	87.28	46.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
12	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	29.3%	82%	79.50	73.01	56.40	39.12	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR22 AB502 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp53°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA3.92 HR/90.97
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	29.3%	82%	67.64	61.53	81.44	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB567 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA6.01 HR/91.70
14	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	28.7%	82%	67.52	61.11	88.14	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR26 AB557 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.16 HR/92.45
15	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	27.7%	82%	72.67	63.21	62.38	42.27	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR33 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA3.08 HR/90.86
16	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	ATL	27.2%	82%	53.95	54.11	56.12	46.71	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.13
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	CHC	26.5%	82%	67.49	66.01	48.00	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp62°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.06 HR/91.13
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CIN	26.0%	82%	71.51	52.64	86.39	46.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB535 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATL	25.9%	82%	77.16	39.55	64.34	46.71	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB606 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.13
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SD	25.6%	82%	78.54	66.01	38.52	50.60	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.60
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	25.5%	82%	62.87	66.71	39.31	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB602 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp53°F Wind19 mph NW vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.94 HR/90.76
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	LAD	25.2%	82%	69.71	63.91	51.07	50.60	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp68°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.46 HR/90.93
23	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BOS	25.1%	82%	80.33	70.42	38.38	35.87	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB483 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp48°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.27 HR/90.57
24	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	24.1%	82%	73.45	59.01	79.29	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR22 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp53°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA5.96 HR/91.44
25	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	23.7%	82%	86.93	52.64	59.12	37.42	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB594 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp51°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.91 HR/91.02

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