ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	STL	40.1%	79%	81.43	68.81	63.62	51.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.76
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	35.6%	82%	80.15	70.42	90.75	52.03	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.56 HR/91.43
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TOR	34.1%	79%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	33.9%	82%	74.52	59.01	81.23	50.37	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.79 HR/91.54
5	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	STL	33.9%	79%	51.89	54.11	59.99	51.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.76
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BAL	33.1%	82%	79.50	73.01	58.08	54.74	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB339 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.27 HR/90.82
7	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CWS	32.9%	82%	73.14	70.21	61.02	46.54	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB360 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp64°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.04 HR/90.94
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	HOU	32.8%	79%	78.75	69.72	40.76	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp82°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameHunter Brown HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.03
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	32.5%	82%	75.85	70.91	97.65	52.03	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp71°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA6.72 HR/91.90
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	30.8%	82%	67.51	66.01	70.19	52.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB439 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TOR	30.7%	79%	76.01	63.91	82.24	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB374 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
12	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	STL	29.8%	79%	67.25	36.75	46.39	51.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.76
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	29.4%	82%	68.10	63.21	60.63	52.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
14	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TOR	28.9%	79%	67.52	61.11	90.95	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	28.8%	82%	77.14	61.11	45.18	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.90 HR/90.94
16	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	28.4%	82%	80.33	70.42	44.11	46.81	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp64°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA2.99 HR/90.91
17	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CHC	28.4%	82%	78.54	66.01	67.45	55.19	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.69
18	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	NYY	28.1%	79%	86.93	52.64	67.90	51.72	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.24
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATH	28.1%	82%	77.16	39.55	86.06	50.37	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.79 HR/91.54
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	27.9%	82%	69.71	63.91	69.56	56.75	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB439 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp94°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Bratt HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.74
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	COL	27.5%	82%	62.87	66.71	75.88	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA4.47 HR/91.84
22	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	27.1%	82%	67.64	61.53	40.20	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp94°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.70 HR/90.52
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	26.9%	82%	67.49	66.01	55.81	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp71°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA3.84 HR/91.43
24	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	26.3%	82%	71.51	52.64	64.67	52.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB349 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CHC	26.0%	82%	64.69	63.91	80.70	55.19	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.69

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