ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	James Wood ▸	WSH	DET	43.5%	83%	80.28	73.01	73.53	43.83	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB491 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameRiver Ryan HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
2	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	DET	36.4%	83%	75.85	70.91	69.77	43.83	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR31 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameRiver Ryan HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	WSH	28.7%	83%	79.48	70.42	67.92	43.83	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB536 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	TOR	30.1%	83%	50.24	54.11	51.99	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR23 AB609 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
5	Ryan Jeffers ▸	MIN	SF	24.2%	86%	73.95	41.65	65.34	44.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.402 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle18.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %16.2% EV50— season HR14 AB302 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
6	Spencer Torkelson ▸	DET	WSH	20.5%	83%	59.57	63.21	65.79	43.83	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %11.4% EV50— season HR24 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	Josh Smith ▸	TOR	BAL	18.4%	83%	24.45	49.91	46.10	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.287 Exit Velo86.8 mph Barrel %4.9% Hard Hit %34.1% Launch Angle15.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up27.9% Blast %8.1% EV50— season HR6 AB195 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
8	Coby Mayo ▸	BAL	TOR	18.9%	83%	12.76	47.81	62.30	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.260 Exit Velo82.4 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %32.0% Launch Angle23.0° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up12.1% Blast %4.5% EV50— season HR24 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
9	Andrés Giménez ▸	TOR	BAL	15.3%	83%	23.61	45.01	40.83	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.297 Exit Velo86.8 mph Barrel %6.0% Hard Hit %30.0% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed66.8 mph Squared Up30.5% Blast %6.3% EV50— season HR9 AB455 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
10	Brooks Lee ▸	MIN	SF	19.1%	86%	19.34	49.91	64.42	44.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.241 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %5.1% Hard Hit %38.5% Launch Angle15.7° bat tracking Bat Speed70.0 mph Squared Up26.7% Blast %7.0% EV50— season HR23 AB561 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
11	Pete Alonso ▸	BAL	TOR	19.2%	83%	57.03	25.55	65.07	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo95.0 mph Barrel %7.0% Hard Hit %58.1% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.1 mph Squared Up26.5% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR38 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
12	Samuel Basallo ▸	BAL	TOR	15.8%	83%	55.08	26.95	57.21	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.314 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %43.8% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
13	Rece Hinds ▸	BAL	TOR	14.4%	71%	0.00	49.91	48.21	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
14	Sean Keys ▸	TOR	BAL	15.1%	71%	0.00	47.81	46.39	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
15	Alan Roden ▸	MIN	SF	13.3%	74%	0.00	49.91	59.02	44.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
16	Kody Clemens ▸	MIN	SF	14.3%	86%	46.82	27.65	69.30	44.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle10.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %9.1% EV50— season HR26 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
17	George Springer ▸	TOR	BAL	13.7%	83%	36.42	26.53	47.42	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %10.0% Hard Hit %42.5% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up18.3% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR15 AB447 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
18	Colton Cowser ▸	BAL	TOR	10.8%	83%	35.69	24.85	52.77	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.300 Exit Velo83.8 mph Barrel %11.1% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle-2.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR13 AB330 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
19	Jacob Young ▸	WSH	DET	10.2%	83%	49.85	32.55	55.24	43.83	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %7.1% Hard Hit %40.5% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up39.7% Blast %12.3% EV50— season HR10 AB406 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameRiver Ryan HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Kazuma Okamoto ▸	TOR	BAL	11.7%	83%	34.62	22.75	61.34	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.290 Exit Velo88.6 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %38.9% Launch Angle20.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR33 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
21	Riley Greene ▸	DET	WSH	13.3%	83%	66.57	34.65	63.19	43.83	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo89.0 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up23.1% Blast %17.1% EV50— season HR21 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Daylen Lile ▸	WSH	DET	10.9%	83%	42.00	25.55	61.34	43.83	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %3.2% Hard Hit %40.3% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up31.9% Blast %11.8% EV50— season HR22 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameRiver Ryan HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Dylan Beavers ▸	BAL	TOR	11.2%	83%	25.04	20.65	42.64	53.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo86.6 mph Barrel %2.9% Hard Hit %32.4% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed71.7 mph Squared Up24.7% Blast %8.6% EV50— season HR7 AB304 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
24	Ernie Clement ▸	TOR	BAL	7.3%	83%	21.14	20.65	38.91	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.297 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %27.0% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed66.3 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %6.5% EV50— season HR9 AB570 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
25	Hao-Yu Lee ▸	DET	WSH	9.3%	71%	0.00	49.91	59.40	43.83	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR10 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp60°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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