ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	48.3%	82%	81.43	68.81	66.28	45.35	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.19 HR/90.99
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	34.8%	73%	73.14	70.21	91.56	49.16	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.74 HR/91.82
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	32.8%	82%	80.28	73.01	79.78	51.22	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp70°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.79 HR/91.39
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	WSH	32.0%	82%	69.74	70.21	62.81	51.22	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB206 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	31.4%	82%	75.85	70.91	77.50	51.22	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp70°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.79 HR/91.39
6	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	31.3%	76%	74.52	59.01	48.63	45.24	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB351 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameYohan Ramírez HandR ERA3.21 HR/90.64
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	31.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	81.24	51.22	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR28 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
8	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	MIA	30.8%	82%	77.17	70.21	62.68	50.51	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR12 AB236 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp68°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.56 HR/91.19
9	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	30.8%	79%	68.76	66.01	58.31	49.16	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB346 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA2.78 HR/91.01
10	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	LAD	30.4%	82%	77.62	73.01	87.86	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR15 AB260 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA4.71 HR/91.92
11	Masataka Yoshida ▸	BOS	ATH	29.9%	73%	66.32	61.11	67.37	49.16	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %63.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up51.5% Blast %27.3% EV50— season HR4 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.74 HR/91.82
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	29.9%	82%	68.10	63.21	72.82	51.22	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
13	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	NYY	36.2%	82%	72.67	63.21	83.21	45.35	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR23 AB254 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA4.25 HR/91.42
14	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CWS	36.0%	82%	67.25	36.75	47.94	45.35	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB301 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.19 HR/90.99
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CHC	34.3%	82%	86.93	52.64	78.00	49.52	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp68°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA3.86 HR/91.65
16	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	35.5%	73%	62.87	66.71	82.42	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameCole Winn HandR ERA6.11 HR/91.78
17	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	KC	31.1%	82%	51.60	63.91	58.97	54.42	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR13 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.93 HR/91.17
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	26.9%	82%	71.51	52.64	79.36	51.22	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB330 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
19	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SEA	26.4%	82%	78.54	66.01	54.89	50.51	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.37 HR/90.94
20	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	NYM	26.0%	82%	67.49	66.01	38.24	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp68°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.32 HR/90.83
21	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	PIT	25.8%	76%	53.95	54.11	38.11	45.24	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR8 AB257 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameYohan Ramírez HandR ERA3.21 HR/90.64
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	24.9%	69%	69.71	63.91	51.42	49.52	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp68°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAD	24.8%	82%	73.45	59.01	92.31	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR18 AB269 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA4.71 HR/91.92
24	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	24.7%	76%	77.16	39.55	50.55	45.24	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR22 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameYohan Ramírez HandR ERA3.21 HR/90.64
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SEA	24.0%	82%	64.69	63.91	67.48	50.51	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.37 HR/90.94

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