ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TOR	55.0%	80%	81.43	68.81	58.38	43.83	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR16 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp60°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameBraydon Fisher HandR ERA3.08 HR/90.68
2	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ATH	46.6%	86%	79.50	73.01	75.68	56.39	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR12 AB173 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp77°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA4.45 HR/91.15
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	NYY	45.4%	80%	78.75	69.72	53.75	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB178 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameCarlos Rodón HandL ERA5.63 HR/91.15
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	MIA	46.5%	86%	69.74	70.21	31.33	61.34	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.57
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	42.4%	86%	67.51	66.01	59.59	61.34	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB192 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.57
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	45.9%	83%	80.28	73.01	63.23	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR13 AB193 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.40 HR/90.42
7	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	LAA	41.4%	86%	68.76	66.01	41.91	56.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR8 AB173 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA2.41 HR/90.75
8	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	STL	44.9%	83%	85.09	73.01	60.02	50.53	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB197 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.81 HR/90.74
9	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	42.6%	86%	68.10	63.21	52.32	61.34	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR9 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.57
10	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TOR	42.4%	80%	78.94	39.55	58.38	43.83	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR16 AB180 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp60°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameBraydon Fisher HandR ERA3.08 HR/90.68
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	38.9%	83%	75.85	70.91	64.69	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR10 AB180 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.40 HR/90.42
12	Davis Schneider ▸	TOR	NYY	28.7%	80%	73.73	59.01	63.75	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %26.7% Hard Hit %60.0% Launch Angle22.2° bat tracking Bat Speed71.7 mph Squared Up31.6% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR1 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameCarlos Rodón HandL ERA5.63 HR/91.15
13	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	COL	34.6%	80%	61.77	66.01	60.49	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB166 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameZach Agnos HandR ERA5.59 HR/90.93
14	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	38.5%	80%	67.64	61.53	61.43	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR7 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameZach Agnos HandR ERA5.59 HR/90.93
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	34.3%	83%	86.93	52.64	61.19	50.53	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR13 AB179 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp69°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.81
16	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	DET	35.7%	86%	80.33	70.42	37.09	44.30	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB168 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp61°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.43 HR/90.49
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	33.1%	83%	67.49	66.01	27.35	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB195 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameSpencer Strider HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.61
18	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CLE	31.7%	86%	79.48	70.42	49.50	44.30	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR8 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp61°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA3.40 HR/91.07
19	Liam Hicks ▸	MIA	ATL	32.4%	83%	51.31	66.01	48.04	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR9 AB153 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameSpencer Strider HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.61
20	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	MIA	27.5%	86%	62.80	43.75	48.07	61.34	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR5 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.57
21	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	LAA	32.4%	86%	67.52	43.75	34.41	56.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR4 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA2.41 HR/90.75
22	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	LAA	29.4%	86%	54.87	43.12	53.25	56.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR12 AB180 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA2.41 HR/90.75
23	Zach Neto ▸	LAA	ATH	30.3%	86%	38.63	56.91	60.87	56.39	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.327 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %37.5% Launch Angle25.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.3 mph Squared Up17.8% Blast %6.2% EV50— season HR8 AB196 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp77°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA4.45 HR/91.15
24	Tyler Soderstrom ▸	ATH	LAA	25.4%	86%	45.52	49.21	33.55	56.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.319 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %43.8% Launch Angle9.0° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR5 AB175 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA2.41 HR/90.75
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	PIT	27.7%	83%	77.15	43.75	41.94	50.53	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR7 AB182 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp69°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.81

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