ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	51.1%	86%	80.15	70.42	76.53	57.42	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR42 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.30
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	48.5%	70%	74.52	59.01	66.24	61.92	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR23 AB490 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	SD	49.3%	83%	80.28	73.01	76.14	61.70	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB452 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BOS	46.1%	86%	79.50	73.01	64.89	57.01	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB452 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA5.07 HR/91.01
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SD	41.9%	83%	75.85	70.91	71.92	61.70	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
6	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	MIA	35.4%	86%	77.17	70.21	59.99	59.22	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR15 AB324 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp89°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.13
7	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PHI	46.2%	86%	69.74	70.21	45.14	57.42	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR16 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	39.4%	86%	67.51	66.01	58.67	57.42	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
9	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	37.5%	70%	53.95	54.11	62.68	61.92	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	39.4%	70%	77.16	39.55	70.26	61.92	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	34.4%	86%	68.10	63.21	48.11	57.42	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
12	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	WSH	41.9%	86%	69.71	63.91	77.59	61.70	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR20 AB554 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp88°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.57 HR/91.58
13	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CHC	30.0%	86%	77.14	61.11	52.81	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.05 HR/91.32
14	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	39.2%	83%	78.54	66.01	42.64	61.92	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.93
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	35.5%	86%	86.93	52.64	54.71	55.59	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.21 HR/90.66
16	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIN	33.9%	86%	79.48	70.42	65.35	56.27	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB502 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.65 HR/91.22
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	KC	33.1%	86%	67.64	61.53	50.89	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB524 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.08 HR/90.93
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	36.4%	86%	71.51	52.64	46.66	57.42	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB474 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
19	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	33.3%	83%	64.69	63.91	57.74	61.92	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR26 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.93
20	Carson Kelly ▸	CHC	MIL	28.4%	86%	79.82	41.65	63.18	56.59	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.6 mph Squared Up38.3% Blast %23.5% EV50— season HR10 AB339 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp78°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.57 HR/91.35
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	NYM	32.6%	80%	67.49	66.01	40.35	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB560 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA3.60 HR/90.90
22	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	CLE	29.4%	86%	50.24	54.11	53.29	59.10	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR22 AB567 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA3.81 HR/91.02
23	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	MIL	30.4%	86%	56.81	45.92	68.46	56.59	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR23 AB497 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp78°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.57 HR/91.35
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	ATL	31.7%	86%	68.02	41.65	67.10	57.42	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR27 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.30
25	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	TOR	28.6%	86%	67.52	43.75	31.90	60.78	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR8 AB300 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA2.25 HR/90.58

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