ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIN	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	100.00	40.12	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR38 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp57°F Wind16 mph SE vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.01
2	Dane Myers ▸	CIN	LAD	49.7%	83%	60.50	73.01	31.73	54.84	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.435 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %5.3% Hard Hit %31.6% Launch Angle19.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up37.0% Blast %11.1% EV50— season HR6 AB267 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
3	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	38.3%	83%	79.50	73.01	76.97	57.45	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB472 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp79°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameKade Anderson HandL ERA4.29 HR/91.71
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	45.6%	83%	74.52	59.01	48.21	54.84	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR26 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
5	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	MIN	41.2%	86%	51.89	54.11	96.25	40.12	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB481 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp57°F Wind16 mph SE vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.01
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	42.6%	83%	78.75	69.72	37.90	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp68°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.08
7	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	BAL	31.1%	83%	77.17	70.21	62.74	55.50	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR15 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp74°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.71 HR/91.28
8	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	CHC	45.0%	83%	69.74	70.21	65.44	49.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR17 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
9	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	38.4%	83%	72.67	63.21	80.97	50.37	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.78 HR/91.44
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	39.8%	83%	67.51	66.01	74.33	49.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR39 AB581 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
11	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	36.8%	86%	86.93	52.64	52.74	60.09	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.00 HR/90.66
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	34.7%	83%	68.10	63.21	64.06	49.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	37.7%	83%	80.33	70.42	36.07	50.37	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameSean Newcomb HandL ERA2.77 HR/90.21
14	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	35.8%	83%	53.95	54.11	43.18	54.84	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	30.9%	86%	67.64	61.53	53.38	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp101°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.78 HR/90.99
16	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	SD	30.2%	86%	39.38	29.75	64.74	61.13	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR22 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp83°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.70 HR/91.06
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	35.8%	83%	77.16	39.55	51.80	54.84	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB571 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
18	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	28.7%	83%	64.69	63.91	90.38	54.84	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.12 HR/91.71
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	TOR	31.2%	83%	79.48	70.42	55.15	49.85	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB517 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp68°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA3.48 HR/90.88
20	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ARI	28.9%	80%	67.49	66.01	39.85	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp101°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameCorbin Burnes HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	SD	33.7%	86%	41.14	22.75	71.00	61.13	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR38 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp83°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.70 HR/91.06
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	34.8%	83%	71.51	52.64	62.72	49.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
23	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	SF	31.7%	86%	77.15	43.75	47.69	60.09	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR22 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.00 HR/90.66
24	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	NYM	31.7%	77%	50.24	54.11	64.30	55.50	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR22 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
25	Carson Kelly ▸	CHC	ATL	23.4%	83%	79.82	41.65	58.68	49.78	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.6 mph Squared Up38.3% Blast %23.5% EV50— season HR10 AB354 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp69°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameReynaldo López HandR ERA4.13 HR/91.30

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