ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TEX	37.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	88.21	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR14 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.48
2	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	SF	37.3%	86%	68.76	66.01	80.07	57.19	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB153 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	45.2%	83%	74.52	59.01	75.45	48.06	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp66°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.17 HR/91.39
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	BAL	46.9%	83%	80.28	73.01	79.87	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR12 AB167 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.48 HR/91.02
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	36.2%	77%	79.50	73.01	63.75	51.31	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB153 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlake Snell HandL ERA12.00 HR/91.15
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	42.4%	77%	78.75	69.72	34.50	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrenan Hanifee HandR ERA1.08 HR/91.08
7	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	PHI	45.4%	86%	85.09	73.01	83.86	47.43	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp65°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.50
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	BAL	39.4%	83%	75.85	70.91	73.42	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.48 HR/91.02
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BOS	38.7%	86%	67.51	66.01	67.60	53.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB170 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.16 HR/91.05
10	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CHC	33.4%	83%	72.67	63.21	79.55	48.09	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA3.88 HR/91.36
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TEX	33.1%	86%	76.01	63.91	62.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB148 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.48
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	KC	32.8%	86%	86.93	52.64	60.26	58.66	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR12 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA2.63 HR/90.88
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	32.5%	86%	67.64	61.53	80.00	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.00 HR/92.10
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	38.1%	83%	80.33	70.42	53.24	48.06	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp66°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.47 HR/90.97
15	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BOS	33.1%	86%	68.10	63.21	47.60	53.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.16 HR/91.05
16	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	ARI	32.2%	86%	39.38	29.75	100.00	58.48	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR12 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp81°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA7.62 HR/92.08
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	31.7%	86%	67.52	61.11	83.91	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR10 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.48
18	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	35.2%	83%	77.16	39.55	76.91	48.06	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB168 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp66°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.17 HR/91.39
19	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BOS	35.9%	86%	71.51	52.64	60.90	53.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR11 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.16 HR/91.05
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	28.5%	83%	78.54	66.01	37.35	51.31	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA3.97 HR/90.40
21	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	TOR	34.9%	80%	79.48	70.42	57.57	47.67	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR8 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp65°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA0.68 HR/91.15
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	32.0%	86%	62.87	66.71	41.01	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind18 mph NW vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA3.25 HR/90.81
23	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	SF	26.9%	86%	54.87	43.12	96.38	57.19	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR12 AB162 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	LAA	26.7%	83%	64.69	63.91	63.58	51.31	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR11 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA3.97 HR/90.40
25	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	LAA	26.4%	83%	60.89	66.01	55.36	51.31	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR9 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA3.97 HR/90.40

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