ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	40.1%	82%	81.43	68.81	74.62	49.64	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR20 AB247 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.10
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYM	35.4%	76%	80.15	70.42	78.30	53.39	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR25 AB269 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.78 HR/91.10
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	32.6%	82%	73.14	70.21	59.63	45.50	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR16 AB245 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.78 HR/90.57
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	32.4%	82%	78.75	69.72	32.99	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB254 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.03 HR/90.87
5	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	PHI	32.2%	82%	77.17	70.21	77.29	53.39	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR5 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp73°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.86 HR/91.66
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SF	31.5%	79%	67.51	66.01	65.15	55.88	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR20 AB286 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.24 HR/90.48
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ATH	31.2%	79%	79.50	73.01	66.34	44.66	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR17 AB265 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp61°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA3.09 HR/91.15
8	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	LAA	30.5%	69%	68.76	66.01	75.53	44.66	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR18 AB264 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SF	30.2%	79%	68.10	63.21	56.47	55.88	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR14 AB245 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.24 HR/90.48
10	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	BAL	29.4%	82%	77.62	73.01	67.43	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR14 AB191 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp55°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.06 HR/90.88
11	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	TEX	29.4%	82%	64.66	61.53	59.64	56.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR4 AB182 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.86 HR/91.42
12	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	TEX	28.5%	82%	51.60	63.91	65.43	56.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR8 AB262 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.86 HR/91.42
13	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CLE	28.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	34.57	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR5 AB193 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.68 HR/90.89
14	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SF	27.2%	79%	71.51	52.64	62.76	55.88	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR14 AB198 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.24 HR/90.48
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	KC	27.2%	79%	86.93	52.64	67.40	48.38	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR18 AB281 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.11 HR/91.03
16	Masataka Yoshida ▸	BOS	TOR	27.1%	82%	66.32	61.11	32.47	45.50	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %63.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up51.5% Blast %27.3% EV50— season HR1 AB141 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.78 HR/90.57
17	Jesús Sánchez ▸	TOR	BOS	25.3%	82%	54.57	59.01	41.83	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %7.9% Hard Hit %44.7% Launch Angle11.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.8 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %8.0% EV50— season HR7 AB198 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.03 HR/90.87
18	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	LAA	25.3%	69%	63.41	56.91	55.74	44.66	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %69.2% Launch Angle6.2° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up26.1% Blast %20.2% EV50— season HR3 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
19	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	CLE	25.1%	82%	75.50	52.64	40.80	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR7 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.68 HR/90.89
20	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	NYM	23.3%	76%	68.02	41.65	69.62	53.39	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR15 AB255 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.78 HR/91.10
21	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	BAL	23.2%	82%	73.45	59.01	63.77	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR11 AB167 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp55°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.06 HR/90.88
22	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	SF	21.5%	79%	62.80	43.75	48.17	55.88	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR6 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.24 HR/90.48
23	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	KC	21.4%	79%	77.15	43.75	55.50	48.38	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR13 AB281 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.11 HR/91.03
24	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	LAA	21.0%	69%	67.52	43.75	59.45	44.66	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR6 AB173 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Daniel Schneemann ▸	CLE	MIL	19.9%	79%	56.35	63.21	35.45	42.51	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up25.6% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR6 AB184 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp58°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Drohan HandL ERA3.59 HR/90.63

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