ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	ARI	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	70.41	52.98	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR39 AB545 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp99°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.02
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	48.4%	86%	74.52	59.01	66.84	61.46	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR28 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.16 HR/91.18
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYM	48.9%	83%	80.15	70.42	70.60	50.63	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB554 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp69°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.03
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	ARI	44.9%	86%	51.89	54.11	65.84	52.98	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp99°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.02
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIN	46.4%	86%	79.50	73.01	64.53	58.00	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB489 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp79°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.84 HR/91.35
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	STL	47.6%	86%	80.28	73.01	69.67	57.01	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB482 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp93°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.83 HR/91.13
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATL	45.0%	86%	80.04	70.42	75.03	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR40 AB535 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.49 HR/91.27
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TEX	44.5%	86%	78.75	69.72	40.03	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB524 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp93°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameCal Quantrill HandR ERA2.90 HR/91.08
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	STL	40.2%	86%	75.85	70.91	65.78	57.01	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB550 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp93°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.83 HR/91.13
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	HOU	41.5%	86%	67.51	66.01	61.57	57.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR40 AB597 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA3.70 HR/90.74
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	DET	38.1%	86%	72.67	63.21	84.61	48.62	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR32 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJackson Jobe HandR ERA3.89 HR/91.56
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	HOU	38.0%	86%	68.10	63.21	50.84	57.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB564 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA3.70 HR/90.74
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATH	39.7%	86%	80.33	70.42	70.74	49.38	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB467 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp67°F Wind14 mph NE vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.02 HR/91.57
14	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	39.1%	86%	77.16	39.55	67.11	61.46	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB590 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.16 HR/91.18
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATL	30.5%	86%	76.01	63.91	60.86	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB481 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.49 HR/91.27
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	BAL	39.6%	86%	77.14	61.11	51.07	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB434 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.22 HR/91.08
17	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	WSH	37.1%	86%	86.93	52.64	48.08	57.01	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp93°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.35 HR/90.44
18	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	37.9%	80%	78.54	66.01	47.54	57.13	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB550 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameYunior Marte HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.23
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATL	29.7%	86%	67.52	61.11	62.51	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB541 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.49 HR/91.27
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	38.6%	86%	69.71	63.91	58.28	56.60	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR23 AB599 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp77°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.12
21	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	NYY	32.5%	86%	67.64	61.53	41.38	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB554 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp99°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.78
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	HOU	38.4%	86%	71.51	52.64	50.04	57.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA3.70 HR/90.74
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	37.1%	86%	67.49	66.01	43.04	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB599 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.69 HR/91.01
24	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CWS	31.0%	86%	79.48	70.42	57.60	48.62	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB532 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.47 HR/91.01
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	32.1%	80%	64.69	63.91	64.11	57.13	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB463 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameYunior Marte HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.23

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