ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	40.1%	79%	81.43	68.81	60.13	53.04	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.61
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	34.4%	79%	73.14	70.21	61.81	53.04	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA3.22 HR/90.98
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	33.7%	82%	80.28	73.01	54.72	60.67	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.24 HR/90.62
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CWS	33.7%	76%	80.15	70.42	61.38	48.42	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp66°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Eisert HandL ERA3.55 HR/90.71
5	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	HOU	33.5%	79%	68.76	66.01	80.98	56.69	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR11 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA5.52 HR/91.53
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	33.2%	76%	80.04	70.42	77.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR21 AB231 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameKade Morris HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	32.7%	82%	78.75	69.72	38.39	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.44 HR/90.96
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	31.9%	82%	75.85	70.91	41.74	60.67	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR13 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.24 HR/90.62
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	31.5%	82%	79.50	73.01	63.07	46.44	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB221 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp64°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.86 HR/91.17
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ATL	31.4%	82%	85.09	73.01	79.27	45.65	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR14 AB249 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameSpencer Strider HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.74
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TEX	31.0%	79%	80.33	70.42	56.89	54.81	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp75°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.34 HR/91.22
12	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	29.9%	79%	67.25	36.75	41.80	53.04	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB203 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.61
13	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	29.8%	82%	86.93	52.64	92.24	53.66	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR15 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp73°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.20 HR/92.28
14	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PIT	29.5%	82%	69.74	70.21	40.58	45.65	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB185 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA2.77 HR/90.84
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	29.4%	76%	76.01	63.91	56.43	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB212 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameKade Morris HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	29.3%	82%	67.64	61.53	81.50	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR9 AB222 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA5.01 HR/92.28
17	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PIT	28.5%	82%	67.51	66.01	56.50	45.65	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA2.77 HR/90.84
18	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	28.1%	82%	77.16	39.55	71.28	53.66	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp73°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.35 HR/91.45
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	28.1%	76%	67.52	61.11	76.05	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB238 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameKade Morris HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PIT	27.4%	82%	68.10	63.21	54.30	45.65	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR13 AB221 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA2.77 HR/90.84
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	27.0%	76%	62.87	66.71	66.92	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR11 AB219 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.45 HR/91.44
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	26.5%	79%	79.48	70.42	55.25	51.07	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp70°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameBryce Miller HandR ERA1.71 HR/90.86
23	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	25.7%	82%	78.54	66.01	61.28	46.44	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR10 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA5.23 HR/90.85
24	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	25.3%	82%	67.49	66.01	26.76	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB248 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA2.45 HR/90.33
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	CIN	24.1%	82%	77.15	43.75	77.54	53.66	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR8 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp73°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.20 HR/92.28

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