ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Cody Bellinger ▸	NYY	TB	41.6%	76%	70.64	61.53	62.50	44.82	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.410 Exit Velo87.6 mph Barrel %11.1% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle19.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.80
2	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TB	42.8%	76%	74.72	32.55	62.50	44.82	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %26.1% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB52 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.80
3	Corey Seager ▸	TEX	LAD	35.7%	76%	81.24	34.65	80.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %53.6% Launch Angle14.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA7.00 HR/92.00
4	Jake Burger ▸	TEX	LAD	33.3%	76%	63.63	25.55	80.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle5.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA7.00 HR/92.00
5	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	BOS	35.4%	76%	100.00	52.64	63.25	45.76	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.438 Exit Velo98.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %75.0% Launch Angle12.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA9.00 HR/91.13
6	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PHI	37.7%	76%	85.22	70.42	59.78	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.436 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB45 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp47°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.15
7	William Contreras ▸	MIL	WSH	37.5%	76%	65.25	63.21	68.92	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.383 Exit Velo92.0 mph Barrel %7.1% Hard Hit %35.7% Launch Angle16.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp52°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.80
8	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CLE	30.6%	79%	91.76	52.64	67.11	38.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.464 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp53°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.98
9	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	29.5%	79%	100.00	70.42	51.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.606 Exit Velo96.2 mph Barrel %25.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle22.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp48°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.54
10	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	BOS	34.4%	76%	87.69	43.75	63.25	45.76	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %11.8% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA9.00 HR/91.13
11	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	TEX	28.7%	76%	96.80	66.01	69.62	40.84	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.479 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %23.1% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.86
12	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CLE	27.9%	79%	69.53	66.01	67.11	38.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %42.3% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB57 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp53°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.98
13	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	27.4%	79%	89.28	61.11	51.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.389 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %20.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle20.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp48°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.54
14	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	32.1%	79%	87.33	69.72	46.25	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.426 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp40°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA1.08 HR/91.15
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	26.8%	79%	82.45	70.91	51.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo87.8 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle8.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp48°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.54
16	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	NYM	32.6%	79%	76.69	66.01	60.92	33.97	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.364 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle10.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
17	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	TEX	26.5%	76%	80.81	73.01	69.62	40.84	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.404 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %54.8% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB52 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.86
18	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	NYM	30.8%	79%	76.40	59.01	60.92	33.97	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %41.7% Launch Angle28.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
19	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATL	25.7%	79%	81.67	47.74	68.15	38.73	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.382 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %14.8% Hard Hit %51.9% Launch Angle10.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp53°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA3.94 HR/91.69
20	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	NYM	26.4%	79%	74.14	56.91	60.92	33.97	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.334 Exit Velo95.1 mph Barrel %17.4% Hard Hit %65.2% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAA	27.2%	79%	99.60	39.55	35.00	38.26	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %21.4% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp53°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA0.45 HR/90.45
22	Randy Arozarena ▸	SEA	HOU	24.0%	69%	80.13	66.01	57.92	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.412 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle2.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp48°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Wilyer Abreu ▸	BOS	STL	25.5%	76%	78.51	34.65	46.25	46.16	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %19.4% Hard Hit %58.1% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp63°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.15
24	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	STL	26.6%	76%	68.75	63.21	46.25	46.16	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp63°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.15
25	Maikel Garcia ▸	KC	CWS	29.3%	76%	98.58	42.35	46.25	47.39	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo94.2 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle14.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkKauffman Stadium HR Factor0.95 Temp66°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameGrant Taylor HandR ERA1.42 HR/91.15

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