ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	COL	46.2%	80%	95.00	70.42	62.50	40.42	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %59.6% Launch Angle20.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB29 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp56°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.93
2	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	ARI	44.3%	80%	76.63	66.01	63.75	61.70	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %53.3% Launch Angle14.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB35 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA7.50 HR/91.15
3	George Springer ▸	TOR	CWS	47.8%	80%	81.81	66.01	79.42	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.404 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.1% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle17.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB34 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp46°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.80
4	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	MIA	45.7%	80%	100.00	39.55	80.00	37.70	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.460 Exit Velo95.4 mph Barrel %24.7% Hard Hit %58.2% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp52°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA18.00 HR/94.50
5	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ▸	NYY	MIA	38.0%	80%	59.57	56.21	80.00	37.70	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo89.0 mph Barrel %15.0% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp52°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA18.00 HR/94.50
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	41.5%	77%	81.05	66.01	46.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.361 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %16.3% Hard Hit %56.3% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB36 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.15
7	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	PHI	36.3%	80%	56.44	40.74	63.75	40.42	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp56°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA11.57 HR/91.15
8	Jo Adell ▸	LAA	SEA	32.1%	80%	76.07	61.81	46.25	54.57	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %17.3% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB33 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp74°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIN	39.6%	80%	67.95	66.71	68.92	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.353 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %52.5% Launch Angle5.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB33 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp46°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.80
10	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	SD	34.7%	80%	68.12	63.21	80.00	34.52	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.358 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %13.9% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp48°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA6.75 HR/92.25
11	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CWS	33.7%	80%	77.82	44.94	79.42	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo92.0 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %50.7% Launch Angle7.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp46°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.80
12	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	CLE	32.7%	80%	60.16	61.81	80.00	32.66	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %10.4% Hard Hit %44.4% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp43°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA12.46 HR/92.08
13	Tyler Soderstrom ▸	ATH	HOU	31.7%	80%	63.18	54.11	46.25	47.19	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %49.8% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB29 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameLance McCullers Jr. HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.15
14	Zach Neto ▸	LAA	SEA	34.4%	80%	63.70	56.91	46.25	54.57	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.344 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %46.6% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB34 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp74°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
15	Eugenio Suárez ▸	CIN	TEX	28.3%	80%	55.82	43.12	57.92	47.88	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.320 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle21.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.50
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	29.6%	80%	61.44	59.01	68.92	57.83	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.350 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %10.4% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB33 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp79°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.60 HR/91.80
17	William Contreras ▸	MIL	KC	30.9%	80%	53.90	56.21	55.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.331 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %6.4% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle7.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp52°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameKris Bubic HandL ERA1.50 HR/91.50
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	ATL	32.1%	80%	76.25	47.74	46.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.372 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %14.5% Hard Hit %49.9% Launch Angle16.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
19	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	BOS	31.7%	80%	75.64	63.91	80.00	34.52	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.370 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %51.8% Launch Angle9.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp48°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA8.31 HR/94.15
20	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TEX	30.2%	80%	52.46	43.12	57.92	47.88	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %44.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.50
21	Christian Yelich ▸	MIL	KC	28.6%	80%	54.41	54.11	55.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %46.4% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB29 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp52°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameKris Bubic HandL ERA1.50 HR/91.50
22	Luis García Jr. ▸	WSH	LAD	26.8%	77%	55.54	54.11	46.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.339 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %9.0% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB29 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.15
23	Julio Rodríguez ▸	SEA	LAA	26.7%	80%	63.24	54.11	80.00	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.348 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %48.0% Launch Angle8.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB34 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp74°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Johnson HandR ERA16.20 HR/92.70
24	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	25.6%	80%	53.39	49.21	63.75	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.314 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %12.9% Hard Hit %46.1% Launch Angle16.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp64°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA6.75 HR/91.15
25	Wyatt Langford ▸	TEX	CIN	27.7%	80%	65.99	40.74	46.25	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB36 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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