ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TB	50.5%	80%	74.72	32.55	62.50	59.36	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %26.1% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB52 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp81°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.80
2	Corey Seager ▸	TEX	LAD	46.7%	80%	81.24	34.65	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %53.6% Launch Angle14.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA7.00 HR/92.00
3	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CLE	39.0%	83%	91.76	52.64	67.11	59.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.464 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.98
4	Brandon Nimmo ▸	TEX	LAD	47.8%	80%	63.88	36.75	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.371 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %6.9% Hard Hit %44.8% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA7.00 HR/92.00
5	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	BOS	41.9%	80%	100.00	52.64	63.25	54.63	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.438 Exit Velo98.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %75.0% Launch Angle12.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA9.00 HR/91.13
6	Jake Burger ▸	TEX	LAD	41.6%	80%	63.63	25.55	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle5.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA7.00 HR/92.00
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CLE	36.6%	83%	69.53	66.01	67.11	59.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %42.3% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB57 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.98
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIL	45.9%	77%	72.04	59.01	77.25	52.89	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %23.1% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle1.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB59 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind21 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.69
9	Brady House ▸	WSH	MIL	42.1%	77%	79.58	32.55	77.25	52.89	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.369 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %54.2% Launch Angle4.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind21 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.69
10	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	BOS	41.0%	80%	87.69	43.75	63.25	54.63	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %11.8% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA9.00 HR/91.13
11	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CHC	44.0%	77%	100.00	73.01	59.92	54.62	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %61.5% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp74°F Wind18 mph SW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA2.53 HR/91.69
12	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PHI	41.9%	80%	85.22	70.42	59.78	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.436 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB45 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.15
13	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	TEX	37.0%	80%	96.80	66.01	69.62	44.44	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.479 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %23.1% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.86
14	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	40.2%	83%	100.00	70.42	51.92	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.606 Exit Velo96.2 mph Barrel %25.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle22.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp54°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.54
15	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAA	36.9%	83%	99.60	39.55	35.00	58.26	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %21.4% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp79°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA0.45 HR/90.45
16	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	NYM	38.2%	83%	76.69	66.01	60.92	39.30	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.364 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle10.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
17	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	TEX	33.2%	80%	85.59	63.91	69.62	44.44	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo95.5 mph Barrel %11.1% Hard Hit %61.1% Launch Angle12.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB45 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.86
18	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	NYM	36.1%	83%	76.40	59.01	60.92	39.30	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %41.7% Launch Angle28.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
19	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	TEX	35.9%	80%	80.81	73.01	69.62	44.44	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.404 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %54.8% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB52 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.86
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	34.2%	83%	89.28	61.11	51.92	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.389 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %20.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle20.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp54°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.54
21	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	35.7%	83%	87.33	69.72	46.25	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.426 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp44°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA1.08 HR/91.15
22	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	NYM	30.9%	83%	74.14	56.91	60.92	39.30	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.334 Exit Velo95.1 mph Barrel %17.4% Hard Hit %65.2% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
23	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	32.0%	83%	82.45	70.91	51.92	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo87.8 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle8.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp54°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.54
24	Wilyer Abreu ▸	BOS	STL	31.6%	80%	78.51	34.65	46.25	56.01	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %19.4% Hard Hit %58.1% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp76°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.15
25	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	STL	33.0%	80%	68.75	63.21	46.25	56.01	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp76°F Wind17 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA1.80 HR/91.15

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