ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	STL	45.2%	83%	80.04	70.42	72.94	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR9 AB76 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.29 HR/92.14
2	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	HOU	40.8%	83%	86.93	52.64	100.00	44.85	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA6.55 HR/92.05
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ARI	42.4%	83%	78.75	69.72	57.82	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR1 AB73 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp85°F Wind17 mph E vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA3.54 HR/91.77
4	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CWS	41.4%	77%	68.76	66.01	63.75	52.88	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR2 AB68 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Schultz HandL ERA6.23 HR/91.15
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIN	41.2%	83%	74.52	59.01	77.42	33.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR6 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp41°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA5.49 HR/90.92
6	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	KC	42.8%	83%	78.94	39.55	65.47	33.38	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR8 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp45°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameCole Ragans HandL ERA3.78 HR/91.62
7	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	STL	35.5%	83%	76.01	63.91	72.94	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB74 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.29 HR/92.14
8	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SD	42.3%	80%	79.50	73.01	56.63	52.81	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR7 AB76 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp72°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.40
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	SF	43.5%	80%	80.28	73.01	57.75	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR7 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA2.42 HR/91.61
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SF	36.9%	80%	75.85	70.91	57.75	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB71 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA2.42 HR/91.61
11	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	STL	36.5%	83%	67.52	61.11	72.94	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR4 AB76 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.29 HR/92.14
12	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	DET	37.7%	83%	73.14	70.21	53.54	37.81	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR3 AB64 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp51°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.75 HR/91.15
13	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	CWS	34.2%	77%	63.41	56.91	63.75	52.88	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %69.2% Launch Angle6.2° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up26.1% Blast %20.2% EV50— season HR2 AB73 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Schultz HandL ERA6.23 HR/91.15
14	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	LAD	37.2%	83%	41.14	22.75	80.00	46.26	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR5 AB70 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp64°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA6.23 HR/92.08
15	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	ATH	36.4%	80%	72.67	63.21	46.25	52.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA1.46 HR/91.15
16	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	MIL	36.2%	83%	67.49	66.01	67.65	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB76 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA3.32 HR/91.66
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIN	33.9%	83%	77.16	39.55	77.94	33.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR7 AB74 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp41°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA5.49 HR/90.92
18	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	36.6%	83%	80.15	70.42	43.03	35.23	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR6 AB71 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.32 HR/90.83
19	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	HOU	34.6%	83%	77.15	43.75	83.87	44.85	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR3 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA6.55 HR/92.05
20	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	34.1%	80%	67.51	66.01	65.44	35.23	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR5 AB81 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp47°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.15
21	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	COL	31.6%	83%	64.69	63.91	80.00	46.26	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR6 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA8.10 HR/92.16
22	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	COL	30.2%	83%	60.89	66.01	80.00	46.26	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA8.10 HR/92.16
23	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	TEX	35.0%	83%	77.62	73.01	41.92	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR5 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp60°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA3.00 HR/90.86
24	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	TB	29.4%	83%	85.09	73.01	43.46	38.60	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR6 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp53°F Wind15 mph W vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA3.95 HR/90.66
25	Brice Turang ▸	MIL	MIA	32.8%	83%	68.92	34.65	79.42	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up32.5% Blast %14.5% EV50— season HR4 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.80

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