ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	James Wood ▸	WSH	SD	34.0%	79%	80.28	73.01	76.14	57.55	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB452 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	43.0%	82%	80.15	70.42	76.53	45.45	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR42 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.30
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	33.6%	69%	74.52	59.01	66.24	51.72	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR23 AB490 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind0 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ATH	33.5%	82%	78.75	69.72	58.79	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB486 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA4.71 HR/91.46
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SD	32.6%	79%	75.85	70.91	71.92	57.55	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
6	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	MIA	31.5%	82%	77.17	70.21	59.99	57.62	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR15 AB324 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp78°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.13
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BOS	36.5%	69%	79.50	73.01	65.07	39.29	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB452 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp54°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PHI	37.9%	82%	69.74	70.21	45.14	45.45	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR16 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
9	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CHC	27.0%	82%	77.14	61.11	52.81	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.05 HR/91.32
10	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	28.9%	69%	53.95	54.11	62.68	51.72	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind0 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	32.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	58.67	45.45	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
12	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	WSH	28.5%	82%	69.71	63.91	77.59	57.55	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR20 AB554 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp77°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.57 HR/91.58
13	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	KC	28.7%	82%	61.77	66.01	42.97	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB419 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.08 HR/90.93
14	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	27.6%	69%	77.16	39.55	70.26	51.72	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind0 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
15	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	27.7%	82%	68.10	63.21	48.11	45.45	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
16	William Contreras ▸	MIL	CHC	31.3%	82%	54.94	63.21	57.70	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR14 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.05 HR/91.32
17	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	26.1%	82%	78.54	66.01	42.64	51.72	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp71°F Wind0 mph W vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.93
18	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	NYM	29.3%	76%	67.49	66.01	40.35	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB560 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp78°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA3.60 HR/90.90
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIN	27.0%	69%	79.48	70.42	68.56	43.66	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB502 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp60°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	DET	24.4%	82%	64.66	61.53	42.51	43.66	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR11 AB370 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.20 HR/91.06
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	24.8%	82%	86.93	52.64	54.71	42.45	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp59°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.21 HR/90.66
22	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	DET	25.8%	82%	51.60	63.91	46.05	43.66	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR18 AB504 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.20 HR/91.06
23	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	23.8%	82%	64.69	63.91	57.74	51.72	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR26 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp71°F Wind0 mph W vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.93
24	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	28.7%	82%	71.51	52.64	46.66	45.45	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB474 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.80
25	Carson Kelly ▸	CHC	MIL	22.1%	82%	79.82	41.65	63.18	43.76	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.6 mph Squared Up38.3% Blast %23.5% EV50— season HR10 AB339 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp60°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.57 HR/91.35

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