ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	33.9%	82%	80.04	70.42	93.75	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CIN	39.5%	82%	78.75	69.72	59.73	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB538 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA6.01 HR/91.27
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TB	33.3%	82%	80.15	70.42	74.78	43.81	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB573 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind28 mph N vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.23
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	41.1%	76%	80.28	73.01	59.64	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA4.21 HR/90.70
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TOR	38.0%	82%	74.52	59.01	62.35	41.31	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR30 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.03
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	34.7%	76%	75.85	70.91	58.80	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB571 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA4.21 HR/90.70
7	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	30.5%	82%	76.01	63.91	78.64	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR21 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	COL	29.0%	82%	72.67	63.21	94.42	40.80	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB445 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA5.40 HR/91.60
9	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	28.6%	82%	80.33	70.42	54.42	45.59	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB491 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.33 HR/91.30
10	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	28.6%	82%	79.50	73.01	59.79	35.47	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR22 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp49°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameKade Anderson HandL ERA4.18 HR/91.11
11	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	28.5%	82%	77.14	61.11	40.41	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp51°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameQuinn Mathews HandL ERA3.65 HR/90.81
12	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	28.5%	82%	67.52	61.11	82.86	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR28 AB564 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	28.4%	82%	67.64	61.53	64.72	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB574 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.26
14	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	PHI	26.7%	69%	62.87	66.71	60.48	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB610 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp58°F Wind28 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
15	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	33.2%	76%	67.49	66.01	39.28	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB622 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrent Suter HandL ERA3.48 HR/90.92
16	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	25.9%	69%	69.71	63.91	62.46	50.93	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB622 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp69°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
17	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	TOR	26.2%	82%	53.95	54.11	52.68	41.31	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.03
18	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	24.3%	82%	78.54	66.01	57.34	42.44	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB576 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameMatt Wilkinson HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.46
19	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	24.3%	82%	73.45	59.01	83.82	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR23 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp49°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Johnson HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.71
20	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TOR	28.4%	82%	77.16	39.55	60.72	41.31	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.03
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	23.6%	82%	86.93	52.64	59.47	36.95	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR29 AB601 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp51°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.67 HR/90.82
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	PIT	22.9%	76%	79.48	70.42	48.34	37.79	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp52°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameKirby Yates HandR ERA3.32 HR/90.66
23	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	22.1%	82%	64.69	63.91	73.29	42.44	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameMatt Wilkinson HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.46
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	21.8%	82%	60.89	66.01	65.58	42.44	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameMatt Wilkinson HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.46
25	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	TB	20.3%	82%	68.02	41.65	63.77	43.81	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR28 AB567 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind28 mph N vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.23

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