ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYM	51.1%	86%	80.15	70.42	64.82	59.83	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB548 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp82°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.24 HR/90.92
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	47.8%	86%	74.52	59.01	70.64	58.29	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR28 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp91°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.77 HR/91.41
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TEX	43.5%	83%	73.14	70.21	55.44	56.68	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB443 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp93°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTyler Alexander HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.40
4	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	MIL	46.6%	83%	85.09	73.01	75.72	58.88	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR19 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp80°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.95 HR/91.61
5	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	PHI	36.5%	86%	77.17	70.21	80.94	59.83	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR15 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp82°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.69 HR/91.90
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	KC	45.2%	86%	80.04	70.42	78.03	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR39 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.04
7	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	DET	36.9%	86%	72.67	63.21	66.81	53.77	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.01 HR/90.82
8	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	KC	30.6%	86%	76.01	63.91	63.98	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.04
9	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	38.3%	86%	77.16	39.55	71.02	58.29	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB583 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp91°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.77 HR/91.41
10	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	TB	39.3%	86%	63.41	56.91	40.91	61.12	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %69.2% Launch Angle6.2° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up26.1% Blast %20.2% EV50— season HR9 AB255 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.81 HR/90.79
11	Victor Caratini ▸	MIN	LAA	31.3%	86%	60.22	66.01	31.52	56.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %6.7% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle12.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.0 mph Squared Up34.6% Blast %13.6% EV50— season HR7 AB308 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.59
12	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	34.3%	77%	77.14	61.11	44.31	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB428 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameWilber Dotel HandR ERA4.66 HR/90.49
13	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CWS	36.8%	86%	79.48	70.42	74.35	53.77	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp73°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.97 HR/91.55
14	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATH	39.4%	86%	62.87	66.71	82.24	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA5.93 HR/92.20
15	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	33.0%	86%	64.69	63.91	94.55	58.29	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp91°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.46 HR/91.84
16	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	LAA	34.0%	86%	51.60	63.91	40.98	56.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB534 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.59
17	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	ATH	28.0%	86%	71.61	61.53	80.62	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR10 AB323 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA5.93 HR/92.20
18	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	SD	29.0%	86%	39.38	29.75	59.54	53.45	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR22 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp73°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.03 HR/91.03
19	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	ATH	31.5%	86%	51.31	64.61	83.52	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB451 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA5.93 HR/92.20
20	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	NYM	31.7%	86%	68.02	41.65	55.15	59.83	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR28 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp82°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.24 HR/90.92
21	Francisco Lindor ▸	NYM	PHI	33.3%	86%	45.45	54.11	86.99	59.83	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.339 Exit Velo89.1 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.9% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.6 mph Squared Up21.1% Blast %11.3% EV50— season HR20 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp82°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.69 HR/91.90
22	Juan Soto ▸	NYM	PHI	31.8%	86%	35.86	56.91	94.01	59.83	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %8.0% Hard Hit %28.0% Launch Angle3.9° bat tracking Bat Speed72.2 mph Squared Up22.8% Blast %10.5% EV50— season HR25 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp82°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.69 HR/91.90
23	Kevin McGonigle ▸	DET	CWS	32.5%	86%	61.53	66.01	63.71	53.77	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %37.7% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up33.7% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR17 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp73°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.97 HR/91.55
24	Spencer Torkelson ▸	DET	CWS	26.3%	86%	59.57	63.21	72.75	53.77	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %11.4% EV50— season HR24 AB499 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp73°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.97 HR/91.55
25	Bryan Reynolds ▸	PIT	MIL	28.4%	83%	65.78	47.74	66.00	58.88	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.382 Exit Velo93.1 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.0 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %12.1% EV50— season HR17 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp80°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.95 HR/91.61

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