ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	ATL	45.7%	86%	81.43	68.81	86.09	58.41	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp91°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.13 HR/91.33
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	40.4%	86%	73.14	70.21	94.50	57.08	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp93°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.72 HR/91.71
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	ATL	40.1%	86%	51.89	54.11	82.22	58.41	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp91°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.13 HR/91.33
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	39.7%	86%	80.15	70.42	64.11	58.19	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp92°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA3.29 HR/90.88
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	WSH	39.1%	86%	74.52	59.01	55.16	61.73	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR19 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.52 HR/90.88
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIA	37.8%	86%	79.50	73.01	61.05	58.42	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp90°F Wind12 mph SE vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.11
7	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	36.7%	86%	80.33	70.42	65.01	61.73	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Schultz HandL ERA5.82 HR/91.25
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SD	36.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	68.38	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.08 HR/91.10
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	36.2%	86%	78.75	69.72	37.39	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp92°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.49 HR/91.11
10	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	ATL	36.1%	86%	67.25	36.75	68.64	58.41	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB327 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp91°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.13 HR/91.33
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	CIN	35.6%	77%	75.85	70.91	83.65	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChase Petty HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.50
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	COL	35.3%	86%	86.93	52.64	89.83	62.04	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.75 HR/92.00
13	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYY	35.2%	86%	67.51	66.01	57.45	58.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR32 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA3.12 HR/90.12
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYY	33.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	47.81	58.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA3.12 HR/90.12
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	MIN	33.6%	86%	77.14	61.11	73.69	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB331 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameZebby Matthews HandR ERA5.22 HR/91.78
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	WSH	32.9%	86%	77.16	39.55	58.60	61.73	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR25 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.52 HR/90.88
17	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	HOU	32.5%	83%	69.71	63.91	74.62	61.26	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR9 AB447 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp83°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameRonel Blanco HandR ERA7.36 HR/93.07
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	LAD	32.4%	86%	67.64	61.53	78.69	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp105°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA4.64 HR/91.82
19	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SD	32.1%	86%	76.01	63.91	46.78	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB374 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.08 HR/91.10
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ARI	31.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	79.21	52.60	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB423 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp105°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA5.04 HR/91.81
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	LAA	31.0%	80%	67.49	66.01	74.55	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB449 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp90°F Wind12 mph SE vs pitcher NameGeorge Klassen HandR ERA11.57 HR/91.93
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYY	30.3%	86%	71.51	52.64	51.65	58.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA3.12 HR/90.12
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SD	30.1%	86%	67.52	61.11	57.38	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.08 HR/91.10
24	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SF	30.1%	77%	79.48	70.42	55.82	53.26	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp73°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameJT Brubaker HandR ERA3.17 HR/90.67
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	COL	29.8%	86%	77.15	43.75	84.74	62.04	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB435 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.75 HR/92.00

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