ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	54.6%	83%	81.43	68.81	72.41	50.09	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR41 AB565 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp67°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.07 HR/91.03
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TB	39.0%	83%	80.15	70.42	81.02	51.35	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB570 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp69°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.26
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	37.8%	86%	80.04	70.42	97.25	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.68 HR/91.69
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CIN	37.7%	83%	78.75	69.72	67.11	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.04 HR/91.74
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	36.9%	86%	67.51	66.01	74.55	61.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB617 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.20
6	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TOR	36.8%	70%	74.52	59.01	70.40	48.90	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR30 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	36.4%	70%	80.28	73.01	72.75	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	35.5%	86%	68.10	63.21	64.13	61.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB583 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.20
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	35.0%	70%	75.85	70.91	71.88	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	34.8%	86%	79.50	73.01	72.44	44.02	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR22 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp60°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Miller HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.60
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	34.1%	86%	76.01	63.91	82.25	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB500 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.68 HR/91.69
12	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	COL	34.1%	86%	72.67	63.21	99.18	46.68	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR33 AB441 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA5.36 HR/91.89
13	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	32.2%	83%	77.14	61.11	50.11	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB453 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.84 HR/91.15
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	32.0%	83%	80.33	70.42	49.23	47.55	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB487 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp66°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA3.92 HR/90.99
15	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	32.0%	86%	71.51	52.64	63.23	61.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB540 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.20
16	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	31.8%	86%	67.52	61.11	86.06	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR27 AB561 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.68 HR/91.69
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	31.4%	73%	67.64	61.53	61.71	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB570 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	31.2%	86%	69.71	63.91	53.75	60.67	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB619 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp82°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.72 HR/90.98
19	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	30.1%	83%	86.93	52.64	64.15	48.80	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB597 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.01 HR/91.22
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	29.8%	77%	78.54	66.01	63.85	50.27	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameYunior Marte HandR ERA4.66 HR/91.40
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TOR	29.7%	70%	77.16	39.55	68.74	48.90	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB609 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	29.6%	73%	67.49	66.01	51.00	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB619 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	PHI	28.5%	83%	62.87	66.71	41.83	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB606 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.93 HR/90.81
24	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	PIT	28.5%	86%	79.48	70.42	59.23	47.32	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp65°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.34 HR/90.89
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	27.4%	77%	64.69	63.91	79.77	50.27	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB482 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameYunior Marte HandR ERA4.66 HR/91.40

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