ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PHI	39.2%	82%	81.43	68.81	58.62	45.45	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR30 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.65 HR/90.81
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	STL	34.3%	79%	74.52	59.01	55.96	57.36	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB333 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp78°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.59 HR/90.94
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYY	33.8%	82%	80.15	70.42	78.00	45.45	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.27
4	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CWS	33.5%	82%	80.04	70.42	85.93	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.16 HR/91.55
5	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	MIN	32.8%	82%	68.76	66.01	73.79	54.58	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp74°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameConnor Prielipp HandL ERA5.00 HR/91.08
6	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	36.0%	82%	73.14	70.21	75.39	39.62	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB337 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp54°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.51 HR/91.17
7	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	37.6%	79%	80.33	70.42	48.20	60.59	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB331 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp82°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA3.28 HR/91.04
8	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	COL	30.3%	82%	77.14	61.11	76.24	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB298 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA7.28 HR/91.91
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SF	30.3%	76%	79.50	73.01	55.81	43.27	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB308 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp59°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameCarson Whisenhunt HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.84
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CWS	30.1%	82%	76.01	63.91	69.84	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.16 HR/91.55
11	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	29.6%	79%	86.93	52.64	68.75	57.36	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp78°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA3.89 HR/91.30
12	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	37.5%	82%	67.64	61.53	84.01	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB376 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind7 mph WSW vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.60 HR/91.93
13	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BAL	29.2%	82%	67.51	66.01	60.84	47.37	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.69
14	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	28.4%	79%	77.16	39.55	57.72	57.36	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp78°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.59 HR/90.94
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CWS	28.2%	82%	67.52	61.11	77.25	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.16 HR/91.55
16	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	28.0%	82%	69.71	63.91	62.16	58.93	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA5.09 HR/91.43
17	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PHI	27.9%	82%	67.25	36.75	41.07	45.45	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB288 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.65 HR/90.81
18	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BAL	27.9%	82%	68.10	63.21	53.95	47.37	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB374 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.69
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	29.6%	82%	79.48	70.42	68.13	52.42	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB354 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA4.86 HR/90.86
20	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	27.0%	82%	67.49	66.01	57.60	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.14
21	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	NYM	26.8%	79%	78.54	66.01	70.73	48.55	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp66°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA5.01 HR/91.40
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	32.7%	79%	62.87	66.71	41.79	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.68 HR/90.84
23	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BAL	24.8%	82%	71.51	52.64	60.86	47.37	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB315 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.69
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	NYM	24.4%	79%	64.69	63.91	83.82	48.55	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR20 AB317 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp66°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA5.01 HR/91.40
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	CIN	24.2%	79%	77.15	43.75	60.06	57.36	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR15 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp78°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA3.89 HR/91.30

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