ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	LAA	46.6%	80%	81.43	68.81	35.00	62.05	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrent Suter HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.69
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIL	46.0%	80%	78.75	69.72	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR1 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA10.45 HR/93.48
3	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	LAA	42.4%	80%	51.93	56.21	35.00	62.05	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.332 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %35.0% Launch Angle21.4° bat tracking Bat Speed79.3 mph Squared Up16.5% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR1 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrent Suter HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.69
4	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	LAA	46.0%	80%	78.94	39.55	35.00	62.05	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR7 AB68 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrent Suter HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.69
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	SF	42.7%	80%	74.52	59.01	49.52	54.81	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR6 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	PIT	45.9%	83%	80.28	73.01	60.66	58.43	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR5 AB73 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA1.96 HR/91.15
7	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	TEX	42.0%	83%	68.76	66.01	76.56	47.30	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR1 AB59 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind14 mph N vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.91 HR/91.84
8	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	NYY	43.3%	83%	79.50	73.01	46.25	62.05	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR6 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp86°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA1.93 HR/91.15
9	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	HOU	39.6%	80%	41.14	22.75	80.00	59.08	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR4 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp81°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameRyan Weiss HandR ERA7.36 HR/92.45
10	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	COL	43.0%	80%	80.04	70.42	61.42	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR7 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJuan Mejia HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.08
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	LAA	44.8%	80%	67.25	36.75	35.00	62.05	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR2 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrent Suter HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.69
12	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	WSH	39.4%	83%	85.09	73.01	45.00	58.43	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR5 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp79°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA1.65 HR/91.10
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	COL	31.9%	80%	76.01	63.91	61.42	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJuan Mejia HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.08
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PIT	34.8%	83%	75.85	70.91	46.25	58.43	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA1.96 HR/91.15
15	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SF	35.4%	80%	77.16	39.55	49.52	54.81	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR7 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
16	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CWS	34.7%	80%	62.87	66.71	71.25	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR3 AB65 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameJordan Leasure HandR ERA4.00 HR/92.00
17	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BAL	37.5%	80%	80.33	70.42	46.67	52.87	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp72°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.50 HR/90.56
18	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	COL	32.7%	80%	67.52	61.11	61.42	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR4 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJuan Mejia HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.08
19	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	SD	29.6%	80%	77.62	73.01	49.66	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR4 AB59 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.97 HR/90.71
20	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	TB	33.8%	83%	72.67	63.21	43.40	47.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameSteven Matz HandL ERA3.94 HR/90.56
21	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	TOR	29.7%	80%	76.73	32.55	80.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR5 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA9.00 HR/94.50
22	Brice Turang ▸	MIL	TOR	32.9%	80%	68.92	34.65	80.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up32.5% Blast %14.5% EV50— season HR3 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA9.00 HR/94.50
23	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	TEX	32.8%	83%	54.87	43.12	76.56	47.30	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR6 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind14 mph N vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.91 HR/91.84
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SEA	32.2%	80%	69.71	63.91	52.50	49.52	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp68°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA6.92 HR/90.69
25	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	CWS	26.3%	80%	58.80	48.44	71.25	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR3 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameJordan Leasure HandR ERA4.00 HR/92.00

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