ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	39.3%	82%	81.43	68.81	67.57	44.40	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR39 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind23 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.94 HR/91.10
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATL	34.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	82.09	52.49	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR28 AB536 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.58
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	33.3%	82%	80.04	70.42	79.94	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR40 AB543 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA3.69 HR/91.42
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	33.0%	82%	78.75	69.72	46.34	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA4.64 HR/90.93
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIL	32.8%	82%	80.15	70.42	69.06	42.57	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.61 HR/90.77
6	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	32.4%	82%	51.89	54.11	62.48	44.40	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB502 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind23 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.94 HR/91.10
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CIN	32.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	94.40	52.49	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR40 AB605 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Williamson HandL ERA5.56 HR/91.65
8	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CLE	31.4%	82%	73.14	70.21	54.48	40.98	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp57°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.57 HR/90.86
9	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CIN	30.6%	82%	68.10	63.21	81.72	52.49	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB570 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Williamson HandL ERA5.56 HR/91.65
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	29.9%	82%	76.01	63.91	65.41	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB489 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA3.69 HR/91.42
11	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ATH	29.4%	82%	79.50	73.01	51.94	40.45	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp57°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrady Basso HandL ERA4.50 HR/90.68
12	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	29.4%	82%	67.64	61.53	82.96	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.38 HR/91.89
13	James Wood ▸	WSH	DET	29.0%	82%	80.28	73.01	70.38	37.54	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameDrew Anderson HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.24
14	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	28.9%	82%	72.67	63.21	59.49	47.24	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR32 AB430 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA3.29 HR/90.70
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PHI	28.8%	82%	77.14	61.11	46.72	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.99 HR/91.20
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATL	28.5%	82%	77.16	39.55	83.07	52.49	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB598 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.58
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	27.6%	82%	67.52	61.11	67.13	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB548 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA3.69 HR/91.42
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CIN	27.4%	82%	71.51	52.64	83.40	52.49	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Williamson HandL ERA5.56 HR/91.65
19	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	DET	27.3%	82%	75.85	70.91	66.75	37.54	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR31 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameDrew Anderson HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.24
20	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BOS	26.9%	82%	80.33	70.42	43.12	41.38	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB475 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp57°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.94
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	CHC	26.7%	69%	67.49	66.01	51.17	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB607 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	25.7%	82%	62.87	66.71	42.82	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB593 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp59°F Wind23 mph NW vs pitcher NameCarlos Rodón HandL ERA2.95 HR/90.83
23	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	25.4%	82%	86.93	52.64	65.16	42.43	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB587 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp58°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.17 HR/91.19
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SD	24.7%	82%	78.54	66.01	44.41	46.49	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.03 HR/90.99
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	LAD	24.7%	69%	69.71	63.91	62.96	46.49	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB607 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp64°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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