ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	COL	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	94.44	63.28	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	HOU	53.2%	86%	80.15	70.42	95.75	62.33	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA5.98 HR/91.63
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	COL	46.5%	86%	51.89	54.11	90.49	63.28	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR29 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	TB	45.7%	86%	69.74	70.21	53.82	60.08	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR16 AB353 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.98 HR/91.05
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	PHI	45.0%	86%	80.04	70.42	74.76	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.23 HR/91.32
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	TB	42.3%	86%	67.51	66.01	63.20	60.08	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB565 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.98 HR/91.05
7	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CWS	35.7%	80%	85.09	73.01	46.32	55.30	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR17 AB319 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp75°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameHagen Smith HandL ERA0.56 HR/90.56
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	PIT	35.6%	86%	72.67	63.21	83.18	55.30	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.46 HR/91.37
9	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	TB	38.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	53.11	60.08	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.98 HR/91.05
10	Cody Bellinger ▸	NYY	COL	41.8%	86%	35.43	40.74	74.61	63.28	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.0 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %39.2% Launch Angle22.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up30.1% Blast %6.8% EV50— season HR13 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	PHI	32.1%	86%	76.01	63.91	60.07	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR19 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.23 HR/91.32
12	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	COL	30.1%	86%	56.02	27.65	76.51	63.28	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR10 AB303 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
13	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	TB	39.6%	86%	71.51	52.64	55.08	60.08	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB487 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.98 HR/91.05
14	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	PHI	31.2%	86%	67.52	61.11	63.30	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB517 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.23 HR/91.32
15	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	HOU	34.8%	86%	68.02	41.65	85.82	62.33	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR27 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA5.98 HR/91.63
16	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATL	36.8%	86%	62.87	66.71	47.37	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.17 HR/90.92
17	Ryan McMahon ▸	NYY	COL	25.4%	86%	40.81	18.55	76.91	63.28	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.272 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %54.2% Launch Angle4.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up23.3% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB296 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
18	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	TEX	30.4%	86%	73.45	59.01	64.99	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR21 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.19
19	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	ATL	26.5%	86%	51.31	64.61	48.35	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB441 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.17 HR/90.92
20	Alec Bohm ▸	PHI	HOU	26.4%	86%	30.00	47.81	74.79	62.33	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.276 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up31.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR15 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA5.98 HR/91.63
21	Randy Arozarena ▸	SEA	TEX	27.2%	86%	55.09	59.01	61.72	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.380 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %8.0% Hard Hit %42.0% Launch Angle6.6° bat tracking Bat Speed68.9 mph Squared Up29.5% Blast %11.6% EV50— season HR22 AB512 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.19
22	Bryan Reynolds ▸	PIT	CWS	21.0%	80%	65.78	47.74	32.35	55.30	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.382 Exit Velo93.1 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.0 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %12.1% EV50— season HR16 AB541 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp75°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameHagen Smith HandL ERA0.56 HR/90.56
23	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	TB	22.1%	86%	41.64	43.12	41.25	60.08	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %35.3% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR11 AB517 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.98 HR/91.05
24	Nick Fortes ▸	TB	ATL	19.0%	86%	38.33	59.71	35.58	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.327 Exit Velo87.2 mph Barrel %2.4% Hard Hit %41.5% Launch Angle8.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up24.7% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR4 AB273 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.17 HR/90.92
25	Colson Montgomery ▸	CWS	PIT	20.1%	86%	25.47	47.11	77.19	55.30	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.270 Exit Velo85.4 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %28.2% Launch Angle26.2° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up10.3% Blast %8.6% EV50— season HR31 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.46 HR/91.37

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