ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	NYM	45.1%	86%	81.43	68.81	60.92	57.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB524 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp77°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.84
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	40.0%	86%	80.15	70.42	55.00	61.21	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.10 HR/90.54
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	NYM	38.9%	86%	51.89	54.11	58.49	57.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB474 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp77°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.84
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	38.1%	86%	74.52	59.01	59.74	56.17	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR26 AB501 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.75
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	37.6%	86%	67.51	66.01	92.25	61.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB567 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.86
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	WSH	37.6%	86%	79.50	73.01	51.72	59.48	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB464 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp88°F Wind11 mph SSW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.12 HR/90.96
7	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	STL	37.2%	86%	72.67	63.21	95.50	59.47	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA5.57 HR/91.62
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAA	36.9%	83%	80.28	73.01	81.71	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB463 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA4.96 HR/91.29
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	36.7%	83%	78.75	69.72	47.80	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB497 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA4.96 HR/90.95
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	36.3%	86%	68.10	63.21	82.19	61.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB532 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.86
11	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TB	36.0%	86%	80.04	70.42	60.22	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB522 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.82
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	35.7%	86%	80.33	70.42	57.74	59.24	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp82°F Wind14 mph S vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.95 HR/91.30
13	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAA	35.3%	83%	75.85	70.91	77.58	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA4.96 HR/91.29
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CWS	33.5%	86%	86.93	52.64	69.94	59.47	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.47 HR/91.28
15	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	33.0%	86%	71.51	52.64	84.08	61.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB489 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.86
16	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	MIL	32.8%	86%	53.95	54.11	53.40	56.17	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.75
17	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CIN	32.5%	86%	77.14	61.11	54.32	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.43 HR/91.30
18	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIA	32.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	55.58	60.51	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA4.23 HR/91.12
19	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TB	32.2%	86%	76.01	63.91	46.96	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.82
20	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	COL	31.6%	80%	79.48	70.42	81.24	53.18	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp73°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameMason Adams HandR ERA3.95 HR/92.63
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	31.4%	86%	77.16	39.55	60.88	56.17	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.75
22	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TEX	31.4%	73%	67.64	61.53	60.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB526 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp101°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	HOU	30.5%	80%	62.87	66.71	74.57	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB561 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp90°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameMiguel Ullola HandR ERA3.86 HR/92.57
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	MIA	29.9%	86%	64.69	63.91	70.10	60.51	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR27 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA4.23 HR/91.12
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	29.9%	80%	69.71	63.91	56.87	55.68	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR20 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp76°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameAnthony Molina HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.40

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