ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	90.65	47.64	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR39 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind11 mph NE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.38 HR/91.77
2	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ATH	48.4%	86%	79.50	73.01	85.13	61.50	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp84°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA6.18 HR/92.15
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	44.7%	83%	51.89	54.11	87.32	47.64	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind11 mph NE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.38 HR/91.77
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIL	48.1%	86%	80.15	70.42	71.31	47.49	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind11 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA2.51 HR/91.35
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATL	45.6%	86%	74.52	59.01	44.84	55.55	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR29 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp76°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.18 HR/90.52
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	45.0%	86%	80.04	70.42	75.40	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA4.24 HR/91.11
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	44.9%	86%	78.75	69.72	46.34	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA4.64 HR/90.93
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CIN	42.0%	86%	67.51	66.01	82.30	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR40 AB609 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.36
9	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	38.9%	83%	72.67	63.21	82.93	51.57	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR33 AB433 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.22
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CIN	36.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	69.68	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB574 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.36
11	James Wood ▸	WSH	DET	43.5%	86%	80.28	73.01	63.05	45.67	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB499 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp62°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.06 HR/90.85
12	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PHI	42.6%	86%	77.14	61.11	70.40	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind11 mph NE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.49 HR/91.82
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	31.8%	83%	67.64	61.53	81.64	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameMason Adams HandR ERA5.09 HR/92.35
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	DET	36.4%	86%	75.85	70.91	59.48	45.67	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp62°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.06 HR/90.85
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SD	36.2%	86%	78.54	66.01	51.32	60.86	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.60 HR/91.22
16	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BOS	36.4%	86%	80.33	70.42	41.29	45.59	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp62°F Wind11 mph NE vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA2.82 HR/90.88
17	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	LAD	39.3%	86%	69.71	63.91	46.46	60.86	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB611 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp83°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.51 HR/90.96
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CIN	39.1%	86%	71.51	52.64	71.35	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB531 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.36
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATL	35.6%	86%	77.16	39.55	45.00	55.55	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB602 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp76°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.18 HR/90.52
20	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	33.7%	83%	86.93	52.64	66.69	47.90	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB590 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.56 HR/91.40
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	CHC	38.1%	86%	67.49	66.01	55.39	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB612 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp64°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.55 HR/91.31
22	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SD	28.8%	86%	60.89	66.01	59.69	60.86	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR21 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.60 HR/91.22
23	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	WSH	30.3%	86%	79.48	70.42	62.78	45.67	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp62°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameRichard Lovelady HandL ERA3.86 HR/91.10
24	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	HOU	31.0%	83%	73.45	59.01	72.67	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR22 AB456 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameEthan Pecko HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.57
25	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	ARI	30.9%	86%	41.14	22.75	92.33	49.11	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR39 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp67°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA5.00 HR/91.61

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