ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	ATL	40.0%	82%	81.43	68.81	55.00	52.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB412 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.62
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	36.2%	82%	80.15	70.42	100.00	53.58	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA7.92 HR/92.64
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	34.7%	79%	73.14	70.21	65.97	53.84	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp73°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA4.59 HR/90.94
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIA	34.7%	82%	79.50	73.01	60.52	61.73	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR19 AB350 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp84°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.68 HR/90.98
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	WSH	34.6%	82%	74.52	59.01	54.95	59.01	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR20 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.94 HR/90.28
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	34.1%	82%	78.75	69.72	72.14	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.55 HR/92.10
7	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	ATL	33.8%	82%	51.89	54.11	51.53	52.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.62
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SD	32.7%	82%	80.04	70.42	67.29	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB418 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.45 HR/90.97
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYY	31.3%	82%	67.51	66.01	76.37	52.72	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR33 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.34
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	CIN	30.9%	79%	75.85	70.91	58.92	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB429 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.35 HR/90.99
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	30.5%	82%	80.33	70.42	53.57	53.28	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.01 HR/91.15
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYY	29.9%	82%	68.10	63.21	65.34	52.72	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB418 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.34
13	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	ATL	29.5%	82%	67.25	36.75	35.15	52.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB330 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.62
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	COL	29.4%	82%	86.93	52.64	86.58	53.28	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp73°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.81 HR/91.74
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SD	29.2%	82%	76.01	63.91	51.23	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR15 AB378 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.45 HR/90.97
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	MIN	29.0%	82%	77.14	61.11	50.38	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB335 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.69 HR/91.21
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	WSH	28.7%	82%	77.16	39.55	55.32	59.01	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR25 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.94 HR/90.28
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	LAD	27.6%	82%	67.64	61.53	47.79	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp97°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.76 HR/91.01
19	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ARI	27.4%	82%	78.54	66.01	49.05	55.11	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB427 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp97°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.66 HR/90.92
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SD	27.1%	82%	67.52	61.11	57.80	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.45 HR/90.97
21	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYY	26.7%	82%	71.51	52.64	69.03	52.72	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.34
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	SEA	26.3%	82%	62.87	66.71	53.02	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB429 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp62°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.06
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	LAA	25.5%	82%	67.49	66.01	29.70	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.54 HR/90.54
24	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	TEX	25.3%	82%	50.24	54.11	61.17	59.78	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR18 AB466 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.27
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	ARI	25.0%	82%	64.69	63.91	62.88	55.11	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR22 AB351 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp97°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.66 HR/90.92

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