ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIN	39.5%	82%	81.43	68.81	82.24	42.85	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR38 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.28 HR/91.38
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TEX	36.2%	69%	73.14	70.21	72.42	60.42	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR26 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp82°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	35.2%	79%	80.15	70.42	72.50	53.45	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB541 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind5 mph SSW vs pitcher NameJackson Kent HandL ERA6.59 HR/90.33
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	33.2%	82%	78.75	69.72	50.94	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameDrew Anderson HandR ERA3.80 HR/91.30
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	KC	32.9%	79%	80.04	70.42	71.38	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB523 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.25 HR/91.18
6	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	MIN	32.8%	82%	51.89	54.11	78.36	42.85	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.28 HR/91.38
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	32.5%	79%	79.50	73.01	65.95	50.39	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB475 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp69°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.41
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	PHI	32.0%	79%	80.28	73.01	55.13	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB474 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.79 HR/90.77
9	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	31.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	52.81	44.65	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR27 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp61°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.62 HR/90.99
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	30.9%	79%	67.51	66.01	80.34	50.23	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR39 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind16 mph S vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	30.5%	79%	75.85	70.91	51.22	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.79 HR/90.77
12	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	KC	29.5%	79%	76.01	63.91	57.52	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.25 HR/91.18
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	29.4%	79%	68.10	63.21	69.33	50.23	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind16 mph S vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	29.4%	82%	77.14	61.11	56.98	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp53°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.52 HR/91.47
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	28.8%	79%	86.93	52.64	68.90	54.36	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.16
16	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	28.3%	82%	72.67	63.21	75.96	41.88	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind12 mph SE vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.27
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	28.2%	82%	67.64	61.53	59.12	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR21 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.54 HR/91.05
18	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATH	27.8%	79%	62.87	66.71	82.20	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB574 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.53 HR/91.74
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	KC	27.2%	79%	67.52	61.11	59.29	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.25 HR/91.18
20	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	27.2%	82%	80.33	70.42	46.93	41.88	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB464 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp58°F Wind12 mph SE vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.86
21	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	26.1%	82%	53.95	54.11	46.75	44.65	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp61°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.62 HR/90.99
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	26.1%	79%	71.51	52.64	69.85	50.23	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind16 mph S vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ARI	25.7%	82%	67.49	66.01	34.54	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB587 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.63
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	25.5%	82%	78.54	66.01	66.75	44.65	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.81 HR/91.28
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	25.3%	82%	69.71	63.91	80.74	45.19	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR22 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp61°F Wind15 mph N vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.37 HR/91.74

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