ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	53.7%	83%	81.43	68.81	81.04	43.02	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR12 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA4.35 HR/91.31
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	43.1%	86%	78.75	69.72	46.88	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB146 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp52°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.95 HR/91.47
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	43.9%	86%	80.04	70.42	57.57	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR13 AB151 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA2.94 HR/90.69
4	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BAL	41.8%	83%	78.94	39.55	81.04	43.02	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR16 AB146 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA4.35 HR/91.31
5	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	TEX	35.7%	83%	61.77	66.01	79.85	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.89
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CLE	40.4%	86%	79.50	73.01	51.42	41.57	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB141 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp56°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA3.43 HR/91.14
7	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TEX	39.3%	83%	67.64	61.53	73.43	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.89
8	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BAL	40.3%	83%	67.25	36.75	62.71	43.02	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA4.35 HR/91.31
9	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	32.1%	86%	76.01	63.91	33.09	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA2.94 HR/90.69
10	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	33.5%	86%	67.52	61.11	51.41	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR9 AB149 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA2.94 HR/90.69
11	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	34.7%	80%	78.54	66.01	44.27	53.18	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.29
12	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	32.3%	86%	62.87	66.71	45.25	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.96
13	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	TOR	28.8%	86%	71.61	61.53	44.94	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR1 AB52 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.96
14	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	28.3%	80%	64.69	63.91	69.75	53.18	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR10 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.29
15	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	26.8%	80%	60.89	66.01	64.16	53.18	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR9 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.29
16	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	BAL	22.4%	83%	56.02	27.65	61.43	43.02	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR3 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp58°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA4.35 HR/91.31
17	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	HOU	23.0%	83%	73.45	59.01	49.43	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR3 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.15
18	Will Smith ▸	LAD	SF	26.4%	80%	50.79	66.01	47.74	53.18	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR3 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.29
19	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	SF	30.7%	80%	81.72	52.64	40.24	53.18	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR2 AB131 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA1.29 HR/91.29
20	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	NYY	27.9%	86%	50.24	54.11	60.20	43.02	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB171 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA3.03 HR/91.40
21	Randy Arozarena ▸	SEA	HOU	22.5%	83%	55.09	59.01	41.05	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.380 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %8.0% Hard Hit %42.0% Launch Angle6.6° bat tracking Bat Speed68.9 mph Squared Up29.5% Blast %11.6% EV50— season HR3 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.15
22	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	TOR	24.0%	86%	58.80	48.44	50.77	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR7 AB138 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.96
23	Angel Martínez ▸	CLE	LAA	19.6%	73%	48.40	59.01	60.36	41.57	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %6.5% Hard Hit %41.3% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR5 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
24	Andrew McCutchen ▸	TEX	ARI	19.9%	83%	37.13	45.01	51.32	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.282 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %20.0% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up14.5% Blast %6.5% EV50— season HR1 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA4.14 HR/90.97
25	Gabriel Moreno ▸	ARI	TEX	17.8%	83%	46.01	40.74	72.12	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.337 Exit Velo87.4 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle23.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up24.4% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR1 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.89

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