ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CHC	40.3%	82%	81.43	68.81	78.75	50.43	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.80 HR/90.95
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	BAL	34.1%	82%	80.15	70.42	63.63	49.87	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp68°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA3.98 HR/90.66
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	33.8%	82%	74.52	59.01	65.04	53.03	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.18
4	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	LAD	33.7%	79%	73.14	70.21	59.69	50.12	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB351 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp68°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.72 HR/90.93
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIL	33.3%	82%	79.50	73.01	84.15	50.53	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp69°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.71 HR/91.73
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TEX	33.1%	79%	80.04	70.42	77.08	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.31
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	33.1%	82%	80.28	73.01	75.65	53.73	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB427 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameReynaldo López HandR ERA3.64 HR/91.26
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	STL	33.1%	76%	78.75	69.72	47.92	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameQuinn Mathews HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	32.5%	82%	67.51	66.01	98.33	53.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR29 AB429 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.03
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	31.8%	82%	75.85	70.91	74.58	53.73	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameReynaldo López HandR ERA3.64 HR/91.26
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ARI	31.4%	73%	80.33	70.42	76.51	52.37	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp72°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameKohl Drake HandL ERA5.00 HR/92.00
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	31.3%	82%	68.10	63.21	90.27	53.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.03
13	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	DET	30.9%	79%	68.76	66.01	66.66	48.17	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp66°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.53 HR/90.95
14	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CHC	30.2%	82%	67.25	36.75	60.05	50.43	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB309 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.80 HR/90.95
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TEX	29.6%	79%	76.01	63.91	60.08	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.31
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	LAA	28.5%	82%	77.14	61.11	40.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB312 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA3.29 HR/90.88
17	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	TOR	28.4%	79%	86.93	52.64	67.75	52.82	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.51 HR/91.11
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	28.3%	82%	71.51	52.64	94.66	53.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.03
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	27.8%	82%	77.16	39.55	68.63	53.03	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB415 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.18
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	27.7%	79%	67.52	61.11	69.15	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.31
21	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	ATH	27.4%	79%	79.48	70.42	86.44	48.17	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR23 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp66°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.45 HR/91.45
22	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CLE	27.1%	79%	67.64	61.53	39.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.59 HR/90.79
23	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	BOS	26.0%	79%	78.54	66.01	49.81	50.12	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB406 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA3.32 HR/91.04
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CWS	25.6%	73%	62.87	66.71	41.63	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameJordan Hicks HandR ERA3.19 HR/90.29
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	25.5%	82%	69.71	63.91	57.99	50.41	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB427 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp69°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA4.96 HR/91.31

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