ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	38.4%	82%	81.43	68.81	69.92	37.25	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp51°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA4.20 HR/90.90
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	35.3%	79%	80.15	70.42	59.67	56.75	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.60
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	33.4%	76%	78.75	69.72	55.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp38°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameConnor Prielipp HandL ERA4.00 HR/91.15
4	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BOS	31.8%	82%	80.04	70.42	47.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR12 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA2.84 HR/91.14
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIL	31.1%	79%	80.28	73.01	36.50	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA2.28 HR/90.76
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	NYM	30.4%	82%	79.50	73.01	55.29	43.44	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR10 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp60°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA2.55 HR/90.51
7	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BAL	30.1%	82%	78.94	39.55	69.92	37.25	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR12 AB114 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp51°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA4.20 HR/90.90
8	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CLE	29.7%	82%	68.76	66.01	83.98	39.90	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp56°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA6.23 HR/91.78
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIL	29.7%	79%	75.85	70.91	36.50	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR8 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA2.28 HR/90.76
10	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	HOU	29.5%	79%	73.14	70.21	45.97	35.22	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR7 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp49°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameSpencer Arrighetti HandR ERA2.00 HR/90.50
11	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	29.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	75.76	32.15	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp36°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameCarmen Mlodzinski HandR ERA4.13 HR/91.15
12	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	BOS	29.0%	82%	76.01	63.91	47.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA2.84 HR/91.14
13	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	SD	28.2%	82%	72.67	63.21	57.50	45.25	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR13 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA2.41 HR/90.80
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATH	28.0%	82%	80.33	70.42	71.50	39.90	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.84 HR/91.46
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CHC	27.1%	82%	67.64	61.53	39.47	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp35°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.88 HR/90.79
16	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CIN	26.9%	82%	85.09	73.01	56.93	32.15	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp36°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA3.18 HR/90.26
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BOS	26.6%	82%	67.52	61.11	47.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR7 AB119 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA2.84 HR/91.14
18	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	26.5%	76%	67.49	66.01	48.92	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.25 HR/90.75
19	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	COL	26.5%	69%	69.74	70.21	48.66	32.50	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp43°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BAL	26.2%	82%	67.25	36.75	49.84	37.25	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR4 AB97 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp51°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA4.20 HR/90.90
21	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	COL	26.1%	69%	67.51	66.01	77.92	32.50	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR10 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp43°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	SF	25.5%	82%	62.87	66.71	38.81	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA2.55 HR/90.25
23	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	LAD	25.2%	82%	86.93	52.64	100.00	34.59	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR9 AB120 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp48°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA6.35 HR/92.78
24	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	COL	24.8%	69%	68.10	63.21	71.09	32.50	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp43°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	MIA	23.1%	79%	68.02	41.65	49.06	56.75	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB118 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.60

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