ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	STL	45.7%	83%	81.43	68.81	71.48	60.67	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA3.74 HR/91.07
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	41.7%	83%	80.15	70.42	96.73	61.92	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp85°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.13
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CWS	40.0%	86%	73.14	70.21	58.66	62.49	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp86°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.62 HR/90.54
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	STL	40.0%	83%	51.89	54.11	68.23	60.67	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA3.74 HR/91.07
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	39.2%	83%	74.52	59.01	58.29	61.87	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.46 HR/91.07
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BAL	39.0%	73%	79.50	73.01	68.56	62.39	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB335 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp85°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CIN	38.7%	83%	68.76	66.01	87.67	61.87	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp84°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.68 HR/91.76
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	PHI	38.2%	83%	80.28	73.01	64.09	61.92	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.57 HR/90.84
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	37.0%	86%	67.51	66.01	76.32	61.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA5.31 HR/90.92
10	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	HOU	36.9%	80%	78.75	69.72	51.63	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp90°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.15
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	36.8%	83%	75.85	70.91	62.26	61.92	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB412 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.57 HR/90.84
12	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TOR	36.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	69.17	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB406 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.73 HR/90.98
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	36.0%	86%	80.33	70.42	59.85	60.01	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp81°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.42 HR/91.28
14	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	STL	35.9%	83%	67.25	36.75	54.50	60.67	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB318 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA3.74 HR/91.07
15	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	35.6%	86%	68.10	63.21	66.71	61.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA5.31 HR/90.92
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	NYY	33.7%	86%	86.93	52.64	67.70	60.67	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA3.99 HR/91.33
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATH	33.1%	83%	77.16	39.55	61.97	61.87	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp84°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.46 HR/91.07
18	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CHC	33.0%	86%	78.54	66.01	65.72	60.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA3.75 HR/91.55
19	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	32.4%	86%	71.51	52.64	70.94	61.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA5.31 HR/90.92
20	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TOR	32.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	51.55	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.73 HR/90.98
21	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	32.3%	86%	77.14	61.11	51.55	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB321 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.21
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	31.8%	86%	79.48	70.42	64.85	57.35	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR23 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.26 HR/91.14
23	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	31.7%	86%	67.64	61.53	66.29	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp105°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.45 HR/91.33
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CHC	30.4%	86%	64.69	63.91	77.95	60.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA3.75 HR/91.55
25	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TOR	30.3%	86%	67.52	61.11	60.40	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB409 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.73 HR/90.98

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