ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	LAA	36.7%	79%	100.00	68.81	52.50	38.29	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.514 Exit Velo97.6 mph Barrel %27.8% Hard Hit %77.8% Launch Angle3.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB45 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp53°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA6.75 HR/90.61
2	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	LAA	35.0%	79%	89.47	52.64	52.50	38.29	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.408 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %18.2% Hard Hit %59.1% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB45 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp53°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA6.75 HR/90.61
3	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	34.3%	79%	91.76	52.64	77.43	40.57	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.464 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA5.06 HR/92.25
4	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	HOU	34.1%	79%	99.60	73.01	77.25	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.474 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %58.8% Launch Angle14.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB47 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp50°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA5.63 HR/91.69
5	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	TEX	33.7%	79%	76.69	66.01	80.00	35.98	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.364 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle10.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA7.98 HR/92.45
6	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	TEX	33.3%	79%	76.40	59.01	80.00	35.98	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %41.7% Launch Angle28.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA7.98 HR/92.45
7	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	TEX	32.9%	79%	74.14	56.91	80.00	35.98	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.334 Exit Velo95.1 mph Barrel %17.4% Hard Hit %65.2% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB59 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA7.98 HR/92.45
8	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	LAA	32.8%	79%	68.61	63.21	52.50	38.29	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %36.0% Launch Angle23.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp53°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA6.75 HR/90.61
9	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	LAA	32.3%	79%	74.72	32.55	52.50	38.29	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %26.1% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp53°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA6.75 HR/90.61
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	32.0%	79%	69.53	66.01	77.43	40.57	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %42.3% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA5.06 HR/92.25
11	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	31.5%	79%	100.00	70.42	57.67	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.606 Exit Velo96.2 mph Barrel %25.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle22.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp50°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.35
12	Randy Arozarena ▸	SEA	HOU	31.2%	79%	80.13	66.01	77.25	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.412 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle2.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp50°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA5.63 HR/91.69
13	Corey Seager ▸	TEX	ATH	30.7%	79%	81.24	34.65	63.17	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %53.6% Launch Angle14.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
14	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	BAL	30.1%	69%	85.22	70.42	57.92	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.436 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	29.5%	79%	89.28	61.11	57.67	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.389 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %20.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle20.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB57 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp50°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.35
16	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	28.9%	79%	82.45	70.91	57.67	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo87.8 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle8.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB56 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp50°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.35
17	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	ARI	28.7%	79%	55.13	54.11	72.42	45.52	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo88.7 mph Barrel %14.8% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle18.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA4.20 HR/92.40
18	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	STL	28.6%	79%	81.67	47.74	67.63	50.24	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.382 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %14.8% Hard Hit %51.9% Launch Angle10.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA3.38 HR/92.25
19	Brandon Nimmo ▸	TEX	ATH	28.1%	79%	63.88	36.75	63.17	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.371 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %6.9% Hard Hit %44.8% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB60 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
20	Jake Burger ▸	TEX	ATH	27.5%	79%	63.63	25.55	63.17	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle5.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
21	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	MIA	27.4%	79%	51.67	29.33	77.43	40.57	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.316 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %41.4% Launch Angle10.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB57 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA5.06 HR/92.25
22	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CHC	27.1%	76%	98.24	70.42	46.25	42.54	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %33.3% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle29.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB52 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	NYM	26.1%	79%	96.80	66.01	63.75	39.18	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.479 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %23.1% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp54°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA6.14 HR/91.15
24	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	NYM	25.9%	79%	100.00	52.64	63.75	39.18	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.448 Exit Velo94.6 mph Barrel %27.6% Hard Hit %55.2% Launch Angle10.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB42 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp54°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA6.14 HR/91.15
25	Jose Altuve ▸	HOU	SEA	25.5%	79%	71.40	39.55	57.67	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.429 Exit Velo87.2 mph Barrel %10.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle4.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB57 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp50°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.35

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