ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	NYM	40.1%	82%	81.43	68.81	66.77	51.23	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR37 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp70°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.81 HR/90.91
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	35.2%	82%	80.15	70.42	74.10	53.36	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR56 AB604 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.46 HR/91.24
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	NYM	34.0%	82%	51.89	54.11	64.33	51.23	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp70°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.81 HR/90.91
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAA	33.6%	79%	80.28	73.01	90.41	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB470 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA6.28 HR/91.54
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TB	33.5%	79%	80.04	70.42	84.78	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB522 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.35
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	WSH	33.4%	79%	79.50	73.01	78.28	52.21	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB470 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp71°F Wind4 mph SSW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.52 HR/91.48
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	32.8%	82%	78.75	69.72	42.50	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp70°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.15 HR/90.95
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAA	32.1%	79%	75.85	70.91	86.43	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB538 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA6.28 HR/91.54
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	32.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	91.01	53.36	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR38 AB576 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.71 HR/91.55
10	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	31.6%	82%	74.52	59.01	71.28	41.73	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR26 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.43 HR/91.38
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	STL	30.9%	82%	72.67	63.21	75.03	52.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.92 HR/91.17
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	30.8%	82%	68.10	63.21	81.18	53.36	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.71 HR/91.55
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TB	30.2%	79%	76.01	63.91	71.12	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.35
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CIN	28.4%	82%	77.14	61.11	38.42	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.73 HR/90.91
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIA	28.4%	82%	78.54	66.01	53.26	58.22	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.94 HR/91.10
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CWS	28.2%	69%	86.93	52.64	67.03	52.33	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TB	27.9%	79%	67.52	61.11	72.76	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.35
18	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	LAD	27.7%	82%	67.49	66.01	71.21	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA5.08 HR/91.87
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TEX	27.7%	82%	67.64	61.53	49.79	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameCal Quantrill HandR ERA2.89 HR/91.05
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	27.6%	82%	71.51	52.64	81.67	53.36	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB499 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.71 HR/91.55
21	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	27.2%	69%	80.33	70.42	57.02	39.77	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp54°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	COL	29.2%	82%	79.48	70.42	64.57	51.68	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp70°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA5.81 HR/90.78
23	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	MIL	26.4%	82%	53.95	54.11	66.12	41.73	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.43 HR/91.38
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	MIA	26.2%	82%	64.69	63.91	69.05	58.22	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.94 HR/91.10
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	HOU	25.8%	79%	62.87	66.71	43.80	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA3.35 HR/90.59

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