ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	58.77	60.63	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR17 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp88°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.72
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CWS	51.6%	86%	80.15	70.42	76.41	59.71	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp89°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA3.77 HR/91.26
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	45.2%	86%	73.14	70.21	71.39	60.63	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR12 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp88°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA3.52 HR/91.55
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	38.4%	86%	79.50	73.01	88.49	55.76	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA4.59 HR/91.76
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	37.4%	86%	80.28	73.01	92.62	52.66	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR16 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp102°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.69
6	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PIT	47.1%	86%	69.74	70.21	46.66	60.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.35 HR/90.53
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	36.6%	80%	80.04	70.42	72.27	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR21 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.32
8	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	HOU	36.4%	86%	68.76	66.01	50.43	59.24	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR11 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.77 HR/90.40
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	42.7%	86%	78.75	69.72	40.20	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind16 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.35 HR/91.05
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PIT	42.3%	86%	67.51	66.01	62.96	60.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB245 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.35 HR/90.53
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	35.6%	86%	75.85	70.91	85.00	52.66	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR12 AB226 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp102°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.69
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	35.4%	86%	86.93	52.64	96.65	61.31	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR15 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA6.18 HR/92.82
13	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	44.8%	86%	67.25	36.75	38.26	60.63	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR7 AB198 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp88°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.72
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PIT	42.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	60.59	60.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR13 AB216 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.35 HR/90.53
15	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TEX	34.6%	86%	80.33	70.42	41.99	58.41	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp80°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA3.54 HR/90.80
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	33.4%	86%	77.16	39.55	70.46	61.31	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB229 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp83°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.31
17	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	38.3%	86%	79.48	70.42	58.67	61.21	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB203 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp83°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA3.44 HR/90.76
18	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	32.4%	80%	76.01	63.91	51.06	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB208 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.32
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	31.9%	86%	67.64	61.53	68.98	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR9 AB219 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp102°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.76 HR/91.75
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	31.3%	73%	78.54	66.01	61.67	55.76	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR9 AB229 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	30.9%	80%	67.52	61.11	70.80	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.32
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	36.0%	86%	67.49	66.01	46.84	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB244 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA3.36 HR/91.22
23	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	CIN	29.2%	86%	77.15	43.75	77.42	61.31	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR7 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA6.18 HR/92.82
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	LAA	28.9%	73%	64.69	63.91	77.01	55.76	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR14 AB189 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	LAA	28.7%	73%	60.89	66.01	70.03	55.76	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR13 AB238 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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