ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATH	49.4%	86%	80.15	70.42	72.43	59.72	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind16 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA4.46 HR/90.94
2	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	47.1%	86%	78.94	39.55	66.25	57.92	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR14 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp79°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.01 HR/91.15
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	39.4%	86%	78.75	69.72	45.56	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp84°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.64 HR/91.47
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIN	46.1%	83%	80.28	73.01	67.04	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB134 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA2.85 HR/91.10
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	42.4%	86%	74.52	59.01	93.64	41.28	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA4.41 HR/92.34
6	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	PHI	42.1%	86%	68.76	66.01	37.33	59.72	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB119 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind16 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.90 HR/90.67
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CWS	43.3%	83%	79.50	73.01	75.57	45.38	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR10 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp62°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.24 HR/91.35
8	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TEX	44.7%	86%	67.25	36.75	51.25	57.92	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp79°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.01 HR/91.15
9	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ARI	44.5%	86%	85.09	73.01	48.09	51.83	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp71°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA3.03 HR/91.10
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIN	38.8%	83%	75.85	70.91	62.53	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR8 AB118 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA2.85 HR/91.10
11	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	DET	41.1%	86%	73.14	70.21	39.96	39.09	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR7 AB122 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp54°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.35 HR/90.45
12	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	LAA	30.2%	80%	72.67	63.21	79.42	45.38	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameSam Aldegheri HandL ERA5.40 HR/95.40
13	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SEA	38.1%	83%	67.51	66.01	60.42	47.61	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR12 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.00 HR/90.80
14	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAD	34.3%	86%	76.01	63.91	43.01	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB122 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameShohei Ohtani HandR ERA0.60 HR/91.15
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	37.4%	86%	67.64	61.53	68.65	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind12 mph W vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.55
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	HOU	38.4%	83%	78.54	66.01	47.95	58.60	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR3 AB134 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp81°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.52 HR/91.15
17	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	34.0%	83%	86.93	52.64	100.00	41.95	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp56°F Wind14 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA6.75 HR/92.36
18	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAD	34.0%	86%	67.52	61.11	58.72	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR8 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameShohei Ohtani HandR ERA0.60 HR/91.15
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	BAL	35.0%	86%	67.49	66.01	54.29	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB136 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.96
20	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	HOU	30.2%	83%	64.69	63.91	72.20	58.60	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR9 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp81°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.52 HR/91.15
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	32.7%	86%	62.87	66.71	51.61	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA3.10 HR/91.11
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	32.4%	86%	77.16	39.55	91.61	41.28	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB131 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA4.41 HR/92.34
23	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	35.0%	86%	80.33	70.42	52.03	35.30	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp49°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameStephen Kolek HandR ERA3.51 HR/90.72
24	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	MIA	36.1%	86%	50.24	54.11	54.65	61.79	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB144 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.04 HR/90.76
25	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SEA	34.7%	83%	71.51	52.64	54.83	47.61	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR9 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA3.00 HR/90.80

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