ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	ATL	49.9%	82%	81.43	68.81	81.83	54.83	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR32 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp75°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.50
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	46.0%	82%	80.15	70.42	95.22	53.61	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.11 HR/91.70
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	WSH	45.2%	76%	74.52	59.01	63.01	61.48	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR20 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrad Lord HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.07
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	ATL	39.7%	82%	51.89	54.11	77.59	54.83	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp75°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.50
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIA	42.4%	79%	79.50	73.01	67.23	60.02	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR19 AB353 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp83°F Wind12 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.00
6	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	38.6%	82%	73.14	70.21	64.89	52.16	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp71°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.01
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SD	33.2%	69%	80.04	70.42	77.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	39.8%	82%	78.75	69.72	35.53	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR7 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.36 HR/90.79
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	CIN	41.1%	79%	75.85	70.91	88.01	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB434 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.66
10	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	ATL	40.1%	82%	67.25	36.75	63.99	54.83	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp75°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.50
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYY	36.3%	82%	67.51	66.01	58.50	54.83	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR33 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA2.26 HR/90.84
12	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	WSH	36.5%	76%	77.16	39.55	64.49	61.48	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR25 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrad Lord HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.07
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SD	29.7%	69%	76.01	63.91	61.71	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR15 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	COL	33.2%	82%	86.93	52.64	81.47	54.51	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR23 AB441 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.94 HR/91.42
15	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYY	33.2%	82%	68.10	63.21	47.23	54.83	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA2.26 HR/90.84
16	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	35.4%	82%	80.33	70.42	45.72	48.52	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB376 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp66°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA4.13 HR/90.74
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	LAD	27.9%	82%	67.64	61.53	53.60	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB429 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.31 HR/91.23
18	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SD	27.7%	69%	67.52	61.11	68.34	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	LAA	32.5%	79%	67.49	66.01	69.15	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind12 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA7.24 HR/91.59
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ARI	27.6%	82%	78.54	66.01	40.73	57.59	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB431 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp92°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.71 HR/90.86
21	William Contreras ▸	MIL	MIN	29.8%	82%	54.94	63.21	53.72	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR11 AB415 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameConnor Prielipp HandL ERA4.75 HR/91.04
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYY	33.5%	82%	71.51	52.64	50.84	54.83	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA2.26 HR/90.84
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	SEA	26.3%	82%	62.87	66.71	52.84	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB434 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp59°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.33 HR/91.16
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	HOU	26.2%	82%	69.71	63.91	64.01	51.87	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR10 AB455 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp71°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA6.59 HR/91.32
25	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	MIL	32.2%	82%	64.66	61.53	38.43	45.31	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR10 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA1.63 HR/90.78

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