ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PHI	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	62.42	60.31	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR30 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.43 HR/90.78
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYY	48.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	59.50	60.31	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA2.20 HR/90.88
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	44.5%	86%	73.14	70.21	64.68	58.97	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB331 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp81°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.78 HR/90.89
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	STL	47.2%	86%	74.52	59.01	57.42	52.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB326 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.78 HR/90.64
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	44.8%	80%	78.75	69.72	45.03	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB363 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NamePatrick Sandoval HandL ERA4.82 HR/90.96
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SF	36.6%	83%	79.50	73.01	57.79	53.81	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB303 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp73°F Wind15 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA3.87 HR/90.76
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BAL	42.3%	86%	67.51	66.01	65.55	59.63	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.28 HR/90.93
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	45.7%	83%	80.28	73.01	60.35	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR28 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.62 HR/90.93
9	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PHI	34.5%	86%	67.25	36.75	45.28	60.31	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB281 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.43 HR/90.78
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BAL	39.0%	86%	68.10	63.21	59.07	59.63	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.28 HR/90.93
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	42.4%	86%	80.33	70.42	39.16	58.79	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp91°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA3.16 HR/90.69
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	38.5%	83%	75.85	70.91	57.98	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR24 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.62 HR/90.93
13	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	COL	36.0%	86%	77.14	61.11	72.69	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB292 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.79
14	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	ATH	36.5%	86%	51.60	63.91	75.01	57.14	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR13 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA6.64 HR/91.66
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	NYM	36.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	67.27	58.06	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp80°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.74 HR/91.36
16	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	37.9%	80%	79.48	70.42	77.69	56.25	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB350 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameBeck Way HandR ERA3.22 HR/91.61
17	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	39.0%	86%	86.93	52.64	76.13	52.23	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.75 HR/91.13
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BAL	40.0%	86%	71.51	52.64	63.61	59.63	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR19 AB306 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.28 HR/90.93
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	38.2%	83%	67.64	61.53	57.77	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB370 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp113°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameCarson Palmquist HandL ERA8.74 HR/90.79
20	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	39.5%	86%	67.49	66.01	74.35	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind11 mph E vs pitcher NameGermán Márquez HandR ERA5.24 HR/92.22
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	38.8%	73%	69.71	63.91	51.88	58.49	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp91°F Wind11 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	36.9%	86%	77.16	39.55	59.23	52.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB386 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.78 HR/90.64
23	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	NYM	36.0%	86%	60.89	66.01	70.93	58.06	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR17 AB392 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp80°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.74 HR/91.36
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	37.2%	86%	62.87	66.71	52.78	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA3.74 HR/91.02
25	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	ATL	33.2%	86%	50.24	54.11	64.64	59.63	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR17 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.70 HR/91.46

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