ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PHI	45.7%	73%	81.43	68.81	77.92	59.59	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR30 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYY	40.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	86.08	59.59	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA4.40 HR/91.50
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	STL	39.3%	86%	74.52	59.01	56.53	62.29	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB330 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp85°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA4.02 HR/90.85
4	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	43.8%	86%	73.14	70.21	53.04	58.27	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB335 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp80°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.60
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	47.9%	80%	80.28	73.01	95.77	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR28 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Bratt HandL ERA5.06 HR/92.53
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CWS	36.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	67.58	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB376 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.04
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	40.6%	80%	75.85	70.91	93.68	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR24 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Bratt HandL ERA5.06 HR/92.53
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	44.2%	86%	78.75	69.72	34.56	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA2.48 HR/90.97
9	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PHI	36.0%	73%	67.25	36.75	60.59	59.59	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB284 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SF	43.6%	83%	79.50	73.01	65.31	48.42	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp66°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.33 HR/91.22
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BAL	35.4%	86%	67.51	66.01	61.15	58.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.25 HR/90.89
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	35.3%	83%	86.93	52.64	88.82	62.29	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameHunter Greene HandR ERA6.06 HR/91.65
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	34.6%	86%	80.33	70.42	40.43	58.53	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB331 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp91°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.59 HR/90.89
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BAL	34.1%	86%	68.10	63.21	54.22	58.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB370 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.25 HR/90.89
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	COL	33.7%	86%	77.14	61.11	77.02	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB295 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.48 HR/91.92
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	33.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	58.26	62.29	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp85°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA4.02 HR/90.85
17	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CWS	31.9%	86%	76.01	63.91	42.32	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB441 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.04
18	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	NYM	31.0%	86%	78.54	66.01	45.95	57.82	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp79°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.79
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	39.5%	86%	67.64	61.53	54.07	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp108°F Wind9 mph WSW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA2.68 HR/91.30
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BAL	30.9%	86%	71.51	52.64	61.38	58.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB311 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.25 HR/90.89
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	38.6%	86%	67.49	66.01	62.16	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp92°F Wind14 mph SE vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.72 HR/91.44
22	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CWS	30.2%	86%	67.52	61.11	59.20	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.04
23	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	38.2%	86%	69.71	63.91	49.37	57.34	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp92°F Wind14 mph SE vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.28
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	29.9%	86%	62.87	66.71	64.91	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA3.86 HR/91.51
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	CIN	29.6%	83%	77.15	43.75	79.50	62.29	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR15 AB392 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameHunter Greene HandR ERA6.06 HR/91.65

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