ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PHI	45.4%	86%	81.43	68.81	58.62	60.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR30 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.65 HR/90.81
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYY	40.8%	86%	80.15	70.42	78.00	60.72	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.27
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	44.3%	86%	73.14	70.21	75.39	55.85	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB337 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp77°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.51 HR/91.17
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	STL	48.3%	86%	74.52	59.01	55.96	56.03	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB333 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp95°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.59 HR/90.94
5	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	MIN	46.0%	86%	68.76	66.01	73.79	59.46	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp90°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameConnor Prielipp HandL ERA5.00 HR/91.08
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CWS	45.6%	86%	80.04	70.42	85.93	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.16 HR/91.55
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	45.9%	77%	80.28	73.01	64.31	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR28 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameKohl Drake HandL ERA1.80 HR/91.15
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BAL	42.2%	86%	67.51	66.01	60.84	60.49	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.69
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	43.9%	86%	78.75	69.72	28.79	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.15 HR/90.49
10	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PHI	35.3%	86%	67.25	36.75	41.07	60.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB288 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.65 HR/90.81
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	41.2%	86%	80.33	70.42	46.49	59.09	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB332 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp91°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA3.17 HR/91.00
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BAL	39.0%	86%	68.10	63.21	53.95	60.49	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB374 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.69
13	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	38.8%	77%	75.85	70.91	62.22	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR25 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameKohl Drake HandL ERA1.80 HR/91.15
14	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CWS	30.9%	86%	76.01	63.91	69.84	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.16 HR/91.55
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	NYM	38.7%	86%	78.54	66.01	70.73	59.50	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp81°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA5.01 HR/91.40
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	41.7%	86%	67.64	61.53	84.01	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB376 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp100°F Wind8 mph WSW vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.60 HR/91.93
17	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	39.8%	86%	86.93	52.64	68.75	56.03	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp95°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA3.89 HR/91.30
18	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	34.6%	83%	79.48	70.42	68.13	57.80	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB354 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp79°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA4.86 HR/90.86
19	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BAL	40.2%	86%	71.51	52.64	60.86	60.49	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB315 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.69
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	39.1%	86%	69.71	63.91	62.16	57.21	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp92°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA5.09 HR/91.43
21	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	NYM	34.2%	86%	64.69	63.91	83.82	59.50	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR20 AB317 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp81°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA5.01 HR/91.40
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	38.3%	86%	67.49	66.01	57.60	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp92°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.14
23	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	NYM	36.6%	86%	60.89	66.01	71.85	59.50	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR17 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp81°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA5.01 HR/91.40
24	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	ATL	33.5%	86%	50.24	54.11	64.89	60.49	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR18 AB430 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameReynaldo López HandR ERA3.95 HR/91.36
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	36.3%	86%	62.87	66.71	40.74	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.61 HR/90.82

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