ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	NYM	38.1%	82%	81.43	68.81	55.00	38.17	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR13 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp51°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameClay Holmes HandR ERA1.86 HR/90.56
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TEX	33.6%	82%	80.04	70.42	88.21	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR14 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp73°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.48
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	BAL	33.1%	79%	80.28	73.01	79.87	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR12 AB167 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.48 HR/91.02
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	32.2%	76%	78.75	69.72	28.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp43°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameTy Madden HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.82
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	BAL	31.5%	79%	75.85	70.91	73.42	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.48 HR/91.02
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	31.1%	76%	79.50	73.01	63.75	44.66	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB153 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp61°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlake Snell HandL ERA12.00 HR/91.15
7	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	SF	30.4%	82%	68.76	66.01	80.07	43.26	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB153 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73
8	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATL	30.0%	76%	73.14	70.21	53.77	35.49	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp49°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameSpencer Strider HandR ERA2.89 HR/90.96
9	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	PIT	30.0%	82%	80.15	70.42	57.58	33.02	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR18 AB164 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp43°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA2.77 HR/90.74
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TEX	29.8%	82%	76.01	63.91	62.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB148 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp73°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.48
11	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	NYM	29.6%	82%	78.94	39.55	55.00	38.17	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR16 AB157 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp51°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameClay Holmes HandR ERA1.86 HR/90.56
12	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	29.5%	82%	74.52	59.01	75.45	32.50	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp41°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.17 HR/91.39
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	29.2%	82%	67.64	61.53	80.00	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.00 HR/92.10
14	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	PHI	28.5%	82%	85.09	73.01	83.86	33.02	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp43°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.50
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	28.5%	82%	67.52	61.11	83.91	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR10 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp73°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.48
16	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CHC	28.1%	82%	72.67	63.21	79.55	40.23	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA3.88 HR/91.36
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	26.5%	76%	67.49	66.01	48.51	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB171 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameJesse Scholtens HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.32
18	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BOS	26.4%	82%	67.51	66.01	67.60	35.49	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB170 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp49°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.16 HR/91.05
19	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	NYM	25.9%	82%	67.25	36.75	41.05	38.17	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR6 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp51°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameClay Holmes HandR ERA1.86 HR/90.56
20	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	25.6%	82%	62.87	66.71	41.01	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA3.25 HR/90.81
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	KC	25.4%	82%	86.93	52.64	60.26	43.49	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR12 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA2.63 HR/90.88
22	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	25.0%	82%	80.33	70.42	53.24	32.50	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp41°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.47 HR/90.97
23	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BOS	24.3%	82%	68.10	63.21	47.60	35.49	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp49°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.16 HR/91.05
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	23.8%	82%	78.54	66.01	37.35	44.66	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA3.97 HR/90.40
25	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	22.6%	82%	77.16	39.55	76.91	32.50	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB168 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp41°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.17 HR/91.39

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