ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PIT	40.6%	82%	81.43	68.81	81.15	53.77	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR29 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.13
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	LAD	35.9%	82%	80.15	70.42	95.97	52.92	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA4.81 HR/92.11
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	BAL	35.3%	82%	73.14	70.21	90.16	52.13	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp71°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA4.15 HR/93.12
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	33.5%	82%	78.75	69.72	58.78	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB355 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA4.08 HR/91.56
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	STL	33.1%	79%	79.50	73.01	70.25	52.37	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB300 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp71°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.21
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	MIA	32.8%	82%	80.04	70.42	68.61	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR33 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.89 HR/90.92
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	SEA	32.6%	79%	74.52	59.01	58.10	48.70	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.17 HR/91.09
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	COL	32.2%	73%	80.28	73.01	69.65	50.57	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR28 AB392 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA3.14 HR/91.15
9	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PIT	31.2%	82%	67.25	36.75	64.47	53.77	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB274 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.13
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SD	31.0%	82%	67.51	66.01	62.12	54.65	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB390 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.87
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	COL	30.7%	73%	75.85	70.91	66.23	50.57	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR24 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA3.14 HR/91.15
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SD	29.7%	82%	68.10	63.21	53.25	54.65	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR18 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.87
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	29.4%	82%	80.33	70.42	66.81	46.14	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB319 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp62°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.32 HR/91.52
14	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	MIA	29.1%	82%	76.01	63.91	50.78	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR12 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.89 HR/90.92
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	NYM	28.7%	82%	77.14	61.11	43.53	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB289 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA2.87 HR/91.06
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	PHI	28.6%	82%	78.54	66.01	84.16	52.92	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.68 HR/92.01
17	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	LAA	27.9%	82%	86.93	52.64	62.23	52.37	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA4.16 HR/90.94
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	ATH	27.5%	79%	67.64	61.53	45.99	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR14 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA3.78 HR/90.69
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	MIA	27.3%	82%	67.52	61.11	60.85	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.89 HR/90.92
20	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CHC	27.1%	79%	79.48	70.42	80.32	48.48	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB343 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp66°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.74 HR/91.34
21	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SD	26.6%	82%	71.51	52.64	57.86	54.65	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB299 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.87
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	26.3%	82%	62.87	66.71	53.77	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp60°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameBraydon Fisher HandR ERA3.65 HR/91.09
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	HOU	26.2%	82%	67.49	66.01	43.58	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.03 HR/91.08
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	PHI	26.2%	82%	64.69	63.91	95.23	52.92	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR19 AB308 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.68 HR/92.01
25	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SEA	26.2%	79%	77.16	39.55	59.88	48.70	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR20 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.17 HR/91.09

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