ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	54.3%	73%	81.43	68.81	77.92	43.51	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	54.5%	86%	80.15	70.42	92.75	60.32	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind17 mph SE vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.72
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	HOU	48.4%	86%	73.14	70.21	92.03	44.65	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR7 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA6.25 HR/91.99
4	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BAL	46.0%	73%	78.94	39.55	77.92	43.51	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR12 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	NYM	47.4%	77%	79.50	73.01	83.75	53.63	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR10 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp73°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.15
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	44.7%	86%	78.75	69.72	71.33	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp52°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA6.30 HR/91.80
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BOS	46.0%	73%	80.04	70.42	77.92	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR12 AB118 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	SD	46.0%	83%	72.67	63.21	93.47	49.23	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameGermán Márquez HandR ERA4.38 HR/92.19
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIL	45.9%	83%	80.28	73.01	69.72	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB122 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.10
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CIN	45.3%	86%	85.09	73.01	90.14	38.85	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp53°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.55
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIL	38.8%	83%	75.85	70.91	68.06	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR8 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.10
12	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	COL	43.4%	83%	69.74	70.21	76.56	40.39	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA4.91 HR/91.96
13	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	MIA	41.3%	86%	68.02	41.65	83.07	60.32	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB114 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind17 mph SE vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.72
14	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	39.5%	86%	74.52	59.01	58.97	38.85	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp53°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA3.18 HR/90.26
15	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATH	41.2%	80%	80.33	70.42	64.25	52.74	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.24 HR/91.44
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	LAD	37.7%	86%	86.93	52.64	85.05	43.58	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR9 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp59°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA4.78 HR/91.37
17	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CLE	38.7%	83%	68.76	66.01	49.99	52.74	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA2.97 HR/91.19
18	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	COL	36.6%	83%	67.51	66.01	76.56	40.39	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR9 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA4.91 HR/91.96
19	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	BOS	31.1%	73%	76.01	63.91	56.62	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BOS	35.4%	73%	67.52	61.11	67.61	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR7 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CHC	35.4%	83%	67.64	61.53	54.26	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp46°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.61 HR/90.99
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	STL	36.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	75.62	43.58	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR3 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp59°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.75 HR/92.37
23	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	ATL	34.9%	86%	41.14	22.75	78.78	40.39	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR9 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp55°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.39
24	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	COL	35.9%	83%	71.51	52.64	76.56	40.39	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR7 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA4.91 HR/91.96
25	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	32.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	58.97	38.85	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB114 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp53°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA3.18 HR/90.26

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