ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	32.7%	82%	78.75	69.72	39.50	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
2	James Wood ▸	WSH	DET	30.2%	79%	80.28	73.01	73.53	41.63	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB491 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameRiver Ryan HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	DET	28.6%	79%	75.85	70.91	69.77	41.63	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR31 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameRiver Ryan HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Davis Schneider ▸	TOR	BAL	28.5%	82%	73.73	59.01	43.74	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %26.7% Hard Hit %60.0% Launch Angle22.2° bat tracking Bat Speed71.7 mph Squared Up31.6% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR4 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
5	Victor Caratini ▸	MIN	SF	26.1%	82%	60.22	66.01	52.95	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %6.7% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle12.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.0 mph Squared Up34.6% Blast %13.6% EV50— season HR7 AB320 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
6	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	WSH	24.5%	79%	79.48	70.42	67.92	41.63	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB536 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	SF	24.3%	82%	51.60	63.91	62.20	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
8	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	TOR	22.0%	82%	50.24	54.11	51.99	49.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR23 AB609 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
9	Jeremiah Jackson ▸	BAL	TOR	20.9%	82%	44.80	54.11	49.60	49.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %10.5% Hard Hit %28.9% Launch Angle-0.6° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up27.9% Blast %11.6% EV50— season HR9 AB262 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
10	Colt Keith ▸	DET	WSH	19.9%	79%	66.09	66.01	55.96	41.63	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR10 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
11	Ryan Jeffers ▸	MIN	SF	19.5%	82%	73.95	41.65	65.34	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.402 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle18.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %16.2% EV50— season HR14 AB302 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
12	Kevin McGonigle ▸	DET	WSH	19.2%	79%	61.53	66.01	57.28	41.63	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %37.7% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up33.7% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR17 AB583 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Spencer Torkelson ▸	DET	WSH	18.3%	79%	59.57	63.21	65.79	41.63	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %11.4% EV50— season HR24 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameDJ Herz HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	Josh Smith ▸	TOR	BAL	17.0%	82%	24.45	49.91	46.10	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.287 Exit Velo86.8 mph Barrel %4.9% Hard Hit %34.1% Launch Angle15.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up27.9% Blast %8.1% EV50— season HR6 AB195 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
15	Andrés Giménez ▸	TOR	BAL	14.9%	82%	23.61	45.01	40.83	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.297 Exit Velo86.8 mph Barrel %6.0% Hard Hit %30.0% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed66.8 mph Squared Up30.5% Blast %6.3% EV50— season HR9 AB455 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
16	Leody Taveras ▸	BAL	TOR	14.4%	82%	47.50	36.75	41.68	49.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.372 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %4.8% Hard Hit %38.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.0 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %9.8% EV50— season HR8 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
17	Royce Lewis ▸	MIN	SF	14.3%	82%	63.91	32.55	58.53	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %54.2% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up27.9% Blast %18.0% EV50— season HR14 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
18	Coby Mayo ▸	BAL	TOR	14.1%	82%	12.76	47.81	62.30	49.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.260 Exit Velo82.4 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %32.0% Launch Angle23.0° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up12.1% Blast %4.5% EV50— season HR24 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
19	Brooks Lee ▸	MIN	SF	14.0%	82%	19.34	49.91	64.42	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.241 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %5.1% Hard Hit %38.5% Launch Angle15.7° bat tracking Bat Speed70.0 mph Squared Up26.7% Blast %7.0% EV50— season HR23 AB561 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
20	Pete Alonso ▸	BAL	TOR	13.2%	82%	57.03	25.55	65.07	49.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo95.0 mph Barrel %7.0% Hard Hit %58.1% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.1 mph Squared Up26.5% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR38 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
21	Samuel Basallo ▸	BAL	TOR	13.0%	82%	55.08	26.95	57.21	49.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.314 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %43.8% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.96
22	Austin Martin ▸	MIN	SF	12.1%	82%	41.87	36.75	49.02	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo83.2 mph Barrel %3.7% Hard Hit %29.6% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed68.3 mph Squared Up31.5% Blast %11.1% EV50— season HR3 AB298 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
23	George Springer ▸	TOR	BAL	11.0%	82%	36.42	26.53	47.42	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %10.0% Hard Hit %42.5% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up18.3% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR15 AB447 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78
24	Kody Clemens ▸	MIN	SF	10.9%	82%	46.82	27.65	69.30	41.69	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle10.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %9.1% EV50— season HR26 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.18
25	Kazuma Okamoto ▸	TOR	BAL	10.3%	82%	34.62	22.75	61.34	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.290 Exit Velo88.6 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %38.9% Launch Angle20.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR33 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.11 HR/90.78

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