ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	LAD	30.1%	82%	69.74	70.21	51.49	45.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR20 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.53 HR/90.97
2	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	LAD	28.6%	82%	67.51	66.01	58.96	45.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB625 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.53 HR/90.97
3	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SD	28.1%	82%	77.14	61.11	32.97	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
4	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIL	27.3%	82%	69.71	63.91	56.24	57.34	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB626 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.86
5	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	LAD	27.2%	82%	68.10	63.21	48.72	45.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB591 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.53 HR/90.97
6	William Contreras ▸	MIL	SD	25.5%	82%	54.94	63.21	37.25	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR18 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
7	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	SD	25.4%	82%	75.50	52.64	47.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR12 AB225 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
8	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ATL	23.8%	82%	78.54	66.01	31.56	45.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.16 HR/90.55
9	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	LAD	23.7%	82%	71.51	52.64	49.06	45.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR25 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.53 HR/90.97
10	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	ATL	21.5%	82%	64.69	63.91	47.40	45.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB488 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.16 HR/90.55
11	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	ATL	21.3%	82%	60.89	66.01	39.61	45.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.16 HR/90.55
12	Will Smith ▸	LAD	ATL	19.7%	82%	50.79	66.01	41.43	45.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.16 HR/90.55
13	Jackson Merrill ▸	SD	MIL	18.8%	82%	54.44	48.44	57.81	57.34	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up19.1% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR26 AB613 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.86
14	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	ATL	18.8%	82%	81.72	52.64	25.49	45.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR4 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.16 HR/90.55
15	Xander Bogaerts ▸	SD	MIL	18.5%	82%	55.47	48.44	49.20	57.34	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo89.5 mph Barrel %7.0% Hard Hit %40.4% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %13.2% EV50— season HR13 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.86
16	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	SD	17.9%	82%	76.73	32.55	49.13	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR26 AB477 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
17	Brice Turang ▸	MIL	SD	16.9%	82%	68.92	34.65	39.30	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up32.5% Blast %14.5% EV50— season HR21 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
18	Austin Hays ▸	SD	MIL	15.0%	82%	27.60	50.61	51.12	57.34	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.264 Exit Velo85.1 mph Barrel %5.0% Hard Hit %55.0% Launch Angle-2.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.7 mph Squared Up19.3% Blast %10.5% EV50— season HR3 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.86
19	Christian Yelich ▸	MIL	SD	14.7%	82%	31.97	45.01	35.04	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.283 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %5.4% Hard Hit %40.5% Launch Angle-2.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.4 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %10.3% EV50— season HR12 AB442 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
20	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	LAD	14.5%	82%	41.64	43.12	36.92	45.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %35.3% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR12 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.53 HR/90.97
21	Joey Ortiz ▸	MIL	SD	14.0%	82%	16.07	49.91	33.68	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.229 Exit Velo85.4 mph Barrel %5.7% Hard Hit %34.3% Launch Angle-4.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up26.7% Blast %6.7% EV50— season HR9 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
22	Manny Machado ▸	SD	MIL	13.2%	82%	46.62	35.35	62.32	57.34	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %34.1% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.2 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %10.8% EV50— season HR30 AB589 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.86
23	Mike Yastrzemski ▸	ATL	LAD	12.3%	82%	19.71	45.01	42.80	45.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.251 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %2.6% Hard Hit %38.5% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %7.1% EV50— season HR12 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.53 HR/90.97
24	Luis Lara ▸	MIL	SD	10.9%	70%	0.00	47.81	27.10	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB191 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA2.86 HR/90.52
25	Jase Bowen ▸	SD	MIL	10.3%	70%	0.00	48.51	44.30	57.34	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB96 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.86

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