ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	STL	40.5%	82%	81.43	68.81	72.74	54.37	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp74°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.57 HR/91.16
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	35.9%	66%	80.15	70.42	77.92	56.54	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	TB	35.1%	82%	60.31	47.74	52.91	56.85	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR3 AB231 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.38
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	PHI	34.7%	79%	80.28	73.01	99.65	56.54	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB433 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.61 HR/92.05
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TOR	34.1%	79%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.74 HR/92.01
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	HOU	33.6%	76%	78.75	69.72	59.02	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp82°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA7.17 HR/91.27
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	33.5%	79%	75.85	70.91	98.33	56.54	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.61 HR/92.05
8	Amed Rosario ▸	NYY	STL	33.5%	82%	71.10	41.65	65.97	54.37	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.433 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle13.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up23.7% Blast %11.9% EV50— season HR10 AB178 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp74°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.57 HR/91.16
9	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	STL	30.8%	82%	67.25	36.75	53.72	54.37	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB313 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp74°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.57 HR/91.16
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TOR	30.7%	79%	76.01	63.91	82.58	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.74 HR/92.01
11	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TOR	28.9%	79%	67.52	61.11	91.60	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.74 HR/92.01
12	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	28.9%	82%	77.14	61.11	47.28	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB318 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.56 HR/90.86
13	Michael Conforto ▸	CHC	LAD	28.7%	69%	63.15	61.11	68.34	47.56	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle12.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.0% Blast %10.0% EV50— season HR9 AB169 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp65°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	SD	27.9%	82%	61.77	66.01	39.73	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB323 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp98°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.38 HR/90.93
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	NYY	27.7%	82%	86.93	52.64	47.42	54.37	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB427 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA2.04 HR/90.79
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	27.7%	82%	67.64	61.53	50.32	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp98°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.38 HR/90.93
17	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	TB	27.6%	82%	39.38	29.75	80.80	56.85	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR17 AB256 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.38
18	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	COL	27.3%	82%	62.87	66.71	71.74	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB415 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.54 HR/91.38
19	Jesús Sánchez ▸	TOR	HOU	26.6%	76%	54.57	59.01	65.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %7.9% Hard Hit %44.7% Launch Angle11.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.8 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %8.0% EV50— season HR7 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp82°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA7.17 HR/91.27
20	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	COL	26.1%	82%	71.61	61.53	60.83	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR4 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.54 HR/91.38
21	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	PIT	26.1%	82%	75.50	52.64	59.38	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR8 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.56 HR/90.86
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	25.7%	82%	69.71	63.91	44.56	53.97	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB431 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp98°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.00
23	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	STL	25.6%	82%	56.02	27.65	50.99	54.37	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp74°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA3.57 HR/91.16
24	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	TB	25.3%	82%	41.14	22.75	82.91	56.85	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR33 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp77°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.38
25	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CHC	25.0%	82%	78.54	66.01	44.57	47.56	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp65°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA3.41 HR/90.82

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