ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TEX	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	78.66	59.19	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp90°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.07
2	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	49.6%	86%	78.94	39.55	78.66	59.19	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR10 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp90°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.07
3	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TEX	48.8%	86%	67.25	36.75	61.52	59.19	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR4 AB81 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp90°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.07
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CWS	43.3%	83%	79.50	73.01	77.75	43.23	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR9 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp61°F Wind16 mph S vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA5.57 HR/91.71
5	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	43.3%	86%	73.14	70.21	61.55	44.81	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR6 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp62°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA2.10 HR/91.15
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	41.2%	86%	78.75	69.72	51.25	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA4.00 HR/91.00
7	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	37.3%	83%	80.33	70.42	75.97	49.81	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameSteven Matz HandL ERA4.81 HR/91.85
8	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	TEX	33.1%	86%	56.02	27.65	58.66	59.19	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR2 AB64 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp90°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.07
9	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	MIA	32.8%	83%	64.69	63.91	100.00	47.10	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR9 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.88
10	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIA	38.4%	83%	78.54	66.01	78.89	47.10	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR3 AB104 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.88
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	LAA	37.1%	86%	72.67	63.21	58.50	43.23	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind16 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA3.10 HR/90.31
12	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	MIA	28.8%	83%	60.89	66.01	86.43	47.10	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.88
13	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	32.5%	80%	86.93	52.64	45.83	51.04	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameMason Montgomery HandL ERA3.97 HR/90.79
14	Daniel Schneemann ▸	CLE	TB	27.8%	83%	56.35	63.21	75.97	49.81	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up25.6% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR3 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameSteven Matz HandL ERA4.81 HR/91.85
15	Jesús Sánchez ▸	TOR	BOS	27.1%	86%	54.57	59.01	51.25	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %7.9% Hard Hit %44.7% Launch Angle11.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.8 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %8.0% EV50— season HR4 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA4.00 HR/91.00
16	Will Smith ▸	LAD	MIA	31.8%	83%	50.79	66.01	83.18	47.10	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR3 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.88
17	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	SEA	30.9%	86%	64.66	61.53	51.39	41.03	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR1 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA5.01 HR/90.77
18	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	MIA	33.4%	83%	81.72	52.64	70.00	47.10	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR0 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp64°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.88
19	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	CHC	31.9%	80%	69.71	63.91	52.50	48.65	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp65°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA5.79 HR/90.64
20	Angel Martínez ▸	CLE	TB	31.5%	83%	48.40	59.01	75.97	49.81	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %6.5% Hard Hit %41.3% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR5 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameSteven Matz HandL ERA4.81 HR/91.85
21	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	SEA	27.8%	86%	51.60	63.91	51.78	41.03	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR3 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA5.01 HR/90.77
22	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	PIT	28.5%	80%	77.15	43.75	45.83	51.04	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR3 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameMason Montgomery HandL ERA3.97 HR/90.79
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	30.8%	83%	62.87	66.71	35.00	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR4 AB104 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA1.76 HR/90.29
24	José Ramírez ▸	CLE	TB	28.3%	83%	58.34	47.74	75.97	49.81	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %11.9% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle29.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.2 mph Squared Up25.9% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR6 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameSteven Matz HandL ERA4.81 HR/91.85
25	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	SD	26.5%	83%	56.81	45.92	48.17	48.65	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR7 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp65°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA1.88 HR/90.31

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