ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	SD	39.9%	82%	81.43	68.81	69.60	48.99	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp66°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.14 HR/91.21
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	34.8%	82%	80.15	70.42	62.96	53.21	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR40 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.05 HR/90.89
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	SD	33.6%	82%	51.89	54.11	65.68	48.99	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR28 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp66°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.14 HR/91.21
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	33.5%	82%	74.52	59.01	53.55	53.87	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR21 AB482 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp73°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.70
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	KC	33.2%	82%	78.75	69.72	51.02	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB477 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.05
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ARI	32.8%	79%	80.04	70.42	69.53	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR37 AB501 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.49 HR/91.05
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	PIT	32.7%	82%	79.50	73.01	60.94	52.34	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp71°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.59 HR/91.18
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	MIN	32.2%	79%	72.67	63.21	75.88	57.48	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR29 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.85 HR/91.22
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	31.2%	82%	67.51	66.01	72.61	53.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB548 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.31
10	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	31.0%	82%	80.28	73.01	59.60	47.64	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.87
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	29.8%	82%	68.10	63.21	62.38	53.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.31
12	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	SD	29.6%	82%	67.25	36.75	56.48	48.99	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR18 AB418 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp66°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.14 HR/91.21
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	DET	29.5%	82%	80.33	70.42	47.13	50.48	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR13 AB445 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.36 HR/90.90
14	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	HOU	29.4%	76%	67.64	61.53	83.06	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameEthan Pecko HandR ERA6.23 HR/92.77
15	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAD	29.3%	82%	75.85	70.91	53.95	47.64	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR29 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.87
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CIN	29.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	54.26	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.49 HR/91.27
17	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ARI	29.2%	79%	76.01	63.91	52.27	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR17 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.49 HR/91.05
18	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	COL	28.1%	73%	86.93	52.64	75.55	50.41	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB540 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp69°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Adams HandR ERA3.00 HR/92.00
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	27.6%	82%	77.16	39.55	60.48	53.87	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp73°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.70
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ARI	27.1%	79%	67.52	61.11	57.25	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR24 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA3.49 HR/91.05
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	26.5%	82%	62.87	66.71	57.57	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR21 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.11
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	26.5%	82%	71.51	52.64	63.05	53.21	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB465 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.31
23	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CLE	25.8%	82%	79.48	70.42	45.65	50.48	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp69°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.46 HR/90.78
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	25.2%	82%	78.54	66.01	46.52	47.64	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp65°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.12 HR/91.00
25	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	MIA	26.7%	82%	56.81	45.92	60.12	60.28	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR23 AB493 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp83°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA3.86 HR/91.06

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