ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	38.7%	79%	81.43	68.81	80.00	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR8 AB70 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp42°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
2	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	SD	44.1%	76%	60.31	47.74	80.00	36.27	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR1 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatt Waldron HandR ERA14.73 HR/92.45
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	42.7%	76%	80.28	73.01	77.92	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR9 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	BOS	33.3%	79%	51.93	56.21	80.00	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.332 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %35.0% Launch Angle21.4° bat tracking Bat Speed79.3 mph Squared Up16.5% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR3 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp42°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
5	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BOS	33.2%	79%	78.94	39.55	80.00	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR9 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp42°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
6	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	33.5%	82%	68.10	63.21	75.70	57.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR6 AB81 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	38.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	70.11	57.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR7 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	36.2%	76%	75.85	70.91	76.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CHC	38.5%	79%	80.15	70.42	66.25	38.83	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR8 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp54°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA2.38 HR/91.15
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	TEX	31.1%	79%	85.09	73.01	66.16	49.59	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR7 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.29 HR/91.37
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	31.0%	79%	67.25	36.75	80.00	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR3 AB68 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp42°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
12	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	WSH	38.6%	82%	69.74	70.21	45.70	57.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR1 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
13	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	36.3%	82%	71.51	52.64	68.48	57.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR7 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
14	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	ARI	28.6%	79%	72.67	63.21	58.88	47.95	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR10 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.79
15	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	SD	33.5%	76%	39.38	29.75	80.00	36.27	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR6 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatt Waldron HandR ERA14.73 HR/92.45
16	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	26.8%	82%	73.14	70.21	49.11	32.50	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR4 AB80 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp42°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/91.15
17	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIL	26.7%	76%	79.48	70.42	80.00	36.27	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR5 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp50°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA6.88 HR/92.12
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CWS	24.7%	79%	67.64	61.53	39.37	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR3 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA2.16 HR/90.72
19	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	CWS	24.3%	79%	61.77	66.01	35.50	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR5 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA2.16 HR/90.72
20	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	WSH	23.1%	82%	62.80	43.75	55.70	57.47	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR4 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	28.1%	79%	69.71	63.91	70.00	36.27	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA6.00 HR/92.50
22	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	DET	25.6%	82%	75.50	52.64	35.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR5 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp50°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.30
23	Ramón Laureano ▸	SD	COL	28.5%	79%	65.56	57.33	81.95	36.27	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo89.3 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up23.0% Blast %12.3% EV50— season HR4 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA6.00 HR/92.50
24	William Contreras ▸	MIL	DET	26.2%	82%	54.94	63.21	35.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR2 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp50°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.30
25	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	MIN	21.9%	82%	77.17	70.21	39.61	34.39	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR4 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp48°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.29 HR/90.33

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