ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BAL	47.1%	83%	80.04	70.42	84.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR11 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.17 HR/91.16
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	COL	44.9%	86%	74.52	59.01	85.25	41.36	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA5.76 HR/91.21
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	SF	44.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	69.66	43.66	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.97 HR/90.71
4	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	KC	42.0%	83%	68.76	66.01	75.59	47.84	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.71
5	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	MIL	36.5%	86%	61.77	66.01	74.74	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.26
6	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	COL	38.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	85.25	41.36	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA5.76 HR/91.21
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	33.0%	86%	78.75	69.72	38.48	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA3.94 HR/90.84
8	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BAL	37.0%	83%	67.52	61.11	75.67	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR7 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.17 HR/91.16
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	41.8%	86%	80.28	73.01	73.42	38.83	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB119 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp53°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA3.90 HR/91.11
10	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	DET	39.0%	83%	69.74	70.21	40.66	49.73	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB118 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.47 HR/90.50
11	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIL	35.9%	86%	67.64	61.53	56.56	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.26
12	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	COL	31.3%	86%	53.95	54.11	65.25	41.36	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR2 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA5.76 HR/91.21
13	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	STL	38.7%	80%	85.09	73.01	66.25	34.80	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB122 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp47°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	33.9%	86%	75.85	70.91	65.81	38.83	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp53°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA3.90 HR/91.11
15	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	KC	30.0%	83%	67.52	43.75	75.59	47.84	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR4 AB65 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.71
16	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	DET	32.5%	83%	67.51	66.01	40.66	49.73	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR9 AB122 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.47 HR/90.50
17	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	CIN	34.0%	86%	41.14	22.75	73.00	41.36	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR9 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp56°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA6.98 HR/91.52
18	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	31.9%	86%	86.93	52.64	70.42	34.80	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR9 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp47°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.20
19	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	HOU	34.3%	80%	50.24	54.11	68.58	48.79	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.15
20	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	KC	32.8%	83%	54.87	43.12	75.59	47.84	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR8 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.71
21	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	ARI	33.8%	86%	77.14	61.11	25.58	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR1 AB74 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA2.60 HR/90.65
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	DET	31.3%	83%	71.51	52.64	40.66	49.73	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR7 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.47 HR/90.50
23	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	SF	29.0%	86%	68.02	41.65	60.97	43.66	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.97 HR/90.71
24	Ketel Marte ▸	ARI	MIL	26.6%	86%	64.58	32.55	60.40	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.380 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %9.6% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle7.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.9 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR5 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.26
25	Carlos Correa ▸	HOU	BAL	26.8%	83%	62.96	36.75	56.04	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %10.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle8.7° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up28.3% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR2 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.17 HR/91.16

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