ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	39.4%	82%	81.43	68.81	90.65	40.55	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR39 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp56°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.38 HR/91.77
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	33.1%	82%	80.04	70.42	75.40	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA4.24 HR/91.11
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATL	32.8%	82%	74.52	59.01	44.84	52.14	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR29 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.18 HR/90.52
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIL	32.4%	82%	80.15	70.42	71.31	40.50	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp56°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA2.51 HR/91.35
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ATH	31.6%	82%	79.50	73.01	85.13	42.60	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp59°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA6.18 HR/92.15
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CIN	31.4%	82%	67.51	66.01	82.30	52.14	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR40 AB609 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.36
7	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CLE	31.1%	82%	73.14	70.21	70.40	36.81	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp51°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.24
8	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PHI	30.0%	82%	77.14	61.11	70.40	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.49 HR/91.82
9	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CIN	29.9%	82%	68.10	63.21	69.68	52.14	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB574 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.36
10	James Wood ▸	WSH	DET	37.8%	82%	80.28	73.01	63.05	41.55	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB499 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.06 HR/90.85
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	29.6%	82%	76.01	63.91	60.69	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA4.24 HR/91.11
12	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	29.6%	82%	72.67	63.21	82.93	45.48	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR33 AB433 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.22
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	29.3%	82%	67.64	61.53	81.64	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Adams HandR ERA5.09 HR/92.35
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	DET	31.5%	82%	75.85	70.91	59.48	41.55	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.06 HR/90.85
15	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	ATL	27.6%	82%	53.95	54.11	36.67	52.14	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.18 HR/90.52
16	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	27.4%	82%	67.52	61.11	63.66	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR26 AB553 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA4.24 HR/91.11
17	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	27.0%	82%	62.87	66.71	65.91	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB602 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.63 HR/91.56
18	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	CHC	26.9%	82%	67.49	66.01	55.39	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB612 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp61°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.55 HR/91.31
19	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CIN	26.7%	82%	71.51	52.64	71.35	52.14	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB531 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.70 HR/91.36
20	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATL	26.3%	82%	77.16	39.55	45.00	52.14	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB602 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.18 HR/90.52
21	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BOS	25.7%	82%	80.33	70.42	41.29	37.58	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp51°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA2.82 HR/90.88
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SD	25.6%	82%	78.54	66.01	51.32	48.17	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp66°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.60 HR/91.22
23	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	25.4%	82%	86.93	52.64	66.69	42.18	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB590 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp58°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.56 HR/91.40
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	LAD	24.2%	82%	69.71	63.91	46.46	48.17	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB611 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp66°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.51 HR/90.96
25	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	WSH	26.1%	82%	79.48	70.42	62.78	41.55	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameRichard Lovelady HandL ERA3.86 HR/91.10

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