ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	COL	40.8%	82%	81.43	68.81	94.44	52.96	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	HOU	46.2%	79%	80.15	70.42	95.75	54.48	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp74°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA5.98 HR/91.63
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	COL	35.4%	82%	51.89	54.11	90.49	52.96	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR29 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
4	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	COL	34.8%	82%	78.94	39.55	95.00	52.96	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR17 AB221 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
5	Amed Rosario ▸	NYY	COL	33.9%	82%	71.10	41.65	83.81	52.96	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.433 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle13.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up23.7% Blast %11.9% EV50— season HR10 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	PHI	40.5%	79%	80.04	70.42	74.76	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB519 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.23 HR/91.32
7	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	TB	38.9%	82%	69.74	70.21	54.76	51.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR16 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.04 HR/91.07
8	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CWS	31.0%	76%	85.09	73.01	46.32	50.36	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR17 AB319 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameHagen Smith HandL ERA0.56 HR/90.56
9	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	PIT	30.8%	82%	72.67	63.21	83.18	50.36	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.46 HR/91.37
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	TB	35.8%	82%	67.51	66.01	64.13	51.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB564 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.04 HR/91.07
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	PHI	28.9%	79%	76.01	63.91	60.07	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR19 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.23 HR/91.32
12	Ezequiel Tovar ▸	COL	NYY	29.3%	82%	47.35	40.74	33.25	52.96	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.342 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %8.7% Hard Hit %47.8% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %9.5% EV50— season HR10 AB423 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.28
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	TB	32.7%	82%	68.10	63.21	54.02	51.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.04 HR/91.07
14	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	PHI	28.1%	79%	67.52	61.11	63.30	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB517 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.23 HR/91.32
15	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	COL	26.6%	82%	56.02	27.65	76.51	52.96	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR10 AB303 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60
16	TJ Rumfield ▸	COL	NYY	26.3%	82%	46.90	32.55	34.86	52.96	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.358 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %42.2% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed69.6 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %9.4% EV50— season HR15 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.28
17	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATL	33.2%	82%	62.87	66.71	48.34	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB557 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp71°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.25 HR/90.94
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	TB	32.8%	82%	71.51	52.64	56.00	51.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.04 HR/91.07
19	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	NYY	24.7%	82%	39.38	29.75	48.61	52.96	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR22 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.28
20	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	HOU	28.8%	79%	68.02	41.65	85.82	54.48	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR27 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp74°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristian Javier HandR ERA5.98 HR/91.63
21	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	TEX	23.3%	82%	73.45	59.01	64.99	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR21 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.19
22	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	NYY	22.7%	82%	41.14	22.75	56.34	52.96	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR37 AB466 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.28
23	Connor Norby ▸	COL	NYY	22.2%	82%	34.56	27.65	33.25	52.96	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo87.4 mph Barrel %10.5% Hard Hit %36.8% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed70.3 mph Squared Up25.3% Blast %5.1% EV50— season HR7 AB282 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.28
24	Jake McCarthy ▸	COL	NYY	21.2%	82%	34.30	24.85	35.33	52.96	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.317 Exit Velo86.1 mph Barrel %7.4% Hard Hit %29.6% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed71.1 mph Squared Up24.1% Blast %12.1% EV50— season HR15 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.28
25	Ryan McMahon ▸	NYY	COL	20.5%	82%	40.81	18.55	76.91	52.96	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.272 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %54.2% Launch Angle4.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up23.3% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB296 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp72°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.60

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