ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TEX	41.7%	79%	81.43	68.81	100.00	49.73	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp67°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA5.79 HR/92.48
2	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	38.5%	79%	78.94	39.55	100.00	49.73	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR12 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp67°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA5.79 HR/92.48
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BAL	34.9%	82%	80.04	70.42	86.75	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR11 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.27
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	COL	34.8%	82%	74.52	59.01	85.62	43.23	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp59°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.71
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	34.3%	82%	78.75	69.72	71.76	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameBrayan Bello HandR ERA9.00 HR/93.27
6	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	32.5%	79%	73.14	70.21	80.00	36.68	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR6 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp50°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA6.75 HR/92.38
7	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	SF	31.6%	82%	80.15	70.42	68.77	38.18	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp53°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.86 HR/90.49
8	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIL	31.2%	79%	67.64	61.53	81.13	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR3 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp45°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA6.45 HR/92.01
9	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	COL	30.9%	82%	77.16	39.55	85.62	43.23	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp59°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.71
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	STL	30.2%	82%	85.09	73.01	74.52	40.99	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA4.26 HR/91.07
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	BAL	30.1%	82%	76.01	63.91	66.04	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.27
12	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BAL	30.1%	82%	67.52	61.11	78.78	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR7 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.27
13	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	29.9%	82%	86.93	52.64	87.67	40.99	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp56°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.88 HR/91.50
14	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CWS	29.6%	79%	79.50	73.01	68.62	39.39	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR9 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp54°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.42 HR/91.03
15	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	26.5%	82%	80.33	70.42	68.31	36.02	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp50°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.75
16	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	SD	26.3%	76%	56.81	45.92	91.32	41.08	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR7 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp56°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameMatt Waldron HandR ERA12.46 HR/92.08
17	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	LAA	26.2%	82%	72.67	63.21	58.25	39.39	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA6.21 HR/90.93
18	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	DET	25.7%	82%	69.74	70.21	36.28	45.78	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.25
19	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	25.6%	82%	62.87	66.71	57.79	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR4 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp50°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.28 HR/91.51
20	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	25.6%	79%	80.28	73.01	49.93	37.96	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB114 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.06 HR/90.67
21	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	KC	25.3%	82%	68.76	66.01	45.30	39.18	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp54°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA2.51 HR/90.84
22	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	24.2%	79%	75.85	70.91	49.93	37.96	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.06 HR/90.67
23	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	DET	24.2%	82%	67.51	66.01	36.28	45.78	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR8 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.25
24	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	DET	23.5%	82%	68.10	63.21	36.28	45.78	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR6 AB97 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.25
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	CHC	23.3%	82%	69.71	63.91	64.46	41.08	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp56°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA4.55 HR/92.28

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