ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CLE	34.9%	79%	80.04	70.42	86.51	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR10 AB81 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp33°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.37
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TB	34.5%	69%	74.52	59.01	75.70	47.31	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR6 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	32.4%	79%	67.51	66.01	80.50	50.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR5 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	WSH	30.8%	79%	69.74	70.21	60.50	50.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR1 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
5	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TB	30.8%	69%	77.16	39.55	77.92	47.31	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR7 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CLE	30.7%	79%	76.01	63.91	70.03	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB78 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp33°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.37
7	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CHC	30.4%	76%	80.15	70.42	70.09	32.55	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR7 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp33°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA3.63 HR/91.04
8	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	30.3%	79%	68.10	63.21	70.50	50.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR4 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	TOR	30.3%	79%	79.50	73.01	66.25	43.69	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR7 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp60°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA1.74 HR/91.15
10	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIA	30.3%	76%	86.93	52.64	69.95	52.95	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA4.12 HR/90.92
11	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	LAA	30.1%	79%	78.75	69.72	41.24	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR1 AB78 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA3.57 HR/90.40
12	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	29.9%	76%	80.28	73.01	52.26	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR7 AB89 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA0.77 HR/90.39
13	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	29.5%	79%	71.51	52.64	78.94	50.76	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB92 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind10 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
14	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	LAD	29.2%	76%	60.31	47.74	46.25	32.97	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR1 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp46°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.12 HR/91.15
15	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	29.1%	76%	75.85	70.91	55.00	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA0.77 HR/90.39
16	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CLE	28.7%	79%	67.52	61.11	69.69	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR4 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp33°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.37
17	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	DET	31.9%	79%	73.14	70.21	44.04	33.02	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR4 AB68 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp35°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameJack Flaherty HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.45
18	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	ATH	26.0%	76%	77.62	73.01	49.73	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR5 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp51°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.10
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	STL	25.1%	76%	67.49	66.01	51.61	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB80 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.49 HR/91.25
20	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	MIA	23.5%	76%	77.15	43.75	52.49	52.95	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR3 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA4.12 HR/90.92
21	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	SEA	23.2%	79%	68.76	66.01	36.50	37.13	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR2 AB71 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp51°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA2.28 HR/90.76
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CIN	23.1%	79%	62.87	66.71	43.19	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR3 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind20 mph NE vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA3.52 HR/90.39
23	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	HOU	22.0%	76%	80.33	70.42	46.25	33.02	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp33°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSpencer Arrighetti HandR ERA1.50 HR/91.15
24	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	PHI	21.5%	79%	56.81	45.92	76.67	32.55	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR6 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp33°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.21
25	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	LAD	20.8%	76%	39.38	29.75	46.25	32.97	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR6 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp46°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.12 HR/91.15

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