ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	33.7%	76%	80.04	70.42	90.25	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR42 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameSeth Johnson HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.41
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CIN	33.5%	82%	78.75	69.72	58.86	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Williamson HandL ERA4.89 HR/91.45
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	42.2%	79%	80.28	73.01	80.32	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.43
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TB	32.7%	82%	80.15	70.42	68.07	42.27	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB577 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.94 HR/91.12
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TOR	32.5%	82%	74.52	59.01	90.56	42.07	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR30 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.74
6	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CHC	32.4%	69%	73.14	70.21	71.76	42.01	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp57°F Wind30 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	35.7%	79%	75.85	70.91	77.07	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB575 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.43
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	31.6%	82%	67.51	66.01	71.67	55.08	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB623 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.31 HR/91.06
9	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	30.4%	76%	76.01	63.91	75.02	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR21 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameSeth Johnson HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.41
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	30.2%	82%	68.10	63.21	61.35	55.08	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB591 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.31 HR/91.06
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	COL	29.6%	82%	72.67	63.21	100.00	42.09	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind0 mph NW vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.58 HR/91.85
12	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	29.3%	82%	79.50	73.01	66.78	36.86	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR22 AB513 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp50°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.43
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	28.9%	82%	80.33	70.42	50.52	47.73	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR16 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp65°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA4.13 HR/91.00
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	28.4%	82%	77.14	61.11	37.41	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.61 HR/90.63
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	28.3%	76%	67.52	61.11	79.18	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR28 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp60°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameSeth Johnson HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.41
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	28.0%	82%	67.64	61.53	56.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.01 HR/91.07
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	27.3%	82%	67.49	66.01	63.85	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB627 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA4.79 HR/91.60
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	26.9%	82%	71.51	52.64	61.69	55.08	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR25 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.31 HR/91.06
19	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	PHI	26.2%	82%	62.87	66.71	52.00	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
20	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TOR	26.0%	82%	77.16	39.55	88.90	42.07	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB619 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.74
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	25.6%	82%	69.71	63.91	44.88	53.25	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB626 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp73°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA3.31 HR/90.73
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	25.0%	76%	78.54	66.01	72.98	41.72	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB576 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76
23	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	PIT	23.5%	82%	79.48	70.42	61.62	39.05	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp53°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA3.87 HR/91.11
24	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	23.2%	82%	73.45	59.01	62.91	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR23 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp50°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA4.88 HR/91.01
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	22.7%	76%	64.69	63.91	88.83	41.72	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76

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