ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	41.3%	79%	81.43	68.81	90.75	58.43	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB374 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Schultz HandL ERA6.04 HR/91.43
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	35.5%	82%	80.15	70.42	68.95	55.79	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.52 HR/91.02
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	34.3%	82%	73.14	70.21	91.15	46.80	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB340 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp64°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.58
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	TOR	34.0%	79%	80.28	73.01	100.00	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB409 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA10.23 HR/93.68
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	33.5%	82%	79.50	73.01	82.52	51.54	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB312 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA5.59 HR/91.40
6	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CWS	33.4%	79%	67.25	36.75	89.53	58.43	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR34 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Schultz HandL ERA6.04 HR/91.43
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	33.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	72.67	49.33	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	TOR	32.7%	79%	75.85	70.91	98.58	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA10.23 HR/93.68
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	WSH	32.5%	82%	78.75	69.72	35.03	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA4.22 HR/90.34
10	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	32.2%	82%	80.04	70.42	56.63	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.52
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	NYY	31.5%	79%	72.67	63.21	57.74	58.43	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR22 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.97 HR/90.13
12	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	30.2%	82%	68.76	66.01	59.14	46.80	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA3.31 HR/90.90
13	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CHC	30.1%	79%	86.93	52.64	67.96	59.44	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.97 HR/90.91
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SF	29.8%	82%	77.14	61.11	66.16	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB298 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.31 HR/91.41
15	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYM	29.6%	79%	67.51	66.01	52.52	50.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA1.93 HR/90.39
16	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	TEX	29.4%	82%	77.62	73.01	68.19	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR15 AB257 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp80°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.13 HR/91.13
17	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	28.9%	82%	80.33	70.42	42.52	49.33	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB333 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.00
18	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	28.6%	82%	76.01	63.91	40.38	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.52
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	28.3%	82%	67.64	61.53	62.30	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.90 HR/91.08
20	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	CLE	28.2%	82%	53.95	54.11	61.54	49.33	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR8 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
21	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYM	28.1%	79%	68.10	63.21	42.12	50.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA1.93 HR/90.39
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	BAL	27.1%	82%	79.48	70.42	62.15	52.15	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB357 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp71°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.95
23	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	27.1%	82%	77.16	39.55	72.52	49.33	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp67°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
24	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	26.6%	82%	67.52	61.11	47.95	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.52
25	Carson Kelly ▸	CHC	STL	26.5%	66%	79.82	41.65	54.82	59.44	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.6 mph Squared Up38.3% Blast %23.5% EV50— season HR6 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp81°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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