ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TEX	45.9%	86%	81.43	68.81	73.00	60.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.13 HR/91.42
2	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	41.9%	86%	78.94	39.55	73.00	60.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR11 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.13 HR/91.42
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	SF	40.6%	86%	80.15	70.42	98.60	44.51	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.26 HR/92.10
4	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	TEX	39.8%	86%	51.93	56.21	54.13	60.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.332 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %35.0% Launch Angle21.4° bat tracking Bat Speed79.3 mph Squared Up16.5% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR3 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.13 HR/91.42
5	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	COL	46.7%	70%	74.52	59.01	77.92	52.71	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR9 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	STL	37.2%	86%	85.09	73.01	89.55	46.13	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR8 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.63 HR/91.50
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BAL	36.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	70.05	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR11 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp56°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.08 HR/90.64
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	35.6%	80%	78.75	69.72	55.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA1.50 HR/91.50
9	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	COL	40.1%	70%	77.16	39.55	77.92	52.71	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	35.0%	83%	73.14	70.21	64.38	42.08	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR6 AB99 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp58°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.21 HR/91.15
11	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	33.1%	73%	86.93	52.64	77.92	46.13	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
12	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	KC	31.8%	83%	68.76	66.01	50.22	48.50	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp66°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameKris Bubic HandL ERA4.08 HR/90.94
13	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CWS	31.5%	86%	79.50	73.01	55.00	43.02	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR9 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp59°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA2.01 HR/90.57
14	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	CIN	36.4%	86%	41.14	22.75	65.46	52.71	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR7 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.57 HR/91.29
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	BAL	30.7%	86%	76.01	63.91	49.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB97 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp56°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.08 HR/90.64
16	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BAL	30.7%	86%	67.52	61.11	62.83	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR7 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp56°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA5.08 HR/90.64
17	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	SF	30.6%	86%	68.02	41.65	91.38	44.51	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB104 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.26 HR/92.10
18	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	36.4%	83%	80.33	70.42	48.08	48.84	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp67°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.10 HR/90.90
19	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	33.3%	83%	62.87	66.71	64.39	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR4 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp67°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.45 HR/91.48
20	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	DET	29.6%	86%	67.51	66.01	51.31	45.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR8 AB115 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.51 HR/90.63
21	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	LAA	29.6%	86%	72.67	63.21	55.00	43.02	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA0.24 HR/90.24
22	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	ARI	29.4%	80%	76.73	32.55	89.59	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR5 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA9.31 HR/93.72
23	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	DET	28.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	50.83	45.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR6 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.51 HR/90.63
24	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	KC	28.1%	83%	63.41	56.91	50.22	48.50	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %69.2% Launch Angle6.2° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up26.1% Blast %20.2% EV50— season HR2 AB92 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp66°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameKris Bubic HandL ERA4.08 HR/90.94
25	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIL	27.3%	83%	67.64	61.53	38.67	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR3 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameChad Patrick HandR ERA2.35 HR/90.78

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