ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	TB	36.6%	76%	68.61	63.21	55.00	45.64	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %36.0% Launch Angle23.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.50
2	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PHI	34.9%	76%	85.22	70.42	80.00	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.436 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB42 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA9.31 HR/92.79
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	34.0%	79%	87.33	69.72	57.33	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.426 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp39°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA4.40 HR/91.15
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ARI	33.8%	76%	98.24	70.42	56.00	42.08	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %33.3% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle29.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB44 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA6.75 HR/90.84
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	33.5%	76%	100.00	70.42	47.94	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.606 Exit Velo96.2 mph Barrel %25.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle22.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB44 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.15
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CIN	31.3%	76%	91.75	73.01	75.68	35.56	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.437 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %42.9% Launch Angle19.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp49°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrandon Williamson HandL ERA4.76 HR/92.38
7	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	31.2%	76%	82.45	70.91	47.94	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo87.8 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle8.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.15
8	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TB	29.5%	76%	74.72	32.55	55.00	45.64	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %26.1% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.50
9	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	29.4%	76%	89.28	61.11	47.94	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.389 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %20.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle20.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.15
10	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	BOS	28.4%	76%	100.00	52.64	80.00	37.35	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.438 Exit Velo98.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %75.0% Launch Angle12.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp51°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA8.64 HR/92.16
11	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	NYM	28.2%	76%	76.69	66.01	49.69	39.13	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.364 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle10.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB43 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp53°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA3.09 HR/91.15
12	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAA	27.8%	76%	99.60	39.55	63.75	35.56	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %21.4% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB47 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp49°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGeorge Klassen HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.15
13	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CHC	27.3%	76%	100.00	73.01	46.25	32.50	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %61.5% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp37°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	STL	27.0%	76%	68.75	63.21	56.92	36.95	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB44 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp51°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.90
15	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	26.7%	79%	74.47	66.71	46.25	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.395 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %8.8% Hard Hit %47.1% Launch Angle8.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp62°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA1.35 HR/91.15
16	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CLE	26.3%	76%	84.49	63.21	38.00	40.07	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.372 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %17.1% Hard Hit %54.3% Launch Angle6.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA0.82 HR/90.82
17	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	NYM	25.9%	76%	76.40	59.01	49.69	39.13	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %41.7% Launch Angle28.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp53°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA3.09 HR/91.15
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	25.1%	76%	77.84	63.91	55.12	46.22	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %14.8% Hard Hit %70.4% Launch Angle0.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp63°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA4.32 HR/91.08
19	Corey Seager ▸	TEX	LAD	24.9%	76%	81.24	34.65	80.00	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %53.6% Launch Angle14.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB47 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA8.00 HR/92.00
20	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CLE	24.8%	76%	69.53	66.01	38.00	40.07	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %42.3% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA0.82 HR/90.82
21	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	NYM	24.8%	76%	74.14	56.91	49.69	39.13	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.334 Exit Velo95.1 mph Barrel %17.4% Hard Hit %65.2% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp53°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA3.09 HR/91.15
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	TEX	24.7%	76%	96.80	66.01	38.00	42.23	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.479 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %23.1% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp58°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.82
23	Will Smith ▸	LAD	TEX	24.2%	76%	79.65	73.01	38.00	42.23	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.431 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %37.5% Launch Angle18.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB42 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp58°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.82
24	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CLE	24.0%	76%	91.76	52.64	38.00	40.07	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.464 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA0.82 HR/90.82
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	BOS	23.5%	76%	87.69	43.75	80.00	37.35	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %11.8% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp51°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA8.64 HR/92.16

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