ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIN	39.1%	82%	81.43	68.81	100.00	36.27	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR38 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.01
2	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	33.2%	79%	79.50	73.01	76.97	51.29	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB472 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameKade Anderson HandL ERA4.29 HR/91.71
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	32.6%	82%	78.75	69.72	37.90	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp56°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.08
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	MIN	32.1%	82%	51.89	54.11	96.25	36.27	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB481 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA5.65 HR/92.01
5	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	BAL	31.7%	79%	77.17	70.21	62.74	54.49	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR15 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp72°F Wind16 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.71 HR/91.28
6	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	31.0%	82%	74.52	59.01	48.21	43.77	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR26 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
7	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	29.6%	82%	72.67	63.21	80.97	45.67	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.78 HR/91.44
8	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	CHC	29.5%	82%	69.74	70.21	65.44	40.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR17 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	28.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	74.33	40.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR39 AB581 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
10	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	27.9%	82%	67.64	61.53	53.38	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.78 HR/90.99
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	27.6%	82%	80.33	70.42	36.07	45.67	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp61°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameSean Newcomb HandL ERA2.77 HR/90.21
12	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	27.5%	79%	69.71	63.91	81.20	53.07	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR21 AB577 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp71°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA5.30 HR/91.90
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	26.6%	82%	68.10	63.21	64.06	40.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	26.1%	82%	86.93	52.64	52.74	47.54	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.00 HR/90.66
15	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ARI	26.0%	76%	67.49	66.01	39.85	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameCorbin Burnes HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	25.7%	82%	53.95	54.11	43.18	43.77	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
17	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	SD	25.7%	82%	39.38	29.75	64.74	53.07	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR22 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp71°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.70 HR/91.06
18	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	25.6%	82%	78.54	66.01	73.11	43.77	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.12 HR/91.71
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	24.4%	82%	77.16	39.55	51.80	43.77	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB571 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.84 HR/90.84
20	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	NYY	24.0%	82%	64.66	61.53	61.58	36.27	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR13 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp50°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.33
21	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	NYM	24.0%	73%	50.24	54.11	64.30	54.49	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR22 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind16 mph NW vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA4.80 HR/91.20
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	TOR	23.8%	82%	79.48	70.42	55.15	41.35	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB517 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp56°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA3.48 HR/90.88
23	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	SD	23.6%	82%	41.14	22.75	71.00	53.07	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR38 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp71°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA3.70 HR/91.06
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	23.4%	82%	64.69	63.91	90.38	43.77	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.12 HR/91.71
25	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	23.0%	82%	71.51	52.64	62.72	40.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.96

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