ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIL	38.0%	76%	81.43	68.81	77.92	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR12 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp37°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
2	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIA	42.7%	79%	80.28	73.01	61.83	58.32	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR11 AB152 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA4.01 HR/90.70
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CIN	32.4%	82%	80.04	70.42	60.84	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR13 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.12
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	LAA	32.3%	82%	78.75	69.72	31.55	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp43°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA1.74 HR/90.96
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIA	36.2%	79%	75.85	70.91	59.74	58.32	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA4.01 HR/90.70
6	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	COL	32.0%	82%	80.15	70.42	79.31	37.33	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR14 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp51°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA3.41 HR/91.46
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	HOU	31.2%	76%	74.52	59.01	63.28	41.70	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA2.35 HR/91.17
8	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	37.1%	82%	73.14	70.21	46.60	37.97	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp52°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA1.71 HR/90.64
9	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	SF	29.9%	82%	85.09	73.01	81.37	38.70	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp53°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.00 HR/91.50
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CIN	29.6%	82%	76.01	63.91	60.84	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.12
11	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	MIL	29.3%	76%	78.94	39.55	77.92	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR15 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp37°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
12	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	TOR	28.5%	76%	79.50	73.01	68.33	33.38	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB138 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp43°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameSpencer Miles HandR ERA3.50 HR/91.00
13	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BAL	27.8%	82%	68.76	66.01	56.31	38.07	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp52°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA5.91 HR/90.84
14	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CIN	27.3%	82%	67.52	61.11	60.84	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR9 AB146 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.12
15	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	LAD	27.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	46.25	42.36	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR13 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA1.25 HR/91.15
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	NYM	27.0%	76%	67.64	61.53	36.85	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameHuascar Brazobán HandR ERA1.53 HR/90.51
17	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	SEA	26.8%	82%	72.67	63.21	89.00	33.77	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp47°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.64
18	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SD	26.4%	82%	86.93	52.64	72.50	44.42	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.64 HR/90.59
19	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	LAD	26.1%	82%	68.10	63.21	46.25	42.36	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA1.25 HR/91.15
20	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	26.0%	76%	80.33	70.42	56.57	35.56	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp48°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Morris HandR ERA4.96 HR/90.55
21	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	MIL	25.4%	76%	67.25	36.75	60.16	32.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp37°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	HOU	24.5%	76%	77.16	39.55	65.08	41.70	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB151 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA2.35 HR/91.17
23	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	24.4%	82%	79.48	70.42	69.92	40.86	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR6 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp56°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.40 HR/91.42
24	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	TEX	24.2%	79%	56.81	45.92	71.81	55.63	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR9 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp74°F Wind18 mph N vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.11 HR/91.43
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	STL	24.0%	82%	69.71	63.91	60.67	44.42	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB141 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp61°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.56

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