ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TEX	38.2%	82%	81.43	68.81	62.66	36.89	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR12 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.30
2	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIN	34.0%	79%	80.28	73.01	100.00	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA6.49 HR/92.08
3	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIN	32.7%	79%	75.85	70.91	99.09	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA6.49 HR/92.08
4	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	31.9%	76%	73.14	70.21	90.68	36.07	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.93
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATH	31.9%	82%	80.15	70.42	78.75	36.82	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp51°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.23
6	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ARI	31.6%	82%	85.09	73.01	60.50	50.14	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB148 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameZac Gallen HandR ERA4.45 HR/90.56
7	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	NYM	29.7%	76%	60.31	47.74	55.96	32.50	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR2 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp37°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA4.26 HR/91.42
8	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	29.7%	82%	78.94	39.55	62.66	36.89	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR15 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.30
9	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	BAL	27.7%	73%	67.49	66.01	69.89	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Povich HandL ERA4.41 HR/91.65
10	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	PHI	27.7%	82%	68.76	66.01	59.01	36.82	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp51°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.28 HR/90.93
11	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	27.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	35.00	32.50	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB146 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp39°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.40 HR/90.65
12	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	26.8%	82%	67.64	61.53	34.39	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA2.85 HR/90.22
13	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	26.8%	76%	62.87	66.71	62.50	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA1.80 HR/91.80
14	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TEX	26.8%	82%	67.25	36.75	62.66	36.89	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.30
15	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	COL	26.6%	82%	77.17	70.21	71.66	32.50	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR4 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp37°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA4.07 HR/91.85
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SD	25.0%	82%	86.93	52.64	57.62	42.43	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp58°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA2.95 HR/90.68
17	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	24.5%	82%	80.33	70.42	44.86	32.55	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB120 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp44°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.21
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	STL	24.2%	82%	69.71	63.91	74.17	42.43	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp58°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.50 HR/92.00
19	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	MIA	23.6%	79%	50.24	54.11	49.09	56.30	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.49
20	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	CHC	22.1%	82%	53.95	54.11	35.00	32.50	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR2 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp39°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.40 HR/90.65
21	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	TEX	21.4%	82%	56.02	27.65	62.66	36.89	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR3 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.30
22	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	NYM	20.9%	76%	39.38	29.75	83.27	32.50	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR11 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp37°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA4.26 HR/91.42
23	Ramón Laureano ▸	SD	STL	20.9%	82%	65.56	57.33	74.17	42.43	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo89.3 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up23.0% Blast %12.3% EV50— season HR5 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp58°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.50 HR/92.00
24	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	20.3%	82%	77.16	39.55	35.00	32.50	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp39°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.40 HR/90.65
25	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	BOS	19.0%	76%	58.80	48.44	62.50	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR7 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp49°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA1.80 HR/91.80

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