ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SD	43.5%	80%	67.51	66.01	74.66	62.22	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Hart HandL ERA5.50 HR/91.00
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	44.6%	80%	78.75	69.72	40.50	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB359 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp75°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameCasey Legumina HandR ERA3.92 HR/90.87
3	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SD	40.3%	80%	68.10	63.21	68.15	62.22	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Hart HandL ERA5.50 HR/91.00
4	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	40.7%	83%	80.33	70.42	59.36	55.04	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB324 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp74°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.85 HR/91.34
5	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	ARI	40.8%	86%	86.93	52.64	73.33	57.87	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.22
6	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SD	41.7%	80%	71.51	52.64	72.78	62.22	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB303 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Hart HandL ERA5.50 HR/91.00
7	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	CLE	31.6%	83%	64.66	61.53	62.30	55.04	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR8 AB269 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.51
8	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	34.1%	80%	79.48	70.42	65.74	56.70	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp78°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
9	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	CLE	35.3%	83%	51.60	63.91	66.58	55.04	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR13 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.51
10	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	STL	30.4%	86%	61.77	66.01	43.91	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB295 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.17
11	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	STL	39.5%	86%	67.64	61.53	53.81	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.17
12	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	39.4%	86%	62.87	66.71	82.11	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
13	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ATL	38.4%	86%	69.71	63.91	28.47	62.22	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.26 HR/90.67
14	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	TOR	27.5%	86%	71.61	61.53	71.80	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR3 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
15	Daniel Schneemann ▸	CLE	MIN	23.9%	83%	56.35	63.21	55.30	55.04	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up25.6% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR6 AB251 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp74°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.85 HR/91.34
16	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	ARI	32.0%	86%	77.15	43.75	63.79	57.87	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR15 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.22
17	Ryan Jeffers ▸	MIN	CLE	31.4%	83%	73.95	41.65	79.00	55.04	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.402 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle18.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %16.2% EV50— season HR9 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.51
18	Colt Keith ▸	DET	KC	30.9%	80%	66.09	66.01	48.19	56.70	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR8 AB266 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp78°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
19	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	SD	25.5%	80%	62.80	43.75	52.69	62.22	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR6 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Hart HandL ERA5.50 HR/91.00
20	Kevin McGonigle ▸	DET	KC	32.3%	80%	61.53	66.01	46.24	56.70	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %37.7% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up33.7% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR9 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp78°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
21	Spencer Torkelson ▸	DET	KC	24.1%	80%	59.57	63.21	61.72	56.70	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %11.4% EV50— season HR19 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp78°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
22	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	TOR	27.4%	86%	58.80	48.44	82.58	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR14 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
23	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	SD	24.0%	80%	41.64	43.12	58.64	62.22	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %35.3% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR10 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Hart HandL ERA5.50 HR/91.00
24	José Ramírez ▸	CLE	MIN	26.1%	83%	58.34	47.74	62.20	55.04	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %11.9% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle29.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.2 mph Squared Up25.9% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR10 AB273 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp74°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.85 HR/91.34
25	Jackson Merrill ▸	SD	ATL	19.6%	86%	54.44	48.44	37.24	62.22	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up19.1% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR14 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.26 HR/90.67

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