ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIN	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	94.70	50.76	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR38 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp70°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameZebby Matthews HandR ERA4.98 HR/91.73
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	51.7%	80%	80.15	70.42	83.75	58.56	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB544 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameJared Simpson HandL ERA6.75 HR/91.15
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TEX	43.7%	86%	73.14	70.21	66.38	55.00	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR26 AB440 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp96°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.62 HR/91.00
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	47.3%	86%	74.52	59.01	56.89	59.27	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR27 AB521 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp90°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlake Snell HandL ERA1.91 HR/91.15
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	45.5%	86%	79.50	73.01	62.17	55.42	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp75°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGeorge Kirby HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.14
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	42.9%	86%	78.75	69.72	42.94	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB517 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.55 HR/91.04
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	PHI	46.2%	83%	80.28	73.01	69.36	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB475 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.14 HR/91.26
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	KC	44.2%	86%	80.04	70.42	62.20	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR39 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA3.52 HR/90.75
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	41.6%	83%	67.51	66.01	86.80	53.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR39 AB588 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.88 HR/91.89
10	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	34.4%	83%	72.67	63.21	58.56	59.12	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB415 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.51 HR/90.84
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	39.0%	83%	75.85	70.91	65.44	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.14 HR/91.26
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	38.3%	83%	86.93	52.64	72.48	60.74	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameAnthony Molina HandR ERA5.24 HR/91.21
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	36.5%	83%	68.10	63.21	76.63	53.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.88 HR/91.89
14	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	TOR	35.3%	86%	79.48	70.42	89.73	56.06	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB521 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp76°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.86
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	36.5%	86%	78.54	66.01	63.22	59.27	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB538 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp90°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.78 HR/91.40
16	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	KC	31.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	48.33	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB476 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA3.52 HR/90.75
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	37.7%	86%	77.16	39.55	57.26	59.27	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp90°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlake Snell HandL ERA1.91 HR/91.15
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	40.2%	83%	69.71	63.91	72.15	58.34	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR23 AB587 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp79°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMason Adams HandR ERA3.38 HR/92.41
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	33.4%	86%	67.64	61.53	56.14	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR21 AB546 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.03
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	37.2%	83%	71.51	52.64	78.43	53.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.88 HR/91.89
21	William Contreras ▸	MIL	PIT	33.4%	86%	54.94	63.21	58.08	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR17 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.10 HR/91.26
22	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	KC	30.4%	86%	67.52	61.11	49.21	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp89°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA3.52 HR/90.75
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATH	36.7%	86%	62.87	66.71	45.77	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind12 mph E vs pitcher NameBrady Basso HandL ERA3.86 HR/90.72
24	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	SF	33.4%	83%	77.15	43.75	68.73	60.74	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR23 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameAnthony Molina HandR ERA5.24 HR/91.21
25	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	WSH	32.6%	80%	68.02	41.65	73.91	58.56	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR28 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameJared Simpson HandL ERA6.75 HR/91.15

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