ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TB	46.6%	83%	74.52	59.01	68.25	58.13	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR8 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp79°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.23
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CLE	47.7%	83%	80.04	70.42	87.97	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR10 AB91 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.81 HR/91.48
3	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	TEX	48.0%	80%	85.09	73.01	80.34	53.31	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR6 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.87 HR/91.33
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CHC	47.3%	77%	80.15	70.42	59.00	52.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR8 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA6.75 HR/90.96
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	TOR	45.2%	80%	79.50	73.01	80.00	48.03	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR7 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA7.13 HR/92.04
6	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	HOU	43.9%	77%	80.33	70.42	77.05	53.42	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp72°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA7.20 HR/91.15
7	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TB	39.9%	83%	77.16	39.55	68.25	58.13	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR8 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp79°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.45 HR/91.23
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	45.2%	77%	80.28	73.01	66.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR8 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameDidier Fuentes HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.15
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	41.4%	83%	67.51	66.01	95.77	38.96	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR6 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind4 mph WSW vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA7.11 HR/93.32
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	38.4%	77%	75.85	70.91	66.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB81 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameDidier Fuentes HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.15
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CLE	35.0%	83%	76.01	63.91	70.22	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB84 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.81 HR/91.48
12	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CLE	37.4%	83%	67.52	61.11	77.57	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR5 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.81 HR/91.48
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	33.5%	83%	68.10	63.21	83.87	38.96	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR4 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind4 mph WSW vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA7.11 HR/93.32
14	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	WSH	41.5%	83%	69.74	70.21	70.00	38.96	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR1 AB91 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind4 mph WSW vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA7.11 HR/93.32
15	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	STL	37.9%	86%	67.49	66.01	76.08	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB90 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind17 mph E vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.32 HR/91.64
16	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	39.1%	83%	71.51	52.64	93.57	38.96	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR6 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind4 mph WSW vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA7.11 HR/93.32
17	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	ARI	36.9%	83%	72.67	63.21	37.00	59.88	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR9 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA1.96 HR/90.78
18	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	LAA	36.7%	83%	78.75	69.72	28.47	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA0.28 HR/90.28
19	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	32.0%	83%	64.69	63.91	100.00	44.59	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR8 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA7.23 HR/92.89
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	35.1%	83%	78.54	66.01	82.24	44.59	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR3 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA7.23 HR/92.89
21	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	BOS	34.6%	83%	51.93	56.21	41.95	32.15	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.332 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %35.0% Launch Angle21.4° bat tracking Bat Speed79.3 mph Squared Up16.5% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR3 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp42°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.22 HR/90.81
22	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BOS	37.6%	83%	78.94	39.55	41.95	32.15	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR9 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp42°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.22 HR/90.81
23	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	PHI	35.7%	77%	56.81	45.92	79.42	52.00	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR6 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp71°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Backhus HandL ERA5.40 HR/92.70
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	28.9%	83%	60.89	66.01	91.32	44.59	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA7.23 HR/92.89
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	36.1%	83%	69.71	63.91	60.78	54.78	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp74°F Wind17 mph W vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA3.92 HR/92.18

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