ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	SD	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	66.06	57.98	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp78°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.11 HR/91.00
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	51.1%	86%	80.15	70.42	78.21	57.01	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR41 AB508 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.22
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	SD	46.0%	86%	51.89	54.11	60.75	57.98	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR28 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp78°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.11 HR/91.00
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	47.7%	86%	74.52	59.01	67.65	58.66	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR22 AB487 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.46 HR/91.56
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	PIT	45.3%	86%	79.50	73.01	55.94	55.89	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp76°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.97 HR/90.90
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	36.8%	83%	80.28	73.01	77.54	53.34	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.40
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	43.2%	86%	67.51	66.01	94.14	57.01	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.95
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	MIN	42.4%	86%	72.67	63.21	84.16	57.19	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR30 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.37 HR/91.43
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	KC	42.2%	86%	78.75	69.72	30.29	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB482 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp94°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA2.65 HR/90.78
10	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ARI	43.9%	86%	80.04	70.42	56.77	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR37 AB504 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.59 HR/90.75
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	39.7%	86%	68.10	63.21	83.90	57.01	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.95
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAD	35.0%	83%	75.85	70.91	70.18	53.34	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR29 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.40
13	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	MIL	38.5%	86%	53.95	54.11	65.79	58.66	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB359 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.46 HR/91.56
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	COL	38.4%	86%	86.93	52.64	86.32	58.58	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB545 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73
15	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	38.7%	86%	77.16	39.55	74.71	58.66	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB546 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.46 HR/91.56
16	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CLE	34.6%	86%	79.48	70.42	73.25	56.92	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp76°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.49
17	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	40.6%	86%	71.51	52.64	84.54	57.01	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.95
18	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ARI	29.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	40.43	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR17 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.59 HR/90.75
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	HOU	33.0%	86%	67.64	61.53	49.12	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.66 HR/90.88
20	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	CWS	34.2%	86%	51.60	63.91	39.76	57.19	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR18 AB501 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameBryan Hudson HandL ERA3.03 HR/90.61
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	NYY	38.6%	86%	69.71	63.91	52.24	57.98	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR19 AB550 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.13
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	37.6%	86%	62.87	66.71	57.83	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR21 AB543 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp95°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.31 HR/91.05
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ARI	31.6%	86%	67.52	61.11	44.80	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR24 AB507 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.59 HR/90.75
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	29.2%	83%	78.54	66.01	38.65	53.34	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp73°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.47 HR/90.50
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	COL	33.5%	86%	77.15	43.75	79.85	58.58	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR21 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp80°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73

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