ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	LAD	28.5%	82%	77.14	61.11	40.63	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
2	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	27.3%	82%	80.33	70.42	54.40	40.89	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR16 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
3	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIL	26.7%	69%	78.54	66.01	56.50	51.32	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	26.7%	82%	62.87	66.71	61.58	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
5	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	CLE	26.0%	82%	71.61	61.53	58.62	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR10 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
6	William Contreras ▸	MIL	LAD	26.0%	82%	54.94	63.21	44.91	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR18 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
7	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	LAD	25.9%	82%	75.50	52.64	55.24	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR12 AB225 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
8	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	MIL	24.5%	69%	64.69	63.91	72.24	51.32	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB488 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	MIL	24.3%	69%	60.89	66.01	65.33	51.32	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	CLE	24.0%	82%	51.31	64.61	62.01	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
11	Will Smith ▸	LAD	MIL	22.5%	69%	50.79	66.01	64.26	51.32	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
12	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	MIL	21.6%	69%	81.72	52.64	47.92	51.32	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR4 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Nick Fortes ▸	TB	CLE	19.5%	82%	38.33	59.71	53.72	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.327 Exit Velo87.2 mph Barrel %2.4% Hard Hit %41.5% Launch Angle8.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up24.7% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR6 AB298 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
14	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	CLE	19.0%	82%	58.80	48.44	62.57	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR22 AB580 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
15	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	LAD	18.3%	82%	76.73	32.55	56.79	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR26 AB477 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
16	Angel Martínez ▸	CLE	TB	17.9%	82%	48.40	59.01	60.57	40.89	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %6.5% Hard Hit %41.3% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR18 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
17	Brice Turang ▸	MIL	LAD	17.3%	82%	68.92	34.65	46.96	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up32.5% Blast %14.5% EV50— season HR21 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
18	Junior Caminero ▸	TB	CLE	16.0%	82%	51.15	41.44	77.74	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %36.2% Launch Angle16.8° bat tracking Bat Speed80.2 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR42 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
19	Christian Yelich ▸	MIL	LAD	15.1%	82%	31.97	45.01	42.70	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.283 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %5.4% Hard Hit %40.5% Launch Angle-2.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.4 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %10.3% EV50— season HR12 AB442 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
20	José Ramírez ▸	CLE	TB	14.9%	82%	58.34	47.74	50.59	40.89	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %11.9% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle29.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.2 mph Squared Up25.9% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR12 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
21	Joey Ortiz ▸	MIL	LAD	14.4%	82%	16.07	49.91	41.34	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.229 Exit Velo85.4 mph Barrel %5.7% Hard Hit %34.3% Launch Angle-4.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up26.7% Blast %6.7% EV50— season HR9 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
22	Jo Adell ▸	CLE	TB	13.3%	82%	49.51	45.92	57.47	40.89	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %5.0% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle19.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.6 mph Squared Up22.5% Blast %9.4% EV50— season HR23 AB603 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
23	David Fry ▸	CLE	TB	12.1%	82%	36.07	47.81	58.04	40.89	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.285 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %13.3% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle29.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.7 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR8 AB184 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
24	Brayan Rocchio ▸	CLE	TB	12.0%	82%	37.19	47.74	51.91	40.89	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %34.0% Launch Angle10.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up25.4% Blast %6.1% EV50— season HR15 AB534 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
25	Ryan Vilade ▸	TB	CLE	11.1%	70%	0.00	50.61	64.57	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR11 AB245 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp56°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37

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