ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	42.2%	79%	80.28	73.01	80.32	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.43
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TB	40.0%	82%	80.15	70.42	68.07	42.27	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB577 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.94 HR/91.12
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TOR	39.9%	82%	74.52	59.01	90.56	42.07	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR30 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.74
4	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CHC	38.1%	69%	73.14	70.21	71.76	42.01	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp57°F Wind30 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	35.7%	79%	75.85	70.91	77.07	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB575 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.43
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	37.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	71.67	55.08	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB623 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.31 HR/91.06
7	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	COL	34.8%	82%	72.67	63.21	100.00	42.09	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind0 mph NW vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.58 HR/91.85
8	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	36.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	37.41	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.61 HR/90.63
9	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	30.1%	82%	67.64	61.53	56.58	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.01 HR/91.07
10	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TOR	30.5%	82%	77.16	39.55	88.90	42.07	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB619 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp57°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.74
11	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	29.4%	76%	78.54	66.01	72.98	41.72	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB576 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76
12	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	PHI	26.4%	82%	51.31	64.61	52.59	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB475 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
13	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	27.2%	82%	73.45	59.01	62.91	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR23 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp50°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA4.88 HR/91.01
14	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	23.3%	76%	64.69	63.91	88.83	41.72	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76
15	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	21.9%	76%	60.89	66.01	80.46	41.72	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB508 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	28.2%	82%	86.93	52.64	44.64	34.90	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR29 AB605 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp48°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA1.86 HR/90.74
17	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	CWS	24.7%	82%	41.14	22.75	80.34	42.09	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR41 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp58°F Wind0 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.53 HR/91.24
18	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	NYY	24.2%	82%	50.24	54.11	55.27	44.13	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR24 AB623 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind35 mph NW vs pitcher NameElmer Rodríguez HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.67
19	Randy Arozarena ▸	SEA	LAA	24.5%	82%	55.09	59.01	62.22	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.380 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %8.0% Hard Hit %42.0% Launch Angle6.6° bat tracking Bat Speed68.9 mph Squared Up29.5% Blast %11.6% EV50— season HR26 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp50°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA4.88 HR/91.01
20	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	BOS	22.5%	69%	56.81	45.92	64.08	42.01	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR24 AB541 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp57°F Wind30 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	TB	22.9%	82%	68.02	41.65	56.82	42.27	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR28 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.94 HR/91.12
22	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	HOU	21.8%	82%	54.87	43.12	62.61	43.54	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR23 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp60°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.87 HR/91.00
23	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	PHI	22.6%	82%	58.80	48.44	53.08	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR22 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
24	Kevin McGonigle ▸	DET	PIT	21.4%	82%	61.53	66.01	51.31	39.05	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %37.7% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up33.7% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR17 AB602 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp53°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA3.87 HR/91.11
25	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	STL	22.2%	82%	76.73	32.55	53.67	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR26 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp48°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.61 HR/90.63

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