ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	39.5%	82%	81.43	68.81	60.77	47.34	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.49
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	36.0%	82%	80.15	70.42	68.92	58.58	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA4.50 HR/90.79
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	34.6%	79%	73.14	70.21	87.38	49.22	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp67°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA6.12 HR/91.53
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	WSH	34.0%	79%	78.75	69.72	70.59	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind14 mph NNW vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA5.17 HR/92.23
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	33.9%	82%	80.04	70.42	95.50	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB388 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA8.54 HR/91.62
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	33.5%	82%	79.50	73.01	85.95	50.90	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB320 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.97
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	32.9%	82%	74.52	59.01	62.16	49.40	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp68°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA4.02 HR/91.07
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	TOR	32.8%	79%	80.28	73.01	72.28	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.92 HR/91.06
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYM	30.8%	82%	67.51	66.01	78.30	50.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.52 HR/91.26
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	TOR	30.6%	79%	75.85	70.91	53.29	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR19 AB580 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.92 HR/91.06
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	30.6%	82%	76.01	63.91	79.02	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB348 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA8.54 HR/91.62
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	30.5%	82%	80.33	70.42	74.11	49.40	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB340 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp68°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.53 HR/91.83
13	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	30.5%	76%	68.76	66.01	53.27	49.22	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB346 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NamePatrick Sandoval HandL ERA3.21 HR/90.64
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYM	29.4%	82%	68.10	63.21	67.71	50.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.52 HR/91.26
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	28.6%	82%	67.52	61.11	86.43	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR21 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA8.54 HR/91.62
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SF	28.5%	82%	77.14	61.11	40.93	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB304 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA3.98 HR/90.72
17	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CWS	28.5%	82%	67.25	36.75	42.68	47.34	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB296 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.49
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	28.1%	82%	67.64	61.53	57.18	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB390 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.17
19	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CHC	27.8%	82%	86.93	52.64	58.14	52.57	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA3.81 HR/90.92
20	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	26.7%	79%	62.87	66.71	60.23	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.82 HR/91.09
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	26.6%	82%	77.16	39.55	63.12	49.40	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR22 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp68°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA4.02 HR/91.07
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYM	26.5%	82%	71.51	52.64	77.03	50.55	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.52 HR/91.26
23	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SEA	26.1%	79%	78.54	66.01	52.28	49.95	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.16 HR/91.11
24	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	25.8%	82%	67.49	66.01	35.54	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB415 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.31 HR/90.81
25	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	BAL	25.8%	82%	79.48	70.42	61.26	47.44	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp64°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.17 HR/90.87

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