ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	ARI	41.6%	76%	81.43	68.81	100.00	60.89	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR39 AB548 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameCorbin Burnes HandR ERA5.87 HR/92.35
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	ARI	37.0%	76%	51.89	54.11	95.17	60.89	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp83°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameCorbin Burnes HandR ERA5.87 HR/92.35
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	35.2%	79%	73.14	70.21	71.18	55.29	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp75°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.80 HR/91.29
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	33.8%	69%	74.52	59.01	68.45	52.04	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR28 AB532 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYM	33.7%	73%	80.15	70.42	64.42	47.78	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA3.43 HR/90.86
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIN	33.2%	82%	79.50	73.01	84.41	49.70	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB493 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp68°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA5.35 HR/91.98
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TEX	33.1%	82%	78.75	69.72	47.43	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB527 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.79 HR/91.17
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	STL	33.0%	82%	80.28	73.01	57.86	56.62	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB487 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameQuinn Mathews HandL ERA3.62 HR/90.72
9	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATL	32.5%	79%	80.04	70.42	62.08	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR40 AB539 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.07 HR/90.85
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	HOU	31.7%	79%	67.51	66.01	66.76	56.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR40 AB601 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameHunter Brown HandR ERA3.43 HR/91.02
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	STL	31.5%	82%	75.85	70.91	54.14	56.62	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameQuinn Mathews HandL ERA3.62 HR/90.72
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATH	30.4%	82%	80.33	70.42	76.15	48.25	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB472 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp66°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.64
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	HOU	30.3%	79%	68.10	63.21	56.10	56.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameHunter Brown HandR ERA3.43 HR/91.02
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	WSH	30.1%	82%	86.93	52.64	83.03	56.62	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.51 HR/91.59
15	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	DET	29.7%	82%	72.67	63.21	64.12	49.70	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR32 AB428 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.52 HR/91.06
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	BAL	29.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	53.18	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.65 HR/91.30
17	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATL	29.0%	79%	76.01	63.91	47.76	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.07 HR/90.85
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	NYY	28.3%	82%	67.64	61.53	61.89	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB556 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA3.89 HR/91.28
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	27.6%	69%	77.16	39.55	69.42	52.04	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB594 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	HOU	26.9%	79%	71.51	52.64	55.28	56.33	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB524 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameHunter Brown HandR ERA3.43 HR/91.02
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	26.8%	82%	67.49	66.01	54.43	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB603 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	26.8%	79%	78.54	66.01	71.68	48.64	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp67°F Wind3 mph E vs pitcher NameMatt Wilkinson HandL ERA4.58 HR/91.83
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATL	26.6%	79%	67.52	61.11	48.55	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB545 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.07 HR/90.85
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	26.5%	79%	62.87	66.71	57.47	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB590 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NamePatrick Sandoval HandL ERA4.99 HR/90.94
25	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CWS	26.2%	82%	79.48	70.42	57.27	49.70	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB536 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp68°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.96 HR/90.89

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