ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	38.3%	82%	81.43	68.81	68.92	36.48	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR12 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.50 HR/90.79
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	34.7%	82%	80.15	70.42	57.92	53.92	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA3.00 HR/90.55
3	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAD	32.5%	82%	80.04	70.42	63.66	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR12 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.87 HR/90.96
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	32.1%	79%	78.75	69.72	26.43	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA1.70 HR/90.73
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CWS	30.1%	82%	79.50	73.01	55.00	42.47	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR10 AB120 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp58°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.49
6	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	30.0%	82%	77.14	61.11	70.00	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR1 AB91 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.52 HR/91.84
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	29.9%	82%	74.52	59.01	59.77	37.35	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB133 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp51°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.76
8	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BAL	29.9%	82%	78.94	39.55	68.92	36.48	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR13 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.50 HR/90.79
9	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	DET	29.4%	82%	73.14	70.21	36.17	36.77	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR7 AB118 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp51°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.70 HR/90.42
10	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAD	28.6%	82%	76.01	63.91	40.85	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB118 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.87 HR/90.96
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SEA	28.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	70.17	41.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR11 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA4.03 HR/90.95
12	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	27.9%	82%	67.49	66.01	73.87	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA6.03 HR/91.72
13	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	LAA	27.4%	82%	72.67	63.21	55.00	42.47	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR13 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA0.84 HR/90.63
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	27.2%	82%	80.33	70.42	55.82	40.15	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp55°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.13 HR/90.96
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAD	27.1%	82%	67.52	61.11	57.07	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR8 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.87 HR/90.96
16	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	COL	26.8%	82%	77.17	70.21	55.37	36.51	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR4 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp50°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA2.84 HR/91.42
17	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	26.7%	66%	62.87	66.71	61.44	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp67°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
18	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SEA	26.7%	82%	68.10	63.21	62.20	41.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA4.03 HR/90.95
19	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BAL	26.2%	82%	67.25	36.75	54.46	36.48	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp50°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.50 HR/90.79
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	HOU	25.1%	76%	78.54	66.01	57.42	45.20	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR3 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameSteven Okert HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.20
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	25.0%	79%	86.93	52.64	55.41	42.77	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp59°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameChad Patrick HandR ERA2.57 HR/90.64
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SEA	23.1%	82%	71.51	52.64	60.18	41.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR8 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA4.03 HR/90.95
23	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	23.0%	82%	77.16	39.55	58.86	37.35	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp51°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.76
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	MIA	22.1%	82%	68.02	41.65	45.91	53.92	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA3.00 HR/90.55
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	HOU	22.0%	76%	64.69	63.91	57.42	45.20	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR9 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameSteven Okert HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.20

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