ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	52.6%	86%	80.15	70.42	90.75	60.90	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.56 HR/91.43
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	51.1%	86%	74.52	59.01	81.23	61.35	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.79 HR/91.54
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CWS	45.1%	86%	73.14	70.21	61.02	62.11	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB360 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp86°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.04 HR/90.94
4	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TOR	46.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp92°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	43.2%	83%	67.51	66.01	70.19	61.85	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB439 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
6	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	44.0%	86%	80.33	70.42	44.11	62.95	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB358 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA2.99 HR/90.91
7	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	39.8%	83%	68.10	63.21	60.63	61.85	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
8	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATH	42.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	86.06	61.35	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA5.79 HR/91.54
9	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	KC	31.1%	86%	64.66	61.53	58.80	60.12	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR10 AB297 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.59 HR/91.09
10	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	32.5%	86%	79.48	70.42	67.86	58.98	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR24 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp80°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.56 HR/90.97
11	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	KC	38.0%	86%	51.60	63.91	58.61	60.12	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR14 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.59 HR/91.09
12	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	40.9%	83%	71.51	52.64	64.67	61.85	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB349 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.44 HR/91.12
13	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TOR	32.9%	86%	67.52	61.11	90.95	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp92°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA5.92 HR/92.96
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	32.0%	86%	77.14	61.11	45.18	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.90 HR/90.94
15	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CHC	29.9%	86%	64.69	63.91	80.70	60.86	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.69
16	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	CHC	37.0%	86%	60.89	66.01	70.66	60.86	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.69
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	30.2%	86%	67.64	61.53	40.20	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp101°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.70 HR/90.52
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	29.7%	86%	69.71	63.91	69.56	52.60	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB439 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp101°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Bratt HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.74
19	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	WSH	34.2%	86%	68.02	41.65	84.22	60.90	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR24 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.56 HR/91.43
20	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	LAD	28.3%	86%	56.81	45.92	80.00	60.86	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR18 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp83°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA4.50 HR/92.05
21	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	NYY	33.2%	83%	77.15	43.75	63.00	61.17	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB431 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.24
22	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	LAA	32.8%	83%	50.24	54.11	56.54	60.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR18 AB460 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA4.03 HR/91.08
23	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	CHC	35.1%	86%	81.72	52.64	57.07	60.86	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR4 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.67 HR/91.69
24	Tyler Soderstrom ▸	ATH	CIN	32.1%	86%	45.52	49.21	68.02	61.35	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.319 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %43.8% Launch Angle9.0° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR17 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.42 HR/91.08
25	Colt Keith ▸	DET	SEA	27.2%	86%	66.09	66.01	50.84	58.98	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR8 AB297 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp80°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.56 HR/90.97

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