ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	60.13	61.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.61
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	45.2%	86%	73.14	70.21	61.81	62.47	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp87°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA3.22 HR/90.98
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CWS	51.1%	80%	80.15	70.42	61.38	60.73	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp88°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameBrandon Eisert HandL ERA3.55 HR/90.71
4	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ATL	39.9%	83%	85.09	73.01	79.27	62.10	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR14 AB249 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp84°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameSpencer Strider HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.74
5	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PIT	47.3%	83%	69.74	70.21	40.58	62.10	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB185 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA2.77 HR/90.84
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	46.4%	86%	80.28	73.01	54.72	56.36	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp94°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.24 HR/90.62
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	42.6%	86%	78.75	69.72	38.39	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.44 HR/90.96
8	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TEX	42.5%	83%	80.33	70.42	56.89	61.50	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp84°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA4.34 HR/91.22
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PIT	42.5%	83%	67.51	66.01	56.50	62.10	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA2.77 HR/90.84
10	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	41.7%	86%	86.93	52.64	92.24	62.46	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR15 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.20 HR/92.28
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	38.1%	86%	67.25	36.75	41.80	61.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB203 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind18 mph W vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.61
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	38.6%	86%	75.85	70.91	41.74	56.36	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR13 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp94°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.24 HR/90.62
13	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	38.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	71.28	62.46	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp85°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA4.35 HR/91.45
14	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	39.9%	86%	67.64	61.53	81.50	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR9 AB222 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp94°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA5.01 HR/92.28
15	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	37.8%	83%	79.48	70.42	55.25	60.42	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp82°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameBryce Miller HandR ERA1.71 HR/90.86
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	36.0%	83%	78.54	66.01	61.28	53.45	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR10 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA5.23 HR/90.85
17	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	38.3%	80%	62.87	66.71	66.92	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR11 AB219 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.45 HR/91.44
18	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	CIN	31.7%	86%	77.15	43.75	77.54	62.46	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR8 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Lodolo HandL ERA5.20 HR/92.28
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	34.5%	86%	67.49	66.01	26.76	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB248 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA2.45 HR/90.33
20	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	LAA	30.1%	83%	64.69	63.91	73.51	53.45	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR14 AB190 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA5.23 HR/90.85
21	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	HOU	34.1%	83%	54.87	43.12	92.20	61.16	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR16 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA5.52 HR/91.53
22	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	LAA	34.0%	83%	60.89	66.01	66.30	53.45	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR13 AB242 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA5.23 HR/90.85
23	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	NYM	35.3%	83%	69.71	63.91	44.73	50.95	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR1 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp70°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA4.21 HR/91.09
24	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	MIL	30.9%	86%	41.14	22.75	55.00	60.27	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR16 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp82°F Wind16 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA1.65 HR/90.51
25	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	CWS	32.2%	80%	68.02	41.65	57.14	60.73	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR14 AB219 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp88°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameBrandon Eisert HandL ERA3.55 HR/90.71

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