ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ARI	47.8%	86%	85.09	73.01	67.33	58.39	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB144 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp80°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA4.70 HR/90.88
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATH	45.8%	86%	80.15	70.42	61.02	48.27	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp66°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA3.96 HR/91.40
3	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	45.8%	86%	78.94	39.55	95.68	47.46	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR14 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.76 HR/92.04
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	42.6%	86%	78.75	69.72	38.50	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB131 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp84°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA3.10 HR/90.31
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIN	46.1%	83%	80.28	73.01	67.38	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB138 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA3.55 HR/90.95
6	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	DET	44.3%	86%	73.14	70.21	87.16	39.59	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp54°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameJack Flaherty HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
7	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	40.5%	83%	74.52	59.01	69.39	39.88	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp55°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.41 HR/90.83
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIN	38.7%	83%	75.85	70.91	61.79	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR8 AB122 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA3.55 HR/90.95
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CWS	41.7%	80%	79.50	73.01	35.17	48.66	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB126 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameNoah Schultz HandL ERA2.53 HR/90.42
10	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TEX	43.1%	86%	67.25	36.75	79.91	47.46	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.76 HR/92.04
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	LAA	40.0%	80%	72.67	63.21	62.93	48.66	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA3.86 HR/90.55
12	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	PIT	34.4%	86%	61.77	66.01	58.42	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.91 HR/91.06
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	39.2%	86%	80.33	70.42	78.78	41.57	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameCole Ragans HandL ERA5.29 HR/92.78
14	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAD	34.0%	83%	76.01	63.91	37.59	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA2.56 HR/90.93
15	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SEA	36.8%	86%	67.51	66.01	82.81	39.17	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR13 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.61 HR/91.32
16	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	BAL	28.3%	83%	67.49	66.01	68.20	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB141 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.84
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	35.7%	86%	67.64	61.53	44.05	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.91 HR/91.06
18	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAD	34.0%	83%	67.52	61.11	58.36	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR9 AB133 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA2.56 HR/90.93
19	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	33.7%	83%	86.93	52.64	100.00	41.21	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp56°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA6.75 HR/92.36
20	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	MIA	38.1%	86%	50.24	54.11	80.03	61.84	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB149 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA4.46 HR/91.49
21	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SEA	33.4%	86%	68.10	63.21	73.78	39.17	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.61 HR/91.32
22	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	HOU	30.4%	83%	60.89	66.01	65.05	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameLance McCullers Jr. HandR ERA6.32 HR/91.15
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	37.1%	86%	62.87	66.71	51.46	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.09
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	29.5%	86%	69.71	63.91	69.50	45.16	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp62°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA7.12 HR/91.78
25	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	HOU	34.5%	83%	81.72	52.64	54.24	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR2 AB131 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameLance McCullers Jr. HandR ERA6.32 HR/91.15

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