ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TOR	47.6%	83%	74.52	59.01	90.56	53.65	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR30 AB555 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.74
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TB	45.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	68.07	47.03	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB577 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp63°F Wind16 mph N vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.94 HR/91.12
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	46.9%	83%	80.28	73.01	80.32	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.43
4	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	39.6%	83%	75.85	70.91	77.07	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB575 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.43
5	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	COL	41.3%	83%	72.67	63.21	100.00	50.24	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.58 HR/91.85
6	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	31.2%	80%	76.01	63.91	75.02	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR21 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameSeth Johnson HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.41
7	Ezequiel Tovar ▸	COL	CWS	29.0%	86%	47.35	40.74	56.21	50.24	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.342 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %8.7% Hard Hit %47.8% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %9.5% EV50— season HR13 AB462 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp69°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.53 HR/91.24
8	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TOR	37.9%	83%	77.16	39.55	88.90	53.65	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB619 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA6.14 HR/91.74
9	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	40.2%	83%	77.14	61.11	37.41	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.61 HR/90.63
10	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	32.2%	80%	67.52	61.11	79.18	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR28 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp63°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameSeth Johnson HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.41
11	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	SD	38.5%	83%	61.77	66.01	47.52	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB453 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.01 HR/91.07
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	37.3%	83%	86.93	52.64	44.64	49.97	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR29 AB605 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp68°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA1.86 HR/90.74
13	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	TEX	32.5%	86%	51.60	63.91	57.44	44.58	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.59 HR/91.00
14	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	PHI	29.4%	86%	51.31	64.61	52.59	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB475 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp63°F Wind16 mph N vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
15	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	30.2%	86%	73.45	59.01	62.91	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR23 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp53°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA4.88 HR/91.01
16	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	26.4%	80%	64.69	63.91	88.83	43.13	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp59°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76
17	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	24.8%	80%	60.89	66.01	80.46	43.13	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB508 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp59°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameCarson Seymour HandR ERA4.70 HR/91.76
18	Jake McCarthy ▸	COL	CWS	30.7%	86%	34.30	24.85	57.61	50.24	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.317 Exit Velo86.1 mph Barrel %7.4% Hard Hit %29.6% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed71.1 mph Squared Up24.1% Blast %12.1% EV50— season HR15 AB544 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp69°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.53 HR/91.24
19	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	BOS	26.9%	86%	56.81	45.92	86.16	43.06	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR24 AB541 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp59°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameTanner Houck HandR ERA8.04 HR/92.06
20	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	NYY	27.4%	86%	50.24	54.11	55.27	45.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR24 AB623 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind13 mph NE vs pitcher NameElmer Rodríguez HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.67
21	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	MIA	27.3%	86%	41.64	43.12	48.37	61.41	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %35.3% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR11 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.31 HR/91.06
22	Dansby Swanson ▸	CHC	BOS	19.5%	86%	53.46	40.74	86.89	43.06	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %56.8% Launch Angle13.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR19 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp59°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameTanner Houck HandR ERA8.04 HR/92.06
23	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	STL	24.7%	83%	76.73	32.55	53.67	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR26 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA3.61 HR/90.63
24	Wilyer Abreu ▸	BOS	CHC	22.6%	86%	64.33	34.65	73.65	43.06	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %51.0% Launch Angle16.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.5% Blast %17.4% EV50— season HR24 AB594 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp59°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.74 HR/91.77
25	Colson Montgomery ▸	CWS	COL	18.9%	83%	25.47	47.11	91.63	50.24	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.270 Exit Velo85.4 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %28.2% Launch Angle26.2° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up10.3% Blast %8.6% EV50— season HR31 AB564 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.58 HR/91.85

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