ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	39.5%	79%	81.43	68.81	58.77	47.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR17 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.72
2	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	35.5%	82%	80.28	73.01	92.62	62.27	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR16 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.69
3	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	34.1%	82%	75.85	70.91	85.00	62.27	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR12 AB226 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.69
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CWS	33.8%	82%	80.15	70.42	76.41	45.92	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp63°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA3.77 HR/91.26
5	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	33.6%	79%	73.14	70.21	71.39	47.63	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR12 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA3.52 HR/91.55
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	32.9%	73%	80.04	70.42	72.27	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR21 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.32
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	32.7%	82%	78.75	69.72	40.20	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.35 HR/91.05
8	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	32.6%	82%	79.50	73.01	88.49	46.27	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp63°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA4.59 HR/91.76
9	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BOS	32.1%	79%	78.94	39.55	58.77	47.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR17 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.72
10	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	HOU	32.0%	79%	68.76	66.01	50.43	56.11	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR11 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.77 HR/90.40
11	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TEX	30.4%	82%	80.33	70.42	41.99	55.14	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp76°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA3.54 HR/90.80
12	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ATL	29.8%	82%	85.09	73.01	57.84	43.24	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR14 AB245 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp59°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA2.79 HR/91.05
13	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	29.2%	79%	86.93	52.64	96.65	50.46	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR15 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp69°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA6.18 HR/92.82
14	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PIT	29.2%	82%	69.74	70.21	46.66	43.24	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.35 HR/90.53
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	29.2%	73%	76.01	63.91	51.06	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB208 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.32
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	28.7%	82%	67.64	61.53	68.98	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR9 AB219 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.76 HR/91.75
17	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	28.3%	79%	67.25	36.75	38.26	47.63	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR7 AB198 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA3.06 HR/90.72
18	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PIT	28.2%	82%	67.51	66.01	62.96	43.24	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB245 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.35 HR/90.53
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	27.8%	73%	67.52	61.11	70.80	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.46 HR/90.32
20	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	27.3%	76%	62.87	66.71	72.24	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR11 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA9.00 HR/91.15
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	27.2%	79%	77.16	39.55	70.46	50.46	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB229 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.31
22	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PIT	27.1%	82%	68.10	63.21	60.59	43.24	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR13 AB216 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.35 HR/90.53
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	26.4%	82%	67.49	66.01	46.84	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB244 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp77°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA3.36 HR/91.22
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	25.6%	69%	78.54	66.01	61.67	46.27	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR9 AB229 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp63°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	25.5%	82%	79.48	70.42	58.67	46.80	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB203 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp64°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA3.44 HR/90.76

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