ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PHI	39.2%	82%	81.43	68.81	62.42	44.67	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR30 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.43 HR/90.78
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYY	33.6%	82%	80.15	70.42	78.00	44.67	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA4.00 HR/91.27
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	32.9%	76%	78.75	69.72	45.03	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB363 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NamePatrick Sandoval HandL ERA4.82 HR/90.96
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	STL	32.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	57.42	48.14	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB326 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp66°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.78 HR/90.64
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CWS	32.4%	79%	80.04	70.42	59.73	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp66°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.31 HR/90.51
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	32.2%	79%	80.28	73.01	60.35	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR28 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.62 HR/90.93
7	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	32.1%	82%	73.14	70.21	64.68	42.17	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB331 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp58°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.78 HR/90.89
8	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	31.0%	79%	80.33	70.42	39.16	58.38	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp79°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA3.16 HR/90.69
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	30.8%	79%	75.85	70.91	57.98	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR24 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.62 HR/90.93
10	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SF	30.4%	82%	79.50	73.01	57.79	43.31	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB303 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp59°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA3.87 HR/90.76
11	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	COL	30.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	72.69	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB292 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.79
12	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BAL	29.4%	69%	67.51	66.01	75.41	45.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CWS	28.7%	79%	76.01	63.91	41.89	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR12 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp66°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.31 HR/90.51
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BAL	28.1%	69%	68.10	63.21	68.41	45.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	28.1%	79%	67.64	61.53	57.77	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB370 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp109°F Wind8 mph WNW vs pitcher NameCarson Palmquist HandL ERA8.74 HR/90.79
16	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PHI	27.9%	82%	67.25	36.75	45.28	44.67	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB281 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind2 mph NE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.43 HR/90.78
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	27.9%	82%	67.49	66.01	74.35	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp81°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameGermán Márquez HandR ERA5.24 HR/92.22
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	27.7%	69%	69.71	63.91	51.88	59.55	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB399 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp81°F Wind9 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
19	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	27.6%	82%	86.93	52.64	76.13	48.14	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp66°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.75 HR/91.13
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CWS	26.8%	79%	67.52	61.11	51.65	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp66°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.31 HR/90.51
21	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	NYM	26.8%	79%	78.54	66.01	67.27	49.34	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp67°F Wind4 mph NW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.74 HR/91.36
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	26.3%	79%	62.87	66.71	52.78	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp79°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA3.74 HR/91.02
23	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	26.0%	82%	77.16	39.55	59.23	48.14	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB386 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp66°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.78 HR/90.64
24	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	25.4%	76%	79.48	70.42	77.69	42.58	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB350 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp58°F Wind0 mph SW vs pitcher NameBeck Way HandR ERA3.22 HR/91.61
25	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	BAL	24.9%	69%	71.51	52.64	73.29	45.35	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR19 AB306 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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