ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BAL	42.7%	82%	80.04	70.42	86.75	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR11 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp51°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.27
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	COL	38.5%	82%	74.52	59.01	86.50	33.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB120 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp43°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA5.97 HR/91.26
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	SF	37.9%	82%	80.15	70.42	68.77	35.41	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp49°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.86 HR/90.49
4	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	MIL	30.5%	82%	61.77	66.01	74.74	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp35°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.26
5	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	KC	30.3%	82%	68.76	66.01	75.59	40.02	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.71
6	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BAL	33.8%	82%	67.52	61.11	78.78	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR7 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp51°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.27
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	29.7%	82%	78.75	69.72	38.48	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp36°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA3.94 HR/90.84
8	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	WSH	29.1%	79%	77.17	70.21	82.24	35.01	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR4 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp48°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA8.49 HR/92.70
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	28.5%	82%	80.28	73.01	73.42	35.01	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB119 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp48°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA3.90 HR/91.11
10	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	COL	32.0%	82%	77.16	39.55	86.50	33.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp43°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA5.97 HR/91.26
11	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	STL	35.9%	82%	85.09	73.01	69.26	35.95	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp49°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA4.13 HR/90.89
12	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIL	27.5%	82%	67.64	61.53	56.56	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB95 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp35°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.26
13	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	26.0%	82%	75.85	70.91	65.81	35.01	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB105 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp48°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA3.90 HR/91.11
14	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	DET	33.0%	82%	69.74	70.21	40.31	43.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR2 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.41 HR/90.52
15	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	COL	26.0%	82%	53.95	54.11	66.50	33.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR2 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp43°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA5.97 HR/91.26
16	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	DET	27.4%	82%	67.51	66.01	40.31	43.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR9 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.41 HR/90.52
17	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	KC	24.2%	82%	67.52	43.75	75.59	40.02	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR4 AB65 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.71
18	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	ARI	23.8%	82%	77.14	61.11	25.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR1 AB74 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp35°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA2.60 HR/90.65
19	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	25.7%	82%	86.93	52.64	52.47	35.95	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB111 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp49°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.48 HR/90.62
20	Gary Sánchez ▸	MIL	ARI	22.9%	82%	75.50	52.64	35.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.452 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %29.4% Hard Hit %52.9% Launch Angle27.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up21.3% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR5 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp35°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA2.60 HR/90.65
21	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	CIN	26.6%	82%	41.14	22.75	66.50	33.02	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR9 AB104 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp43°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA6.59 HR/91.26
22	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	KC	21.9%	82%	54.87	43.12	75.59	40.02	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR8 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.71
23	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	DET	26.0%	82%	71.51	52.64	40.31	43.78	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR7 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA3.41 HR/90.52
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	SF	23.3%	82%	68.02	41.65	60.43	35.41	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp49°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.86 HR/90.49
25	Ketel Marte ▸	ARI	MIL	19.6%	82%	64.58	32.55	60.40	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.380 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %9.6% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle7.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.9 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR5 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp35°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameBrandon Woodruff HandR ERA3.77 HR/91.26

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