ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	60.13	61.60	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind17 mph NW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.61
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CWS	53.6%	80%	80.15	70.42	100.00	63.31	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp85°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameTyler Gilbert HandL ERA20.25 HR/96.75
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	44.5%	86%	73.14	70.21	50.61	61.60	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp82°F Wind17 mph NW vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.89 HR/90.47
4	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	HOU	49.2%	86%	68.76	66.01	87.44	61.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR11 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA5.66 HR/91.98
5	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PIT	47.3%	83%	69.74	70.21	60.67	57.89	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB189 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Montgomery HandL ERA4.74 HR/91.09
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	ARI	47.0%	86%	80.28	73.01	57.75	57.47	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB247 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp93°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.67
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	45.1%	83%	79.50	73.01	85.76	49.13	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB224 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp67°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.71
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	44.9%	80%	80.04	70.42	73.54	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR22 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA3.75 HR/91.15
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	42.8%	83%	78.75	69.72	41.27	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB226 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind0 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA4.29 HR/90.88
10	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ATL	39.1%	86%	85.09	73.01	46.47	57.89	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR14 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp79°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA2.63 HR/90.69
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PIT	42.3%	83%	67.51	66.01	75.71	57.89	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB254 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Montgomery HandL ERA4.74 HR/91.09
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TEX	41.8%	83%	80.33	70.42	66.04	57.10	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp79°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.48 HR/91.81
13	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	38.2%	86%	67.25	36.75	41.80	61.60	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB203 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp82°F Wind17 mph NW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.61
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ARI	39.6%	86%	75.85	70.91	53.38	57.47	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR13 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp93°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.67
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CIN	38.2%	86%	86.93	52.64	70.25	61.10	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR16 AB236 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.47
16	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	35.3%	86%	79.48	70.42	79.11	57.98	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp79°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA5.53 HR/91.14
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	STL	38.3%	86%	77.16	39.55	56.79	61.10	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB237 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind13 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.98 HR/91.09
18	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	34.5%	80%	76.01	63.91	46.48	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB212 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA3.75 HR/91.15
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	37.6%	86%	67.49	66.01	69.21	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB252 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.85
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	36.0%	80%	67.52	61.11	66.32	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB242 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA3.75 HR/91.15
21	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	CWS	35.8%	80%	68.02	41.65	95.30	63.31	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR14 AB223 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp85°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameTyler Gilbert HandL ERA20.25 HR/96.75
22	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	WSH	37.3%	86%	67.64	61.53	45.64	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR9 AB225 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp93°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.62 HR/90.42
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	38.1%	86%	62.87	66.71	64.38	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR11 AB224 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA4.59 HR/91.09
24	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	34.8%	83%	78.54	66.01	46.01	49.13	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR10 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp67°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA2.72 HR/90.83
25	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	HOU	33.3%	86%	54.87	43.12	98.33	61.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR16 AB237 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA5.66 HR/91.98

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