ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	46.5%	83%	67.51	66.01	93.85	58.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR5 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA7.36 HR/92.45
2	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SD	46.8%	80%	79.50	73.01	80.00	53.65	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR7 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp73°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatt Waldron HandR ERA7.71 HR/91.93
3	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PHI	48.0%	83%	69.74	70.21	70.00	58.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR1 AB73 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA7.36 HR/92.45
4	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	32.5%	83%	68.10	63.21	80.00	58.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR2 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA7.36 HR/92.45
5	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	45.3%	83%	71.51	52.64	92.78	58.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB78 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA7.36 HR/92.45
6	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	KC	41.0%	83%	51.93	56.21	35.00	57.04	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.332 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %35.0% Launch Angle21.4° bat tracking Bat Speed79.3 mph Squared Up16.5% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR2 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp77°F Wind11 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA0.43 HR/90.43
7	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	KC	44.5%	83%	78.94	39.55	35.00	57.04	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR8 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp77°F Wind11 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA0.43 HR/90.43
8	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	TB	46.3%	80%	85.09	73.01	71.30	53.21	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR5 AB76 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.16 HR/91.62
9	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	43.7%	80%	80.15	70.42	38.73	58.48	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR6 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.14 HR/90.63
10	James Wood ▸	WSH	SF	44.7%	80%	80.28	73.01	63.82	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR5 AB78 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA5.25 HR/90.38
11	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TOR	42.3%	83%	67.64	61.53	80.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR2 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA7.82 HR/92.13
12	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIN	40.1%	83%	74.52	59.01	62.58	38.44	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR6 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp52°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.80 HR/90.42
13	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	KC	43.1%	83%	67.25	36.75	35.00	57.04	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR2 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp77°F Wind11 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA0.43 HR/90.43
14	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	STL	40.8%	83%	80.04	70.42	50.40	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR7 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.14 HR/90.64
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	HOU	36.9%	83%	86.93	52.64	57.92	57.22	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	CLE	41.8%	80%	50.24	54.11	100.00	49.46	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR6 AB80 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA6.38 HR/91.96
17	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ARI	38.5%	83%	78.75	69.72	37.16	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR1 AB65 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA2.87 HR/90.57
18	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SF	35.6%	80%	75.85	70.91	51.04	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA5.25 HR/90.38
19	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BAL	38.2%	80%	80.33	70.42	55.50	49.46	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp67°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA9.00 HR/90.82
20	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	TEX	32.0%	83%	77.62	73.01	62.66	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR4 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp52°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.87 HR/91.72
21	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	STL	31.6%	83%	76.01	63.91	50.40	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB70 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp79°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.14 HR/90.64
22	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CWS	35.4%	83%	68.76	66.01	42.50	47.49	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR1 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA2.50 HR/91.00
23	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	ATH	35.9%	83%	72.67	63.21	46.25	47.49	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB60 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameAaron Civale HandR ERA1.72 HR/91.15
24	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	MIL	31.2%	73%	67.49	66.01	57.92	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR2 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind13 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	NYM	32.5%	83%	56.81	45.92	67.25	54.46	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR4 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp75°F Wind14 mph S vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA7.07 HR/91.29

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