ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	COL	40.7%	82%	81.43	68.81	97.91	50.75	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA5.19 HR/91.85
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	COL	35.0%	82%	51.89	54.11	92.42	50.75	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR28 AB465 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA5.19 HR/91.85
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	SD	34.8%	82%	80.28	73.01	76.88	61.33	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB460 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.19
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	34.5%	82%	74.52	59.01	52.42	58.74	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR25 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.98
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	HOU	34.2%	82%	80.15	70.42	67.97	49.31	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR43 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameHunter Brown HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.03
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SD	33.4%	82%	75.85	70.91	72.88	61.33	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.19
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	ATH	32.7%	76%	78.75	69.72	40.12	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp70°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrady Basso HandL ERA4.32 HR/90.81
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	PHI	32.2%	82%	80.04	70.42	55.47	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.58 HR/90.69
9	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	PIT	31.9%	82%	72.67	63.21	81.61	55.02	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR30 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.59 HR/91.51
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	TB	30.5%	82%	67.51	66.01	75.51	49.89	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.82 HR/91.34
11	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	29.9%	82%	53.95	54.11	47.45	58.74	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.98
12	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BOS	29.9%	82%	79.50	73.01	49.39	42.69	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB460 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp59°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA3.34 HR/90.81
13	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	29.2%	82%	78.54	66.01	65.58	58.74	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp80°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.43 HR/91.24
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CHC	29.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	52.92	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.38 HR/91.16
15	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	TB	29.1%	82%	68.10	63.21	65.44	49.89	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB526 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.82 HR/91.34
16	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BAL	28.8%	82%	80.33	70.42	42.69	48.77	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR13 AB445 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp67°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA3.91 HR/90.66
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	28.6%	82%	77.16	39.55	54.98	58.74	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB556 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp80°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.98
18	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	PHI	28.5%	82%	76.01	63.91	38.85	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR18 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.58 HR/90.69
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIN	30.5%	82%	79.48	70.42	82.95	52.53	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp72°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameZebby Matthews HandR ERA4.69 HR/91.69
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	WSH	28.3%	82%	69.71	63.91	55.36	61.33	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR20 AB561 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp83°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameJackson Kent HandL ERA5.55 HR/90.37
21	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	DET	28.4%	82%	64.66	61.53	47.16	52.53	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR12 AB376 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.52 HR/90.94
22	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	27.2%	79%	86.93	52.64	64.43	49.31	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB557 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp67°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.43 HR/91.05
23	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	KC	27.2%	82%	67.64	61.53	41.82	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB526 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameDaniel Lynch IV HandL ERA3.51 HR/90.67
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	27.0%	82%	64.69	63.91	80.49	58.74	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR26 AB431 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp80°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.43 HR/91.24
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATL	26.8%	69%	62.87	66.71	62.30	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB553 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp68°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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