ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	44.3%	80%	67.51	66.01	91.50	61.69	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB619 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJack Ralston HandR ERA4.50 HR/92.25
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	46.1%	86%	80.04	70.42	93.75	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB558 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TOR	45.9%	83%	74.52	59.01	62.35	53.21	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR30 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.03
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CIN	43.8%	83%	78.75	69.72	59.73	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB538 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA6.01 HR/91.27
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TB	45.2%	86%	80.15	70.42	74.78	43.32	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB573 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp58°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.62 HR/91.23
6	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	46.4%	80%	68.10	63.21	81.12	61.69	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB586 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJack Ralston HandR ERA4.50 HR/92.25
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	45.6%	80%	80.28	73.01	58.70	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB507 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.67
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	COL	38.6%	83%	72.67	63.21	94.42	48.25	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB445 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA5.40 HR/91.60
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	38.5%	80%	75.85	70.91	57.79	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR33 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJonah Tong HandR ERA4.05 HR/90.67
10	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	KC	39.9%	83%	80.33	70.42	54.42	53.46	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB491 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.33 HR/91.30
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	31.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	78.64	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR21 AB503 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
12	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	41.1%	86%	79.50	73.01	59.79	42.04	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR22 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp57°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameKade Anderson HandL ERA4.18 HR/91.11
13	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	37.1%	80%	71.51	52.64	80.22	61.69	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB544 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameJack Ralston HandR ERA4.50 HR/92.25
14	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	TOR	32.7%	83%	53.95	54.11	52.68	53.21	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.03
15	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	40.6%	73%	69.71	63.91	62.46	61.14	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB622 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp83°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	STL	29.3%	86%	77.14	61.11	40.41	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameQuinn Mathews HandL ERA3.65 HR/90.81
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	32.4%	86%	67.52	61.11	82.86	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR28 AB564 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA5.90 HR/91.55
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	34.0%	86%	67.64	61.53	64.72	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR22 AB574 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.56 HR/91.26
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TOR	35.9%	83%	77.16	39.55	60.72	53.21	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.03
20	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIL	33.0%	86%	86.93	52.64	59.47	47.20	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR29 AB601 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.67 HR/90.82
21	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	36.8%	83%	67.49	66.01	39.28	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB622 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrent Suter HandL ERA3.48 HR/90.92
22	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	PIT	29.3%	77%	79.48	70.42	48.34	49.79	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp68°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameKirby Yates HandR ERA3.32 HR/90.66
23	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	TEX	31.4%	86%	51.60	63.91	68.89	43.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.27 HR/91.53
24	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	31.8%	86%	73.45	59.01	83.82	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR23 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp57°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameRyan Johnson HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.71
25	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	24.3%	86%	60.89	66.01	65.58	44.61	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatt Wilkinson HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.46

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