ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	39.6%	82%	80.04	70.42	90.25	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR13 AB162 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA6.57 HR/91.41
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	PHI	31.4%	82%	73.14	70.21	60.75	39.95	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp55°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA5.77 HR/91.03
3	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	HOU	33.0%	82%	77.62	73.01	92.57	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR9 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameMike Burrows HandR ERA5.04 HR/91.61
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	BOS	30.6%	82%	80.15	70.42	36.58	39.95	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR17 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA2.77 HR/90.69
5	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	27.6%	82%	76.01	63.91	65.25	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB144 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA6.57 HR/91.41
6	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	PIT	25.4%	76%	60.31	47.74	37.16	33.25	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR2 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp45°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMason Montgomery HandL ERA2.87 HR/90.57
7	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SD	28.2%	76%	77.14	61.11	49.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR1 AB112 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp40°F Wind2 mph W vs pitcher NameGriffin Canning HandR ERA6.75 HR/90.96
8	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	WSH	35.2%	82%	74.52	59.01	60.91	32.50	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB173 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp43°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA2.12 HR/91.16
9	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	30.8%	82%	67.52	61.11	86.50	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR10 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp72°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA6.57 HR/91.41
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	27.9%	76%	67.51	66.01	55.00	43.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB166 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameBen Brown HandR ERA1.82 HR/90.30
11	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	COL	35.0%	76%	85.09	73.01	62.87	33.25	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB172 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp45°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameChase Dollander HandR ERA3.35 HR/91.05
12	James Wood ▸	WSH	CIN	35.0%	82%	80.28	73.01	66.25	32.50	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR12 AB164 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp43°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.11 HR/91.15
13	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	MIN	32.0%	82%	67.49	66.01	62.62	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB167 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp50°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameZebby Matthews HandR ERA5.56 HR/91.36
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	26.2%	76%	68.10	63.21	41.28	43.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameBen Brown HandR ERA1.82 HR/90.30
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	ATH	30.5%	82%	86.93	52.64	80.00	41.49	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR11 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp57°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA6.11 HR/92.04
16	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	CIN	28.8%	82%	75.85	70.91	59.55	32.50	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB152 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp43°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.11 HR/91.15
17	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	23.8%	82%	72.67	63.21	40.83	32.50	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB149 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp43°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameKris Bubic HandL ERA3.50 HR/90.58
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	23.1%	76%	71.51	52.64	48.93	43.73	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR11 AB173 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameBen Brown HandR ERA1.82 HR/90.30
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	NYM	25.5%	82%	79.48	70.42	43.14	40.00	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR7 AB133 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp55°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.60
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	22.5%	82%	78.54	66.01	32.45	40.99	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.21
21	Carson Kelly ▸	CHC	ATL	21.6%	82%	79.82	41.65	45.00	43.73	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.6 mph Squared Up38.3% Blast %23.5% EV50— season HR2 AB102 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.20 HR/91.10
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	WSH	24.6%	82%	77.16	39.55	46.50	32.50	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB164 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp43°F Wind5 mph NW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA2.12 HR/91.16
23	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SF	20.8%	82%	64.69	63.91	58.44	40.99	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR11 AB136 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.21
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SF	20.6%	82%	60.89	66.01	50.96	40.99	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR9 AB157 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA3.09 HR/90.21
25	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	ATL	19.4%	82%	56.81	45.92	45.00	43.73	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR9 AB151 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp59°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.20 HR/91.10

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