ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CLE	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	71.83	61.84	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.21
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	44.8%	80%	73.14	70.21	70.86	59.13	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp91°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.16
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	49.9%	83%	80.15	70.42	70.88	53.92	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA3.98 HR/90.99
4	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	46.4%	80%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR22 AB237 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA9.50 HR/92.00
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	44.5%	83%	79.50	73.01	47.95	54.70	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp74°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameSpencer Arrighetti HandR ERA1.94 HR/90.53
6	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CLE	46.2%	86%	67.25	36.75	54.19	61.84	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.20 HR/91.21
7	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYY	41.9%	86%	80.33	70.42	43.86	61.84	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp86°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA3.22 HR/90.98
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	41.8%	83%	78.75	69.72	25.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB230 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA1.46 HR/90.31
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	SF	44.3%	83%	80.28	73.01	61.82	48.27	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB249 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp66°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.25 HR/90.61
10	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	MIL	42.2%	86%	68.76	66.01	42.06	53.35	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR12 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA1.57 HR/90.63
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	33.1%	80%	76.01	63.91	78.33	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB215 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA9.50 HR/92.00
12	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	ATH	32.7%	86%	77.14	61.11	73.41	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB164 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.80
13	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	BAL	35.8%	73%	77.62	73.01	77.92	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR13 AB170 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SF	37.1%	83%	75.85	70.91	57.32	48.27	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR14 AB238 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp66°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.25 HR/90.61
15	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	38.1%	80%	67.52	61.11	96.98	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB246 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA9.50 HR/92.00
16	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	SD	29.2%	83%	53.95	54.11	45.48	53.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR5 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.53 HR/90.62
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SD	35.5%	83%	77.16	39.55	55.65	53.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.53 HR/90.62
18	William Contreras ▸	MIL	ATH	33.9%	86%	54.94	63.21	65.55	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR5 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA4.37 HR/91.80
19	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	38.2%	86%	62.87	66.71	66.24	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR11 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp91°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA3.26 HR/91.49
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	CIN	36.3%	83%	69.71	63.91	46.10	53.23	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR1 AB238 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp73°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.06 HR/91.18
21	Daniel Schneemann ▸	CLE	NYY	30.5%	86%	56.35	63.21	39.67	61.84	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle11.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up25.6% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR4 AB169 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp86°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameWill Warren HandR ERA3.22 HR/90.98
22	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	SEA	32.7%	86%	50.24	54.11	59.44	55.66	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR13 AB275 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA2.80 HR/91.27
23	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	BAL	26.7%	73%	73.45	59.01	68.43	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR8 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	TOR	30.3%	83%	68.02	41.65	65.30	53.92	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR14 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA3.98 HR/90.99
25	Wilyer Abreu ▸	BOS	TB	28.6%	80%	64.33	34.65	61.31	59.13	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %51.0% Launch Angle16.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.5% Blast %17.4% EV50— season HR7 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp91°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA5.23 HR/91.16

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