ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	50.2%	86%	81.43	68.81	92.72	46.82	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR41 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.38 HR/91.77
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATH	46.4%	86%	80.04	70.42	100.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR41 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.16 HR/92.45
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIL	47.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	74.02	46.33	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp63°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameShane Drohan HandL ERA4.26 HR/91.05
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATL	45.3%	83%	74.52	59.01	64.71	50.67	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR29 AB543 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.13
5	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	CIN	45.0%	83%	69.74	70.21	90.45	50.67	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR20 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CIN	41.5%	83%	67.51	66.01	97.63	50.67	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB613 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
7	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATH	33.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	85.17	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB496 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.16 HR/92.45
8	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	41.7%	86%	79.50	73.01	56.40	44.32	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR22 AB502 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp60°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA3.92 HR/90.97
9	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CIN	38.0%	83%	68.10	63.21	87.28	50.67	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
10	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PHI	42.6%	86%	77.14	61.11	70.43	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.59 HR/91.57
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	37.3%	83%	72.67	63.21	62.38	50.60	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR33 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA3.08 HR/90.86
12	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	32.7%	86%	67.52	61.11	88.14	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR26 AB557 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.16 HR/92.45
13	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	ATL	35.3%	83%	53.95	54.11	56.12	50.67	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.13
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	BOS	36.4%	86%	80.33	70.42	38.38	46.13	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB483 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.27 HR/90.57
15	William Contreras ▸	MIL	PHI	36.0%	86%	54.94	63.21	74.67	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR18 AB556 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.59 HR/91.57
16	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SD	35.8%	86%	78.54	66.01	38.52	57.33	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.60
17	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CIN	38.4%	83%	71.51	52.64	86.39	50.67	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB535 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.67 HR/91.81
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	LAD	38.3%	86%	69.71	63.91	51.07	57.33	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.46 HR/90.93
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATL	35.2%	83%	77.16	39.55	64.34	50.67	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB606 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.13
20	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	CHC	37.5%	83%	67.49	66.01	48.00	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp66°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA4.06 HR/91.13
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	32.9%	86%	86.93	52.64	60.49	46.73	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB595 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp64°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.94 HR/91.07
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	36.1%	86%	62.87	66.71	39.31	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB602 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp64°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.94 HR/90.76
23	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SD	28.7%	86%	64.69	63.91	54.52	57.33	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.60
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SD	26.9%	86%	60.89	66.01	44.72	57.33	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR21 AB499 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.60
25	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	31.4%	86%	73.45	59.01	79.29	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR22 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp60°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA5.96 HR/91.44

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