ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	51.1%	80%	80.15	70.42	83.75	56.21	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB259 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp75°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA6.00 HR/91.15
2	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ARI	38.2%	86%	79.50	73.01	91.44	54.25	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR15 AB254 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp99°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyne Nelson HandR ERA5.19 HR/92.00
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	KC	48.1%	77%	80.28	73.01	100.00	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR20 AB274 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Spence HandR ERA13.50 HR/92.25
4	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	PIT	37.6%	83%	68.76	66.01	80.51	58.40	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR16 AB252 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.73 HR/91.35
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	DET	45.5%	80%	80.04	70.42	83.06	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR24 AB261 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.81 HR/91.75
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	KC	40.4%	77%	75.85	70.91	89.86	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR14 AB259 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMitch Spence HandR ERA13.50 HR/92.25
7	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SD	37.2%	73%	86.93	52.64	74.83	56.97	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR18 AB269 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	DET	32.1%	80%	76.01	63.91	60.03	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR7 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.81 HR/91.75
9	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	NYM	29.7%	77%	53.95	54.11	64.65	51.37	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR5 AB171 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameTobias Myers HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.62
10	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	HOU	33.9%	83%	79.48	70.42	69.39	55.59	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR16 AB236 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA3.71 HR/91.06
11	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	DET	37.0%	80%	67.52	61.11	79.80	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR18 AB271 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind4 mph NE vs pitcher NameTroy Melton HandR ERA2.81 HR/91.75
12	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	NYM	36.3%	77%	77.16	39.55	76.50	51.37	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR13 AB263 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameTobias Myers HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.62
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	LAA	30.3%	86%	67.64	61.53	42.73	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR12 AB252 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp99°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.44 HR/90.65
14	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	TB	35.5%	86%	78.54	66.01	39.13	56.51	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR11 AB262 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.43 HR/90.70
15	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	STL	36.9%	86%	69.71	63.91	34.98	56.97	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR2 AB266 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.21 HR/90.62
16	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	35.3%	86%	67.49	66.01	37.83	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB283 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.22 HR/91.11
17	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	PIT	28.1%	83%	67.52	43.75	66.65	58.40	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR6 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.73 HR/91.35
18	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	TB	29.8%	86%	64.69	63.91	55.00	56.51	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR16 AB216 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.43 HR/90.70
19	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	CHC	31.1%	86%	41.14	22.75	93.82	53.27	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR20 AB252 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp73°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA4.44 HR/91.89
20	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	TB	33.6%	86%	60.89	66.01	46.04	56.51	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR15 AB275 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp77°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.43 HR/90.70
21	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	MIA	32.0%	80%	68.02	41.65	77.82	56.21	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR15 AB246 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp75°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA6.00 HR/91.15
22	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	COL	29.3%	83%	56.81	45.92	88.65	53.27	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR16 AB255 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp73°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA7.54 HR/91.51
23	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	SD	31.9%	73%	77.15	43.75	66.98	56.97	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR13 AB268 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
24	Liam Hicks ▸	MIA	PHI	34.5%	86%	51.31	66.01	58.20	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR13 AB231 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.22 HR/91.11
25	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	PIT	26.4%	83%	54.87	43.12	81.52	58.40	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.349 Exit Velo93.2 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle24.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up17.3% Blast %8.7% EV50— season HR18 AB267 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA4.73 HR/91.35

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