ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CHC	40.4%	82%	81.43	68.81	84.41	50.53	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.37
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	BAL	35.5%	79%	80.15	70.42	67.73	55.99	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.74 HR/90.92
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	LAD	34.8%	82%	73.14	70.21	90.69	49.65	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB351 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp68°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA4.95 HR/91.65
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	STL	33.8%	82%	78.75	69.72	65.35	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB390 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA5.26 HR/91.67
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	33.5%	69%	80.28	73.01	77.80	54.89	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB430 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	33.3%	82%	74.52	59.01	65.56	50.59	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.83 HR/91.03
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TEX	33.0%	79%	80.04	70.42	74.92	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.14
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	32.2%	69%	75.85	70.91	76.60	54.89	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIL	31.8%	82%	79.50	73.01	47.22	51.30	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB331 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA1.58 HR/90.75
10	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	DET	31.6%	79%	68.76	66.01	58.36	52.50	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.90
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	31.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	62.64	54.89	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR30 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.55 HR/90.77
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ARI	31.1%	82%	80.33	70.42	77.53	50.95	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp70°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameMerrill Kelly HandR ERA4.86 HR/91.81
13	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CHC	30.5%	82%	67.25	36.75	65.61	50.53	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB309 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp69°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.37
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	29.8%	82%	68.10	63.21	52.88	54.89	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.55 HR/90.77
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TEX	29.5%	79%	76.01	63.91	57.71	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.14
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	TOR	29.3%	82%	86.93	52.64	90.42	51.77	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp71°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA9.49 HR/93.28
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CLE	28.4%	82%	67.64	61.53	64.63	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.71 HR/91.42
18	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	LAA	28.1%	82%	77.14	61.11	32.58	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB314 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.70 HR/90.58
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	NYM	27.9%	73%	67.49	66.01	74.93	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp75°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameRobert Stock HandR ERA10.13 HR/93.38
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	27.6%	79%	67.52	61.11	66.71	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB400 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.14
21	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	ATH	27.2%	79%	79.48	70.42	62.34	52.50	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR23 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp72°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA4.00 HR/91.00
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	27.2%	82%	77.16	39.55	69.33	50.59	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp69°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.83 HR/91.03
23	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	26.7%	82%	71.51	52.64	57.16	54.89	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB342 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.55 HR/90.77
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CWS	26.6%	79%	62.87	66.71	59.47	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.25 HR/91.22
25	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	BOS	25.2%	82%	78.54	66.01	37.66	49.65	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp68°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA2.74 HR/90.69

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