ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TEX	35.5%	79%	73.14	70.21	55.44	59.94	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB443 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp82°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Alexander HandL ERA3.38 HR/90.40
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYM	34.7%	82%	80.15	70.42	64.82	52.33	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB548 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.24 HR/90.92
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	34.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	70.94	54.45	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR28 AB524 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.78 HR/91.42
4	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	KC	33.2%	79%	80.04	70.42	78.03	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR39 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.04
5	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	MIL	33.1%	82%	85.09	73.01	76.39	53.48	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR19 AB340 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.98 HR/91.63
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIN	32.5%	79%	79.50	73.01	62.22	51.09	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB481 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.25
7	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	PHI	32.1%	82%	77.17	70.21	80.94	52.33	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR15 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp71°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.69 HR/91.90
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	DET	29.9%	82%	72.67	63.21	66.81	49.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.01 HR/90.82
9	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	KC	29.8%	79%	76.01	63.91	63.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.04
10	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	LAD	29.6%	82%	53.95	54.11	62.86	54.45	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.78 HR/91.42
11	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	28.8%	76%	77.14	61.11	45.36	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB428 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameWilber Dotel HandR ERA4.84 HR/90.51
12	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	28.7%	82%	78.54	66.01	78.52	54.45	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB543 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.38 HR/91.79
13	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	28.3%	82%	77.16	39.55	71.33	54.45	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB583 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp75°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.78 HR/91.42
14	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	TB	27.8%	79%	63.41	56.91	40.91	57.13	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %69.2% Launch Angle6.2° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up26.1% Blast %20.2% EV50— season HR9 AB255 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.81 HR/90.79
15	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATH	27.8%	79%	62.87	66.71	82.24	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA5.93 HR/92.20
16	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	KC	27.6%	79%	67.52	61.11	65.69	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.04
17	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	ATH	27.2%	79%	71.61	61.53	80.62	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR10 AB323 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA5.93 HR/92.20
18	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CWS	27.1%	82%	79.48	70.42	74.35	49.71	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp68°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.97 HR/91.55
19	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	LAA	26.9%	79%	64.66	61.53	39.01	51.09	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR13 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.59
20	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	26.6%	82%	64.69	63.91	93.83	54.45	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB457 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.38 HR/91.79
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	26.0%	79%	69.71	63.91	80.87	47.62	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR23 AB591 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp66°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA5.55 HR/91.66
22	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	LAA	25.8%	79%	51.60	63.91	40.98	51.09	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB534 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.59
23	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	SD	23.8%	82%	39.38	29.75	59.54	47.62	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR22 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp66°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.03 HR/91.03
24	Carlos Cortes ▸	ATH	TB	23.3%	79%	67.52	43.75	37.27	57.13	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo88.4 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle4.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %20.5% EV50— season HR9 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.81 HR/90.79
25	Colt Keith ▸	DET	CWS	22.6%	82%	66.09	66.01	63.03	49.71	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR10 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp68°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA3.97 HR/91.55

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