ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	NYM	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	66.77	51.86	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR37 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.81 HR/90.91
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	52.1%	86%	80.15	70.42	74.10	62.03	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.46 HR/91.24
3	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	WSH	47.1%	77%	79.50	73.01	57.38	62.03	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB470 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp84°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameRiley Cornelio HandR ERA5.26 HR/90.70
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	NYM	42.7%	86%	51.89	54.11	64.33	51.86	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.81 HR/90.91
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	44.4%	86%	67.51	66.01	91.01	62.03	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR38 AB576 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.71 HR/91.55
6	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	44.9%	86%	74.52	59.01	71.28	48.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR26 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.43 HR/91.38
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BAL	42.9%	86%	78.75	69.72	42.50	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR8 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.15 HR/90.95
8	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	46.5%	86%	68.10	63.21	81.18	62.03	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.71 HR/91.55
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAA	40.2%	83%	75.85	70.91	86.43	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB538 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA6.28 HR/91.54
10	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CWS	39.6%	83%	86.93	52.64	89.11	61.80	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavid Sandlin HandR ERA6.93 HR/92.19
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TB	31.0%	86%	76.01	63.91	71.12	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.35
12	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	37.3%	86%	71.51	52.64	81.67	62.03	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB499 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.71 HR/91.55
13	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	COL	34.9%	86%	79.48	70.42	68.07	58.98	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp79°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA6.41 HR/90.92
14	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIA	38.9%	86%	78.54	66.01	53.26	58.97	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp90°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.94 HR/91.10
15	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	MIL	33.5%	86%	53.95	54.11	66.12	48.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR15 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.43 HR/91.38
16	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	LAD	36.2%	86%	67.49	66.01	71.21	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB578 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp90°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA5.08 HR/91.87
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TEX	33.0%	86%	67.64	61.53	49.79	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp94°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameCal Quantrill HandR ERA2.89 HR/91.05
18	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	CLE	32.5%	86%	64.66	61.53	63.07	47.34	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR12 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA4.22 HR/91.42
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	35.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	74.73	48.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB567 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp65°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.43 HR/91.38
20	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	CWS	34.9%	83%	77.15	43.75	84.04	61.80	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR22 AB563 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavid Sandlin HandR ERA6.93 HR/92.19
21	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	MIA	34.5%	86%	64.69	63.91	69.05	58.97	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp90°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.94 HR/91.10
22	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	HOU	36.5%	86%	62.87	66.71	43.80	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp83°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA3.35 HR/90.59
23	Colt Keith ▸	DET	COL	32.4%	86%	66.09	66.01	56.36	58.98	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR10 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp79°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA6.41 HR/90.92
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	34.9%	83%	69.71	63.91	46.79	49.41	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR21 AB573 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp67°F Wind16 mph W vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA4.10 HR/90.69
25	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	ATH	31.3%	83%	73.45	59.01	77.74	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR22 AB427 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp66°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA4.78 HR/91.54

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