ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	39.8%	80%	80.15	70.42	62.00	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB581 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
2	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	PHI	38.5%	86%	69.74	70.21	84.72	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR20 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
3	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	37.1%	86%	67.51	66.01	92.19	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB625 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
4	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	35.7%	86%	68.10	63.21	81.95	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB591 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
5	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	32.3%	86%	71.51	52.64	82.29	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR25 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
6	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	PHI	26.6%	86%	62.80	43.75	76.12	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR9 AB269 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
7	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	ATL	26.4%	80%	68.02	41.65	50.12	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR29 AB577 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
8	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	PHI	22.0%	86%	41.64	43.12	70.16	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %35.3% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR12 AB572 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
9	Alec Bohm ▸	PHI	ATL	21.3%	80%	30.00	47.81	38.76	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.276 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up31.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR15 AB567 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
10	Brandon Marsh ▸	PHI	ATL	20.9%	80%	52.05	36.75	42.92	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %6.5% Hard Hit %47.8% Launch Angle10.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.1 mph Squared Up27.5% Blast %11.8% EV50— season HR18 AB524 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
11	Mike Yastrzemski ▸	ATL	PHI	19.2%	86%	19.71	45.01	76.03	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.251 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %2.6% Hard Hit %38.5% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %7.1% EV50— season HR12 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
12	Derek Hill ▸	PHI	ATL	17.7%	68%	0.00	49.91	52.42	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR11 AB199 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
13	J.T. Realmuto ▸	PHI	ATL	16.8%	80%	46.32	29.75	39.10	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %3.1% Hard Hit %40.6% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed73.7 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB414 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
14	Otto Kemp ▸	PHI	ATL	16.2%	68%	0.00	47.81	42.00	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
15	Bryan De La Cruz ▸	PHI	ATL	15.2%	68%	0.00	45.01	42.00	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
16	Bryson Stott ▸	PHI	ATL	14.3%	80%	48.02	22.75	36.38	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.318 Exit Velo89.9 mph Barrel %6.8% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed70.0 mph Squared Up37.2% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR10 AB536 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
17	Austin Riley ▸	ATL	PHI	12.4%	86%	38.51	18.55	76.57	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.298 Exit Velo89.1 mph Barrel %5.8% Hard Hit %40.4% Launch Angle21.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.3 mph Squared Up21.5% Blast %10.8% EV50— season HR19 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
18	Justin Crawford ▸	PHI	ATL	11.2%	80%	19.16	26.53	32.00	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.260 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %2.6% Hard Hit %30.8% Launch Angle-3.6° bat tracking Bat Speed68.8 mph Squared Up29.2% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR3 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
19	Ozzie Albies ▸	ATL	PHI	10.0%	86%	19.85	18.55	77.60	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo86.0 mph Barrel %3.5% Hard Hit %29.8% Launch Angle14.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.6 mph Squared Up26.1% Blast %6.0% EV50— season HR22 AB615 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
20	Rafael Marchán ▸	PHI	ATL	9.3%	68%	0.00	26.53	42.00	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB91 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
21	Brewer Hicklen ▸	ATL	PHI	8.7%	74%	0.00	22.75	75.16	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB39 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
22	Garrett Stubbs ▸	PHI	ATL	8.3%	68%	0.00	22.75	42.00	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB59 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
23	Luke Williams ▸	ATL	PHI	8.2%	74%	0.00	20.65	75.16	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB0 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90
24	Trea Turner ▸	PHI	ATL	7.8%	80%	9.95	16.45	39.95	59.05	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.250 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %1.8% Hard Hit %27.3% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.3 mph Squared Up25.2% Blast %2.4% EV50— season HR19 AB645 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameRay Kerr HandL ERA1.47 HR/90.98
25	Rowdy Tellez ▸	ATL	PHI	7.7%	74%	0.00	18.55	75.16	59.05	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB10 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.67 HR/91.90

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