ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	MIA	33.7%	76%	100.00	39.55	63.17	41.52	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.460 Exit Velo95.4 mph Barrel %24.7% Hard Hit %58.2% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp57°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
2	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ▸	NYY	MIA	33.5%	76%	59.57	56.21	63.17	41.52	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo89.0 mph Barrel %15.0% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB26 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp57°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA5.40 HR/91.15
3	George Springer ▸	TOR	CWS	32.4%	76%	81.81	66.01	49.17	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.404 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %16.1% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle17.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp46°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Taylor HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
4	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	COL	32.0%	69%	95.00	70.42	57.92	32.50	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %59.6% Launch Angle20.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp36°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
5	Juan Soto ▸	NYM	SF	31.3%	76%	99.60	70.91	46.25	41.33	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.429 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %18.1% Hard Hit %55.3% Launch Angle12.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp57°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	ARI	30.4%	76%	76.63	66.01	46.25	49.90	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %53.3% Launch Angle14.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	29.4%	73%	81.05	66.01	49.17	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.361 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %16.3% Hard Hit %56.3% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
8	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	SD	28.0%	76%	68.12	63.21	46.25	42.02	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.358 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %13.9% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB23 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp58°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	PHI	27.9%	76%	56.44	40.74	80.00	32.50	100.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp36°F Wind2 mph NW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA9.00 HR/93.00
10	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIN	27.7%	76%	67.95	66.71	63.75	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.353 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %52.5% Launch Angle5.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp34°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameMick Abel HandR ERA13.50 HR/91.15
11	Jo Adell ▸	LAA	SEA	26.8%	76%	76.07	61.81	46.25	49.52	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %17.3% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp68°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
12	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	CLE	26.0%	76%	60.16	61.81	80.00	36.22	47.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %10.4% Hard Hit %44.4% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp50°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA12.46 HR/92.08
13	Eugenio Suárez ▸	CIN	TEX	25.7%	79%	55.82	43.12	73.50	51.85	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.320 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %47.6% Launch Angle21.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA5.74 HR/91.54
14	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TEX	25.1%	79%	52.46	43.12	73.50	51.85	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %44.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp72°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA5.74 HR/91.54
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	ATL	23.6%	76%	76.25	47.74	46.25	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.372 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %14.5% Hard Hit %49.9% Launch Angle16.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB26 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
16	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	BOS	23.5%	76%	75.64	63.91	46.25	42.02	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.370 Exit Velo93.3 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %51.8% Launch Angle9.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp58°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameConnelly Early HandL ERA1.69 HR/91.15
17	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	BAL	23.3%	76%	71.67	59.01	63.75	45.46	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.324 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %56.6% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp62°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane Baz HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.15
18	Tyler Soderstrom ▸	ATH	HOU	23.0%	76%	63.18	54.11	63.75	39.09	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo91.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %49.8% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp54°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA13.50 HR/91.15
19	Zach Neto ▸	LAA	SEA	22.9%	76%	63.70	56.91	46.25	49.52	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.344 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %46.6% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp68°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	PIT	22.8%	76%	61.16	54.11	55.88	45.46	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.341 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %49.2% Launch Angle9.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB30 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameCarmen Mlodzinski HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.15
21	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	22.2%	76%	61.44	59.01	68.92	52.52	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.350 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %10.4% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB28 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp72°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA3.60 HR/93.60
22	Wyatt Langford ▸	TEX	CIN	21.6%	73%	65.99	40.74	68.92	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo91.4 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB32 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp72°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA3.60 HR/91.80
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATH	21.4%	76%	53.39	49.21	80.00	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.314 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %12.9% Hard Hit %46.1% Launch Angle16.9° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB27 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp54°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameLuis Morales HandR ERA10.38 HR/96.23
24	Luis García Jr. ▸	WSH	LAD	20.7%	73%	55.54	54.11	49.17	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.339 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %9.0% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB25 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.00 HR/91.15
25	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	ARI	20.1%	76%	47.37	51.31	46.25	49.90	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.315 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %43.4% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB31 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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