ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	STL	39.8%	79%	81.43	68.81	71.48	47.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA3.74 HR/91.07
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	35.2%	82%	80.15	70.42	96.73	48.82	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameZack Littell HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.13
3	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	STL	33.4%	79%	51.89	54.11	68.23	47.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR24 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA3.74 HR/91.07
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	HOU	33.2%	73%	78.75	69.72	51.63	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA4.76 HR/91.15
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BAL	33.0%	66%	79.50	73.01	68.56	52.20	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB335 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp71°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TOR	32.8%	79%	80.04	70.42	69.17	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB406 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.73 HR/90.98
7	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CWS	32.6%	82%	73.14	70.21	58.66	45.55	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp62°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.62 HR/90.54
8	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	31.7%	82%	74.52	59.01	58.29	44.92	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp62°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.46 HR/91.07
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	PHI	31.5%	82%	80.28	73.01	64.09	48.82	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp67°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.57 HR/90.84
10	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CIN	31.1%	82%	68.76	66.01	85.75	44.92	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.35 HR/91.76
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	31.1%	82%	67.51	66.01	76.32	51.84	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA5.31 HR/90.92
12	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	30.0%	82%	75.85	70.91	62.26	48.82	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB412 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp67°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA3.57 HR/90.84
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	29.7%	82%	68.10	63.21	66.71	51.84	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA5.31 HR/90.92
14	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	STL	29.2%	79%	67.25	36.75	54.50	47.72	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR12 AB318 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp65°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA3.74 HR/91.07
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TOR	29.2%	79%	76.01	63.91	51.55	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB371 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.73 HR/90.98
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	29.1%	82%	77.14	61.11	51.55	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB321 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.21
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	28.5%	82%	67.64	61.53	66.29	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameRandy Vásquez HandR ERA4.45 HR/91.33
18	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	27.5%	82%	80.33	70.42	59.85	40.37	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp55°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.42 HR/91.28
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TOR	27.3%	79%	67.52	61.11	60.40	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR22 AB409 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp81°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.73 HR/90.98
20	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	27.1%	82%	67.49	66.01	60.14	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp71°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.88 HR/91.59
21	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	NYY	27.0%	82%	86.93	52.64	67.70	47.72	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB432 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA3.99 HR/91.33
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CHC	26.9%	82%	78.54	66.01	65.72	50.22	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind1 mph SW vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA3.75 HR/91.55
23	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	26.6%	82%	71.51	52.64	70.94	51.84	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA5.31 HR/90.92
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	26.4%	82%	69.71	63.91	32.69	58.72	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB435 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp91°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.48 HR/90.90
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	COL	26.3%	79%	62.87	66.71	53.16	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB419 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp64°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA3.33 HR/91.15

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