ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	79.11	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR41 AB573 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	47.4%	86%	51.89	54.11	73.29	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB516 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
3	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TB	35.7%	86%	67.25	36.75	64.75	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR18 AB418 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
4	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	37.1%	86%	72.67	63.21	79.10	46.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
5	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	33.8%	86%	20.29	47.11	63.96	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.198 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %4.8% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle16.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %7.8% EV50— season HR19 AB471 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
6	Cody Bellinger ▸	NYY	TB	40.2%	86%	35.43	40.74	60.05	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.0 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %39.2% Launch Angle22.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up30.1% Blast %6.8% EV50— season HR17 AB496 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
7	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	37.8%	86%	80.33	70.42	57.33	46.51	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR16 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.44 HR/91.20
8	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	TB	28.9%	86%	56.02	27.65	63.51	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR14 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
9	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	36.1%	86%	62.87	66.71	38.48	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.74
10	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	NYY	25.4%	86%	71.61	61.53	35.52	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR10 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.74
11	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	NYY	28.4%	86%	51.31	64.61	38.91	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.74
12	Ryan McMahon ▸	NYY	TB	21.3%	86%	40.81	18.55	59.48	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.272 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %54.2% Launch Angle4.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up23.3% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR11 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
13	Angel Martínez ▸	CLE	CWS	22.5%	86%	48.40	59.01	65.37	46.51	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %6.5% Hard Hit %41.3% Launch Angle19.0° bat tracking Bat Speed70.8 mph Squared Up20.4% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR18 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.44 HR/91.20
14	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	NYY	24.1%	86%	58.80	48.44	39.47	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR22 AB580 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.74
15	José Ramírez ▸	CLE	CWS	22.5%	86%	58.34	47.74	54.45	46.51	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %11.9% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle29.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.2 mph Squared Up25.9% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR12 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.44 HR/91.20
16	Spencer Jones ▸	NYY	TB	20.3%	74%	0.00	20.65	63.43	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR11 AB261 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
17	Colson Montgomery ▸	CWS	CLE	15.0%	86%	25.47	47.11	70.55	46.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.270 Exit Velo85.4 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %28.2% Launch Angle26.2° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up10.3% Blast %8.6% EV50— season HR31 AB568 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
18	Jo Adell ▸	CLE	CWS	18.5%	86%	49.51	45.92	60.48	46.51	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %5.0% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle19.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.6 mph Squared Up22.5% Blast %9.4% EV50— season HR23 AB603 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.44 HR/91.20
19	Junior Caminero ▸	TB	NYY	19.3%	86%	51.15	41.44	54.64	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %36.2% Launch Angle16.8° bat tracking Bat Speed80.2 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR42 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/90.74
20	George Lombard Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	16.4%	74%	0.00	13.65	63.07	61.30	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR7 AB152 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp87°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.42 HR/91.22
21	Brayan Rocchio ▸	CLE	CWS	13.1%	86%	37.19	47.74	56.32	46.51	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %34.0% Launch Angle10.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up25.4% Blast %6.1% EV50— season HR15 AB534 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.44 HR/91.20
22	Miguel Vargas ▸	CWS	CLE	15.8%	86%	42.18	29.75	72.08	46.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.320 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %41.5% Launch Angle12.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.4 mph Squared Up25.7% Blast %11.9% EV50— season HR33 AB588 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
23	Kyle Teel ▸	CWS	CLE	15.8%	74%	0.00	47.81	62.17	46.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB119 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
24	Braden Montgomery ▸	CWS	CLE	12.0%	74%	0.00	47.11	52.95	46.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR6 AB323 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
25	Chase Meidroth ▸	CWS	CLE	8.4%	86%	29.35	22.75	57.99	46.51	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.285 Exit Velo87.6 mph Barrel %4.4% Hard Hit %42.2% Launch Angle6.8° bat tracking Bat Speed67.1 mph Squared Up34.1% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR16 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp63°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37

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