ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	TB	48.0%	73%	74.52	59.01	75.70	59.75	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR6 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp81°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CLE	47.5%	83%	80.04	70.42	86.51	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR10 AB81 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp42°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.37
3	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	TB	42.0%	73%	77.16	39.55	77.92	59.75	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR7 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp81°F Wind16 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	MIA	40.1%	83%	86.93	52.64	69.95	60.59	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR8 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind18 mph NE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA4.12 HR/90.92
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	TOR	43.7%	80%	79.50	73.01	66.25	51.19	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR7 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp70°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA1.74 HR/91.15
6	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CHC	43.4%	80%	80.15	70.42	70.09	38.52	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR7 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp53°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA3.63 HR/91.04
7	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CLE	35.0%	83%	76.01	63.91	70.03	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR3 AB78 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp42°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.37
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	39.4%	83%	67.51	66.01	80.50	41.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR5 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind4 mph WNW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	LAA	39.3%	80%	78.75	69.72	41.24	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR1 AB78 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp70°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA3.57 HR/90.40
10	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	42.3%	80%	80.28	73.01	52.26	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR7 AB89 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA0.77 HR/90.39
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	36.3%	80%	75.85	70.91	55.00	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA0.77 HR/90.39
12	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CLE	35.8%	83%	67.52	61.11	69.69	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR4 AB79 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp42°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA5.03 HR/91.37
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	31.9%	83%	68.10	63.21	70.50	41.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR4 AB69 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind4 mph WNW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
14	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	36.9%	83%	71.51	52.64	78.94	41.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB92 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp57°F Wind4 mph WNW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA6.16 HR/91.42
15	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	SEA	38.2%	80%	68.76	66.01	36.50	50.68	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR2 AB71 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp69°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA2.28 HR/90.76
16	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	DET	36.5%	86%	73.14	70.21	40.66	37.79	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR4 AB71 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp51°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameJack Flaherty HandR ERA3.47 HR/90.39
17	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	ATH	29.6%	77%	77.62	73.01	49.73	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR5 AB67 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp69°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.10
18	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	MIA	33.5%	83%	77.15	43.75	52.49	60.59	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR3 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp82°F Wind18 mph NE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA4.12 HR/90.92
19	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	LAD	33.4%	80%	41.14	22.75	46.25	55.79	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR5 AB74 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp76°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.12 HR/91.15
20	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	COL	28.7%	80%	64.69	63.91	63.25	55.79	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR6 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA5.63 HR/91.13
21	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	COL	30.0%	80%	60.89	66.01	63.25	55.79	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR5 AB76 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA5.63 HR/91.13
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	STL	32.8%	83%	67.49	66.01	51.61	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB80 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind18 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.49 HR/91.25
23	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	COL	35.3%	80%	81.72	52.64	63.25	55.79	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR0 AB62 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp76°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA5.63 HR/91.13
24	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	KC	33.9%	80%	50.24	54.11	62.02	51.65	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR7 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind15 mph SW vs pitcher NameSeth Lugo HandR ERA1.48 HR/91.15
25	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	PHI	28.9%	83%	56.81	45.92	76.67	38.52	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR6 AB75 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp53°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.21

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