ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	79.47	53.19	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB378 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.21 HR/91.28
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	47.2%	86%	73.14	70.21	70.86	60.57	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB342 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp88°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA4.42 HR/91.11
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	51.1%	83%	74.52	59.01	72.67	63.14	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp85°F Wind11 mph N vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	47.3%	83%	79.50	73.01	57.99	62.49	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB316 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp85°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.03 HR/91.01
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	TOR	47.8%	83%	80.28	73.01	95.33	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB412 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA4.70 HR/92.05
6	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	44.9%	86%	68.76	66.01	49.88	60.57	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB342 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp88°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA2.58 HR/90.61
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	44.7%	83%	80.04	70.42	71.04	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA4.05 HR/90.98
8	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	TOR	40.6%	83%	75.85	70.91	93.67	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB386 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA4.70 HR/92.05
9	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	42.2%	83%	80.33	70.42	42.52	63.14	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB333 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind11 mph N vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.00
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYM	35.2%	86%	67.51	66.01	62.07	57.25	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.13 HR/90.99
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CWS	36.9%	83%	67.25	36.75	61.72	53.19	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB293 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp71°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.21 HR/91.28
12	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	41.7%	83%	77.16	39.55	72.52	63.14	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp85°F Wind11 mph N vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
13	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYM	33.9%	86%	68.10	63.21	55.27	57.25	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.13 HR/90.99
14	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SEA	39.1%	86%	78.54	66.01	67.84	61.42	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.33
15	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	BAL	37.3%	86%	79.48	70.42	92.08	56.62	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp76°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA5.06 HR/92.81
16	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	33.2%	83%	76.01	63.91	50.60	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA4.05 HR/90.98
17	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SF	30.9%	83%	77.14	61.11	40.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB301 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameLanden Roupp HandR ERA3.93 HR/90.65
18	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	39.6%	86%	67.49	66.01	75.45	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind17 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.82 HR/92.08
19	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	39.6%	86%	67.64	61.53	54.83	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.47 HR/90.89
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	39.5%	86%	69.71	63.91	64.43	57.97	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB412 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp79°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.53 HR/91.43
21	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SEA	34.7%	86%	64.69	63.91	80.71	61.42	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR20 AB320 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.33
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYM	30.6%	86%	71.51	52.64	62.04	57.25	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA3.13 HR/90.99
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	34.2%	83%	67.52	61.11	62.36	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA4.05 HR/90.98
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SEA	37.1%	86%	60.89	66.01	68.96	61.42	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR17 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.33
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	37.7%	73%	62.87	66.71	59.28	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp87°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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