ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	36.6%	79%	80.15	70.42	100.00	56.03	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.67 HR/92.17
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	CWS	35.4%	82%	73.14	70.21	85.18	53.52	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR23 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp73°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.44
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	43.5%	76%	74.52	59.01	77.29	52.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.52
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BAL	40.8%	79%	79.50	73.01	56.23	55.95	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB343 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp76°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.31 HR/90.96
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	CHC	33.1%	82%	78.75	69.72	49.50	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp70°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.52 HR/90.98
6	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	MIA	32.0%	82%	69.74	70.21	64.88	50.97	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR9 AB229 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	31.4%	79%	75.85	70.91	53.64	56.03	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.61 HR/90.75
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	31.0%	82%	67.51	66.01	80.00	50.97	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB443 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
9	Masataka Yoshida ▸	BOS	CWS	30.7%	82%	66.32	61.11	62.64	53.52	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %63.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up51.5% Blast %27.3% EV50— season HR5 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp73°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.44
10	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	BOS	30.4%	82%	72.67	63.21	58.79	53.52	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR24 AB278 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.15 HR/90.45
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	29.7%	82%	68.10	63.21	70.52	50.97	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	36.0%	82%	80.33	70.42	46.17	50.46	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp69°F Wind1 mph NE vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.29 HR/90.93
13	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	ATH	33.0%	76%	53.95	54.11	70.08	52.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR9 AB270 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.52
14	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	29.1%	82%	77.14	61.11	51.98	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB327 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp67°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.20
15	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	SD	28.8%	82%	61.77	66.01	57.08	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB329 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.21
16	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	28.6%	82%	67.64	61.53	67.28	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.21
17	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	28.6%	79%	69.71	63.91	68.78	59.57	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR9 AB443 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp89°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameKohl Drake HandL ERA4.85 HR/92.08
18	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATH	34.6%	76%	77.16	39.55	80.96	52.02	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB428 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind1 mph E vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.85 HR/91.52
19	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	KC	27.4%	79%	64.66	61.53	51.06	50.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR10 AB300 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.04
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	26.5%	82%	71.51	52.64	74.47	50.97	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB353 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
21	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	KC	26.2%	79%	51.60	63.91	50.35	50.71	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR14 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.04
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	26.0%	82%	67.49	66.01	39.84	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp70°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.24 HR/91.02
23	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	25.7%	82%	79.48	70.42	71.44	45.09	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR25 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp62°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameBryce Miller HandR ERA2.80 HR/91.46
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	WSH	25.3%	79%	68.02	41.65	93.27	56.03	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR24 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.67 HR/92.17
25	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	DET	23.3%	82%	73.45	59.01	64.88	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR18 AB291 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameFramber Valdez HandL ERA4.41 HR/90.90

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