ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BOS	52.6%	83%	81.43	68.81	80.00	45.87	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR8 AB70 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
2	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	SD	51.3%	80%	60.31	47.74	80.00	44.90	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR1 AB61 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp60°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatt Waldron HandR ERA14.73 HR/92.45
3	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	BOS	45.0%	83%	51.93	56.21	80.00	45.87	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.332 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %35.0% Launch Angle21.4° bat tracking Bat Speed79.3 mph Squared Up16.5% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR3 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
4	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BOS	48.9%	83%	78.94	39.55	80.00	45.87	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR9 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	CHC	47.6%	83%	80.15	70.42	66.25	55.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR8 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA2.38 HR/91.15
6	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BOS	38.7%	83%	67.25	36.75	80.00	45.87	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR3 AB68 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	47.4%	80%	80.28	73.01	77.92	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR9 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	42.3%	86%	67.51	66.01	70.11	57.35	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR7 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
9	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	TEX	45.9%	83%	85.09	73.01	66.16	54.98	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR7 AB98 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp76°F Wind13 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.29 HR/91.37
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	40.2%	80%	75.85	70.91	76.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB86 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJR Ritchie HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
11	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	ARI	41.6%	83%	72.67	63.21	58.88	55.86	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR10 AB82 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael Soroka HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.79
12	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	BOS	29.5%	83%	56.02	27.65	80.00	45.87	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR1 AB57 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA6.06 HR/92.76
13	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	WSH	42.9%	86%	69.74	70.21	45.70	57.35	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR1 AB94 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
14	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	NYY	37.8%	86%	73.14	70.21	49.11	45.87	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR4 AB80 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.95 HR/91.15
15	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	SD	40.3%	80%	39.38	29.75	80.00	44.90	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR6 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp60°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatt Waldron HandR ERA14.73 HR/92.45
16	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	40.2%	86%	71.51	52.64	68.48	57.35	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR7 AB103 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA4.12 HR/91.15
17	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIL	34.0%	77%	79.48	70.42	80.00	49.84	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR5 AB72 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp69°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA6.88 HR/92.12
18	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	MIN	35.0%	86%	77.17	70.21	39.61	51.84	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR4 AB63 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp69°F Wind16 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.29 HR/90.33
19	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	NYM	34.7%	83%	51.60	63.91	60.16	51.84	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR3 AB83 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind16 mph NW vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	DET	30.3%	83%	77.14	61.11	35.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR1 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.08 HR/90.30
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	34.5%	83%	69.71	63.91	70.00	44.90	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB87 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp60°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA6.00 HR/92.50
22	Ramón Laureano ▸	SD	COL	35.1%	83%	65.56	57.33	81.95	44.90	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo89.3 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up23.0% Blast %12.3% EV50— season HR4 AB85 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp60°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA6.00 HR/92.50
23	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CWS	32.2%	83%	67.64	61.53	39.37	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR3 AB77 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA2.16 HR/90.72
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	CHC	32.2%	83%	68.02	41.65	55.84	55.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR5 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA2.38 HR/91.15
25	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	CWS	29.0%	83%	61.77	66.01	35.50	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR5 AB66 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA2.16 HR/90.72

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