ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	52.8%	86%	80.15	70.42	100.00	60.03	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp89°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.67 HR/92.17
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	ATH	51.5%	80%	74.52	59.01	85.93	62.11	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR19 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.76
3	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	BAL	46.1%	86%	79.50	73.01	55.80	58.84	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.28 HR/90.95
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	MIA	46.0%	86%	69.74	70.21	64.88	59.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR9 AB229 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
5	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	CLE	39.9%	86%	77.17	70.21	58.77	62.75	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR12 AB251 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp85°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.06 HR/91.32
6	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	42.9%	86%	67.51	66.01	80.00	59.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR31 AB443 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
7	Masataka Yoshida ▸	BOS	CWS	38.9%	86%	66.32	61.11	62.64	61.29	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %63.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up51.5% Blast %27.3% EV50— season HR5 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA5.06 HR/91.44
8	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYM	44.1%	86%	80.33	70.42	46.17	62.75	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR12 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA3.29 HR/90.93
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	PHI	40.4%	86%	75.85	70.91	53.64	60.03	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR28 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.61 HR/90.75
10	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	BOS	43.9%	86%	72.67	63.21	58.79	61.29	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR24 AB278 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.15 HR/90.45
11	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	ATH	40.1%	80%	53.95	54.11	76.90	62.11	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR9 AB271 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.76
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	39.5%	86%	68.10	63.21	70.52	59.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR20 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
13	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	ATH	42.3%	80%	77.16	39.55	87.69	62.11	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR24 AB429 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.76
14	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	KC	41.6%	86%	64.66	61.53	51.06	58.19	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR10 AB300 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.04
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	38.0%	86%	77.14	61.11	51.98	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB327 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.20
16	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	MIA	40.6%	86%	71.51	52.64	74.47	59.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB353 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.26
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	SD	38.9%	86%	67.64	61.53	67.28	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR16 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp101°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.21
18	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	KC	35.2%	86%	51.60	63.91	50.35	58.19	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR14 AB404 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.51 HR/91.04
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	SEA	36.6%	83%	79.48	70.42	71.44	53.63	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR25 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp73°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameBryce Miller HandR ERA2.80 HR/91.46
20	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ARI	37.8%	83%	69.71	63.91	68.78	52.60	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR9 AB443 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp101°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameKohl Drake HandL ERA4.85 HR/92.08
21	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	WSH	34.5%	86%	68.02	41.65	93.27	60.03	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR24 AB405 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp89°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA5.67 HR/92.17
22	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	LAA	34.3%	86%	50.24	54.11	83.58	58.84	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR18 AB462 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp91°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Johnson HandR ERA7.47 HR/92.30
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	36.9%	86%	67.49	66.01	39.84	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB444 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp81°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.24 HR/91.02
24	Tyler Soderstrom ▸	ATH	CIN	30.8%	86%	45.52	49.21	64.28	62.11	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.319 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %43.8% Launch Angle9.0° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR17 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA3.88 HR/91.24
25	Carson Kelly ▸	CHC	TOR	23.3%	83%	79.82	41.65	30.75	54.95	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.5% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.6 mph Squared Up38.3% Blast %23.5% EV50— season HR7 AB267 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp75°F Wind5 mph SE vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA2.41 HR/90.53

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