ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	50.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	62.96	59.27	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR40 AB505 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.05 HR/90.89
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	47.8%	86%	74.52	59.01	53.55	61.72	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR21 AB482 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.70
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	37.7%	86%	80.28	73.01	59.60	60.50	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.87
4	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	42.6%	86%	67.51	66.01	72.61	59.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB548 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.31
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAD	36.0%	86%	75.85	70.91	53.95	60.50	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR29 AB510 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA2.79 HR/90.87
6	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	39.1%	86%	68.10	63.21	62.38	59.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.31
7	TJ Rumfield ▸	COL	STL	38.5%	86%	46.90	32.55	75.11	62.36	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.358 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %42.2% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed69.6 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %9.4% EV50— season HR15 AB481 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp86°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA5.41 HR/91.67
8	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	38.7%	86%	77.16	39.55	60.48	61.72	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA4.69 HR/90.70
9	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	HOU	35.1%	83%	67.64	61.53	83.06	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp90°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameEthan Pecko HandR ERA6.23 HR/92.77
10	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	CWS	36.6%	86%	51.60	63.91	60.91	60.18	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR18 AB497 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.28 HR/91.25
11	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CIN	34.9%	86%	77.14	61.11	54.26	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.49 HR/91.27
12	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	31.8%	86%	78.54	66.01	46.52	60.50	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.12 HR/91.00
13	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	39.9%	86%	71.51	52.64	63.05	59.27	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB465 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA3.31 HR/91.31
14	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	STL	35.9%	86%	41.14	22.75	96.22	62.36	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR36 AB452 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp86°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA5.41 HR/91.67
15	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	NYY	38.5%	86%	69.71	63.91	40.83	60.03	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR19 AB547 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp81°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameCarlos Rodón HandL ERA3.20 HR/90.76
16	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CLE	33.8%	86%	79.48	70.42	45.65	55.13	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp75°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.46 HR/90.78
17	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	CHC	33.8%	86%	67.49	66.01	57.64	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB553 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp92°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA3.46 HR/91.62
18	William Contreras ▸	MIL	CIN	34.7%	86%	54.94	63.21	55.79	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR13 AB504 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.49 HR/91.27
19	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	WSH	29.4%	86%	64.69	63.91	61.73	60.50	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR26 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.12 HR/91.00
20	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	ATH	27.4%	86%	73.45	59.01	90.21	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR21 AB397 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA6.37 HR/92.41
21	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	ATL	31.5%	86%	68.02	41.65	54.99	59.27	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR27 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.05 HR/90.89
22	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	MIA	28.7%	86%	56.81	45.92	60.12	57.35	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR23 AB493 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp92°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameRyan Gusto HandR ERA3.86 HR/91.06
23	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	BOS	31.2%	86%	50.24	54.11	46.95	57.74	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR22 AB562 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA2.82 HR/90.94
24	Bryan Reynolds ▸	PIT	LAA	28.1%	86%	65.78	47.74	69.41	57.48	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.382 Exit Velo93.1 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.0 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %12.1% EV50— season HR15 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp78°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameYusei Kikuchi HandL ERA5.65 HR/91.47
25	Wilyer Abreu ▸	BOS	BAL	28.1%	86%	64.33	34.65	63.97	57.27	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo91.0 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %51.0% Launch Angle16.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.5% Blast %17.4% EV50— season HR23 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp78°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA4.97 HR/91.02

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