ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CHC	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	85.62	58.55	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB390 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp81°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.72 HR/91.64
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	BAL	49.5%	86%	80.15	70.42	61.92	62.05	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp86°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrandon Young HandR ERA3.13 HR/90.83
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	49.6%	86%	74.52	59.01	53.90	61.29	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB355 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.82
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	49.3%	86%	80.28	73.01	81.77	60.64	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB422 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.43
5	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ARI	44.2%	80%	80.33	70.42	79.71	62.95	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB343 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameMitch Bratt HandL ERA6.32 HR/92.30
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIL	46.0%	86%	79.50	73.01	51.66	59.23	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB324 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp90°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameShane Drohan HandL ERA3.51 HR/90.66
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	42.0%	86%	75.85	70.91	79.14	60.64	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp88°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA3.96 HR/91.43
8	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	DET	47.4%	73%	68.76	66.01	71.61	58.13	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB350 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp92°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	STL	44.7%	86%	78.75	69.72	42.89	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp85°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.55 HR/91.07
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	42.6%	86%	67.51	66.01	66.26	60.64	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR28 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp88°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA2.76 HR/91.23
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CHC	38.7%	86%	67.25	36.75	67.10	58.55	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp81°F Wind11 mph S vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA3.72 HR/91.64
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	37.4%	86%	68.10	63.21	56.13	60.64	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp88°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA2.76 HR/91.23
13	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	LAA	34.6%	86%	77.14	61.11	76.63	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB308 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp90°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Johnson HandR ERA7.34 HR/92.38
14	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	ATH	39.5%	86%	79.48	70.42	92.03	58.13	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp92°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA6.23 HR/92.34
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TEX	29.3%	86%	76.01	63.91	70.26	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB353 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp94°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.62
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	TOR	40.3%	86%	86.93	52.64	45.95	62.14	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp85°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA2.46 HR/90.56
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	39.9%	86%	77.16	39.55	55.84	61.29	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR22 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind4 mph SW vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.65 HR/90.82
18	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	40.7%	83%	69.71	63.91	65.62	60.79	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp83°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameCarson Whisenhunt HandL ERA4.60 HR/91.72
19	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	38.9%	86%	71.51	52.64	65.07	60.64	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB333 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp88°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA2.76 HR/91.23
20	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CLE	40.3%	83%	67.64	61.53	64.79	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameTanner Bibee HandR ERA3.89 HR/91.44
21	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	35.2%	86%	67.52	61.11	77.68	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR21 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp94°F Wind15 mph S vs pitcher NameNathan Eovaldi HandR ERA4.05 HR/91.62
22	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	BOS	35.0%	86%	78.54	66.01	39.70	59.38	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp90°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.02 HR/90.47
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CWS	38.9%	86%	62.87	66.71	74.44	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.76
24	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	NYM	35.5%	86%	67.49	66.01	60.91	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB424 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp82°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameFreddy Peralta HandR ERA4.99 HR/91.35
25	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	PHI	33.9%	73%	50.24	54.11	62.09	62.05	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR18 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind2 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15

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