ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	60.77	56.16	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp76°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.49
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	45.8%	86%	73.14	70.21	87.38	59.97	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp89°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJacob Lopez HandL ERA6.12 HR/91.53
3	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	48.4%	86%	79.50	73.01	85.95	61.29	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB320 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp83°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameHayden Wesneski HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.97
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	49.7%	86%	74.52	59.01	62.16	59.79	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp81°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA4.02 HR/91.07
5	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	46.2%	86%	80.04	70.42	95.50	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR35 AB388 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA8.54 HR/91.62
6	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	45.0%	83%	68.76	66.01	53.27	59.97	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB346 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp89°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NamePatrick Sandoval HandL ERA3.21 HR/90.64
7	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	43.0%	86%	80.33	70.42	74.11	59.79	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB340 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp81°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.53 HR/91.83
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYM	42.8%	86%	67.51	66.01	78.30	58.95	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB413 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.52 HR/91.26
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	TOR	46.4%	83%	80.28	73.01	72.28	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB416 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.92 HR/91.06
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYM	39.4%	86%	68.10	63.21	67.71	58.95	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.52 HR/91.26
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	TOR	39.2%	83%	75.85	70.91	70.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA3.92 HR/91.06
12	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CWS	43.5%	86%	67.25	36.75	42.68	56.16	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB296 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp76°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavis Martin HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.49
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	31.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	79.02	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB348 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA8.54 HR/91.62
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CHC	40.9%	86%	86.93	52.64	58.14	61.28	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB403 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA3.81 HR/90.92
15	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SEA	38.3%	83%	78.54	66.01	52.28	62.09	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.16 HR/91.11
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	39.9%	86%	77.16	39.55	63.12	59.79	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR22 AB402 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp81°F Wind10 mph N vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA4.02 HR/91.07
17	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	BAL	36.1%	86%	79.48	70.42	61.26	59.10	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp79°F Wind12 mph N vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.17 HR/90.87
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYM	40.8%	86%	71.51	52.64	77.03	58.95	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp80°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameSean Manaea HandL ERA4.52 HR/91.26
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	35.8%	86%	67.52	61.11	86.43	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR21 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp83°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameGrayson Rodriguez HandR ERA8.54 HR/91.62
20	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SF	32.5%	86%	77.14	61.11	40.93	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB304 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Webb HandR ERA3.98 HR/90.72
21	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	39.6%	83%	67.64	61.53	55.25	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB391 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp74°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJared Jones HandR ERA3.56 HR/91.13
22	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SEA	33.8%	83%	64.69	63.91	65.07	62.09	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB324 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.16 HR/91.11
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	37.8%	83%	62.87	66.71	60.23	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp84°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.82 HR/91.09
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SEA	36.2%	83%	60.89	66.01	53.40	62.09	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR17 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.16 HR/91.11
25	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	36.9%	83%	69.71	63.91	41.53	55.61	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB417 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.15

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