ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIL	53.7%	80%	81.43	68.81	77.92	43.81	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR12 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	COL	49.1%	86%	80.15	70.42	79.31	56.97	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR14 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp77°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA3.41 HR/91.46
3	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BAL	48.2%	80%	68.76	66.01	80.00	59.20	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameKeegan Akin HandL ERA11.12 HR/93.18
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	HOU	43.7%	77%	74.52	59.01	63.28	51.86	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp70°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA2.35 HR/91.17
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIA	47.3%	86%	80.28	73.01	60.24	57.88	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR11 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp90°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.79 HR/90.66
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	CIN	44.1%	83%	80.04	70.42	60.84	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR13 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.12
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	LAA	42.2%	86%	78.75	69.72	31.55	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA1.74 HR/90.96
8	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	MIL	41.9%	80%	78.94	39.55	77.92	43.81	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR15 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIA	40.0%	86%	75.85	70.91	58.14	57.88	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB140 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp90°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.79 HR/90.66
10	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	TOR	41.1%	80%	79.50	73.01	68.33	40.10	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB138 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp55°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameSpencer Miles HandR ERA3.50 HR/91.00
11	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	SF	42.6%	86%	85.09	73.01	81.37	39.68	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp54°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.00 HR/91.50
12	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	CIN	35.4%	83%	76.01	63.91	60.84	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.12
13	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	SEA	40.2%	86%	72.67	63.21	89.00	43.96	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp60°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.64
14	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	LAD	35.9%	83%	67.51	66.01	46.25	48.56	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR13 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA1.25 HR/91.15
15	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	MIL	40.4%	80%	67.25	36.75	60.16	43.81	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp59°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameLogan Henderson HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.15
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SD	34.8%	83%	86.93	52.64	72.50	49.87	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp68°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.64 HR/90.59
17	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	LAD	31.6%	83%	68.10	63.21	46.25	48.56	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA1.25 HR/91.15
18	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	37.8%	80%	80.33	70.42	56.57	42.05	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp57°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Morris HandR ERA4.96 HR/90.55
19	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	HOU	34.2%	77%	77.16	39.55	65.08	51.86	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB151 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp70°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA2.35 HR/91.17
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	CIN	34.1%	83%	67.52	61.11	60.84	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR9 AB146 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp70°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA5.13 HR/91.12
21	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	NYM	36.7%	80%	67.64	61.53	36.85	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp94°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameHuascar Brazobán HandR ERA1.53 HR/90.51
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	WSH	33.8%	86%	67.49	66.01	37.52	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB157 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp90°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.93 HR/90.25
23	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	STL	34.7%	83%	69.71	63.91	60.67	49.87	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB141 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp68°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.56
24	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	31.6%	80%	62.87	66.71	35.00	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB136 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA2.04 HR/90.51
25	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	ATH	35.8%	86%	50.24	54.11	63.99	59.20	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB167 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameLuis Severino HandR ERA4.15 HR/91.04

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