ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	MIN	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	82.24	50.29	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR38 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp68°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.28 HR/91.38
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	WSH	50.1%	83%	80.15	70.42	72.50	54.31	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR44 AB541 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp74°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameJackson Kent HandL ERA6.59 HR/90.33
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TEX	43.9%	86%	73.14	70.21	68.34	55.71	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR26 AB437 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp95°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA3.80 HR/91.15
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAD	47.4%	86%	74.52	59.01	52.81	60.33	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR27 AB518 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp88°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.62 HR/90.99
5	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	MIN	43.0%	83%	51.89	54.11	78.36	50.29	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp68°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.28 HR/91.38
6	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	SEA	46.1%	86%	79.50	73.01	65.95	56.55	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB475 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp77°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameLogan Gilbert HandR ERA3.72 HR/91.41
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	43.4%	83%	78.75	69.72	50.94	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp71°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameDrew Anderson HandR ERA3.80 HR/91.30
8	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	KC	44.8%	86%	80.04	70.42	71.38	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR38 AB523 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.25 HR/91.18
9	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	40.1%	86%	72.67	63.21	75.96	57.06	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR31 AB411 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameFoster Griffin HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.27
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	41.9%	86%	67.51	66.01	80.34	55.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR39 AB584 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	38.4%	86%	68.10	63.21	69.33	55.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
12	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	CIN	40.3%	86%	78.54	66.01	66.75	60.33	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp88°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.81 HR/91.28
13	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	KC	30.3%	86%	76.01	63.91	57.52	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.25 HR/91.18
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SF	36.8%	86%	86.93	52.64	68.90	56.68	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp94°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.16
15	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	PIT	41.6%	86%	77.14	61.11	56.98	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB425 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp78°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameLake Bachar HandR ERA3.52 HR/91.47
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAD	37.8%	86%	77.16	39.55	54.07	60.33	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB575 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp88°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameYoshinobu Yamamoto HandR ERA2.62 HR/90.99
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	33.6%	86%	67.64	61.53	59.12	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR21 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp95°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.54 HR/91.05
18	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	ATH	39.4%	86%	62.87	66.71	82.20	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB574 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.53 HR/91.74
19	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	CIN	31.3%	86%	64.69	63.91	82.06	60.33	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR28 AB452 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp88°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameRhett Lowder HandR ERA5.81 HR/91.28
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	38.9%	86%	71.51	52.64	69.85	55.30	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB506 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind3 mph SW vs pitcher NameKevin Gausman HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
21	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	KC	29.5%	86%	67.52	61.11	59.29	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB530 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA3.25 HR/91.18
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	37.0%	86%	69.71	63.91	80.74	48.20	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR22 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp68°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA6.37 HR/91.74
23	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	NYY	33.3%	83%	51.60	63.91	40.45	50.29	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR20 AB525 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.73 HR/90.36
24	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	LAA	32.0%	86%	73.45	59.01	87.37	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR22 AB436 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp77°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameRyan Johnson HandR ERA5.12 HR/91.92
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	SF	31.6%	86%	77.15	43.75	63.88	56.68	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR22 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp94°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBlade Tidwell HandR ERA4.82 HR/91.16

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