ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	51.6%	86%	81.43	68.81	52.88	49.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR13 AB125 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp67°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.75 HR/90.89
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	WSH	45.6%	86%	74.52	59.01	95.70	52.18	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA7.44 HR/92.48
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	BOS	46.0%	73%	80.15	70.42	77.92	45.51	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR16 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	CIN	47.8%	86%	80.28	73.01	97.11	52.18	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR11 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp71°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.63 HR/91.88
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CLE	45.1%	86%	79.50	73.01	98.65	46.56	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB145 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp64°F Wind0 mph E vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA6.15 HR/91.76
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	45.0%	86%	80.04	70.42	75.12	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR13 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.02 HR/91.15
7	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	STL	46.4%	86%	68.76	66.01	58.48	57.47	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp78°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameAndre Pallante HandR ERA4.34 HR/91.21
8	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	COL	46.3%	86%	85.09	73.01	90.93	48.63	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp66°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.92 HR/91.62
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	42.5%	86%	78.75	69.72	35.58	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp52°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA2.60 HR/90.26
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	CIN	40.5%	86%	75.85	70.91	95.00	52.18	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp71°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA5.63 HR/91.88
11	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BAL	43.8%	86%	78.94	39.55	52.88	49.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR16 AB150 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp67°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.75 HR/90.89
12	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	KC	42.3%	77%	72.67	63.21	86.67	50.80	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind14 mph SW vs pitcher NameStephen Kolek HandR ERA4.50 HR/91.50
13	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CHC	39.5%	83%	67.51	66.01	70.17	49.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB159 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.03 HR/90.95
14	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BAL	33.6%	86%	67.25	36.75	52.88	49.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp67°F Wind4 mph SE vs pitcher NameTrevor Rogers HandL ERA4.75 HR/90.89
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	ATH	38.2%	86%	86.93	52.64	61.36	57.47	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR11 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp78°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameJeffrey Springs HandL ERA3.89 HR/91.43
16	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	34.8%	86%	76.01	63.91	50.43	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.02 HR/91.15
17	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	WSH	36.4%	86%	77.16	39.55	97.41	52.18	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp71°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameMiles Mikolas HandR ERA7.44 HR/92.48
18	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CHC	35.9%	83%	68.10	63.21	57.65	49.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.03 HR/90.95
19	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	LAA	38.6%	83%	80.33	70.42	45.25	46.56	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp64°F Wind0 mph E vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA3.22 HR/90.40
20	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	TEX	38.5%	86%	67.64	61.53	61.38	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB134 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA5.18 HR/91.13
21	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	SEA	34.6%	86%	67.52	61.11	68.42	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR9 AB152 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.02 HR/91.15
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	MIN	34.5%	83%	67.49	66.01	47.54	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp68°F Wind17 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.19 HR/91.05
23	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	36.7%	86%	62.87	66.71	46.42	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB145 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp52°F Wind9 mph SE vs pitcher NamePatrick Corbin HandL ERA3.60 HR/90.90
24	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CHC	36.4%	83%	71.51	52.64	65.61	49.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR10 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.03 HR/90.95
25	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SF	33.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	72.60	44.02	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.73

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