ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	ARI	40.7%	82%	81.43	68.81	57.40	59.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR38 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp81°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.62 HR/90.81
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	35.8%	79%	73.14	70.21	85.15	55.86	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR27 AB446 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp76°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.27 HR/91.69
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	NYM	35.8%	82%	80.15	70.42	79.73	55.29	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR45 AB552 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp75°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA3.44 HR/91.47
4	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	ARI	35.2%	82%	51.89	54.11	53.86	59.50	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB494 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp81°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.62 HR/90.81
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TEX	33.4%	82%	78.75	69.72	55.14	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR9 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp79°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.54 HR/91.30
6	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	33.4%	82%	74.52	59.01	47.79	54.44	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR28 AB528 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp74°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameClay Holmes HandR ERA2.85 HR/90.59
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	ATL	33.0%	79%	80.04	70.42	74.97	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR40 AB533 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.91 HR/91.17
8	James Wood ▸	WSH	STL	33.0%	79%	80.28	73.01	61.93	55.81	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.33 HR/90.93
9	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	MIN	31.9%	82%	79.50	73.01	66.92	47.51	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR21 AB485 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp65°F Wind1 mph N vs pitcher NameConnor Prielipp HandL ERA5.24 HR/91.11
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	HOU	31.6%	79%	67.51	66.01	63.67	56.74	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR39 AB592 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.71 HR/90.86
11	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	STL	31.5%	79%	75.85	70.91	58.08	55.81	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR30 AB546 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA3.33 HR/90.93
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATH	30.8%	79%	80.33	70.42	78.89	49.70	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR14 AB464 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp67°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA7.08 HR/92.66
13	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	DET	30.3%	76%	72.67	63.21	81.42	48.64	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR32 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameAndrew Sears HandL ERA5.40 HR/91.08
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	HOU	30.2%	79%	68.10	63.21	52.80	56.74	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR25 AB559 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.71 HR/90.86
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	ATL	29.6%	79%	76.01	63.91	60.81	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR20 AB481 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.91 HR/91.17
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	BAL	29.2%	69%	77.14	61.11	54.54	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB430 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
17	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	NYY	28.5%	82%	67.64	61.53	66.51	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR21 AB550 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.67 HR/91.56
18	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	WSH	28.4%	79%	86.93	52.64	54.25	55.81	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB575 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameCade Cavalli HandR ERA3.12 HR/90.98
19	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CWS	27.6%	79%	79.48	70.42	88.82	48.64	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR27 AB529 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp66°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameDavid Sandlin HandR ERA5.64 HR/91.78
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	ATL	27.4%	79%	67.52	61.11	62.64	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR25 AB537 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.91 HR/91.17
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	27.2%	82%	77.16	39.55	48.87	54.44	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR32 AB587 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp74°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameClay Holmes HandR ERA2.85 HR/90.59
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	HOU	26.9%	79%	71.51	52.64	53.28	56.74	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR24 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp77°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.71 HR/90.86
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	SD	25.8%	79%	67.49	66.01	34.83	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR10 AB595 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Pivetta HandR ERA3.60 HR/90.36
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIA	25.7%	79%	69.71	63.91	60.11	50.56	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR23 AB595 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp69°F Wind6 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.55 HR/91.29
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	25.7%	79%	62.87	66.71	41.89	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB587 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind8 mph NE vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.33 HR/90.59

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