ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CLE	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	81.62	61.41	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR18 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.92 HR/91.20
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	44.6%	86%	73.14	70.21	51.11	62.20	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR13 AB218 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp86°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.29 HR/90.76
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	TOR	50.5%	86%	80.15	70.42	58.96	58.77	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR23 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameDylan Cease HandR ERA3.05 HR/90.73
4	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	CWS	49.2%	86%	69.74	70.21	76.55	61.17	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB193 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.01
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CWS	44.2%	86%	67.51	66.01	92.29	61.17	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR17 AB258 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.01
6	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	MIL	37.6%	83%	68.76	66.01	77.83	58.95	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR14 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameRobert Gasser HandL ERA4.73 HR/91.35
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	37.2%	86%	79.50	73.01	62.12	55.78	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR14 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp76°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameKai-Wei Teng HandR ERA3.06 HR/91.15
8	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	CWS	45.0%	86%	68.10	63.21	90.77	61.17	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR13 AB222 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameErick Fedde HandR ERA4.94 HR/92.01
9	James Wood ▸	WSH	SF	36.6%	83%	80.28	73.01	88.02	50.36	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR17 AB253 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA5.49 HR/91.48
10	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CLE	46.6%	86%	67.25	36.75	63.62	61.41	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR8 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.92 HR/91.20
11	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	PHI	46.1%	86%	78.75	69.72	35.38	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB234 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp80°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.31 HR/91.07
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	NYY	42.2%	83%	80.33	70.42	52.35	61.41	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB232 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp86°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA2.00 HR/91.50
13	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	35.8%	86%	80.04	70.42	56.55	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR22 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.72
14	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	SF	34.9%	83%	75.85	70.91	83.57	50.36	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR14 AB242 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp69°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA5.49 HR/91.48
15	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	MIN	38.1%	86%	79.48	70.42	61.13	60.23	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR14 AB213 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp82°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.56 HR/90.89
16	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SD	32.0%	80%	77.16	39.55	80.30	54.24	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR12 AB244 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp74°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameLucas Giolito HandR ERA4.86 HR/91.62
17	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	PIT	37.0%	86%	78.54	66.01	44.63	59.66	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR10 AB239 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.83 HR/90.77
18	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	31.4%	86%	76.01	63.91	34.54	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR6 AB220 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.72
19	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ARI	37.4%	86%	67.49	66.01	65.83	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB256 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameZac Gallen HandR ERA5.32 HR/91.54
20	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	MIA	37.2%	86%	67.64	61.53	43.82	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR10 AB228 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA2.81 HR/90.61
21	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	29.9%	86%	67.52	61.11	52.98	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR16 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp76°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.72
22	Hunter Goodman ▸	COL	CHC	33.2%	86%	41.14	22.75	80.75	61.94	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.289 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %48.5% Launch Angle24.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.7 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %7.3% EV50— season HR17 AB227 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp86°F Wind14 mph W vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.59 HR/91.25
23	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	PIT	31.0%	86%	64.69	63.91	56.28	59.66	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR14 AB198 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.83 HR/90.77
24	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	PIT	35.1%	86%	60.89	66.01	49.84	59.66	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR14 AB247 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA2.83 HR/90.77
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	36.3%	86%	62.87	66.71	41.74	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR12 AB231 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA2.28 HR/90.57

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