ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PIT	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	81.15	63.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR29 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.13
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	LAD	50.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	95.97	61.67	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp84°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA4.81 HR/92.11
3	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	BAL	46.2%	86%	73.14	70.21	90.16	61.38	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp83°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameDean Kremer HandR ERA4.15 HR/93.12
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	SEA	49.5%	86%	74.52	59.01	58.10	59.81	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR17 AB322 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp81°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.17 HR/91.09
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	STL	46.0%	83%	79.50	73.01	70.25	55.37	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB300 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp75°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameHunter Dobbins HandR ERA4.03 HR/91.21
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	43.8%	83%	78.75	69.72	58.78	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB355 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp67°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA4.08 HR/91.56
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	COL	41.7%	80%	75.85	70.91	66.23	62.28	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR24 AB366 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp85°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameGabriel Hughes HandR ERA3.14 HR/91.15
8	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PIT	47.3%	86%	67.25	36.75	64.47	63.22	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB274 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp85°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.13
9	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	MIA	44.6%	86%	80.04	70.42	68.61	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR33 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp94°F Wind14 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.89 HR/90.92
10	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SD	42.7%	86%	67.51	66.01	62.12	61.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB390 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.87
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SD	39.3%	86%	68.10	63.21	53.25	61.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR18 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.87
12	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	PHI	40.3%	86%	78.54	66.01	84.16	61.67	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.68 HR/92.01
13	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	39.8%	83%	80.33	70.42	66.81	50.49	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB319 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp68°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.32 HR/91.52
14	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SEA	39.7%	86%	77.16	39.55	59.88	59.81	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR20 AB382 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp81°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.17 HR/91.09
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	LAA	37.5%	86%	86.93	52.64	62.23	55.37	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp75°F Wind8 mph SW vs pitcher NameReid Detmers HandL ERA4.16 HR/90.94
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	NYM	34.3%	83%	77.14	61.11	43.53	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB289 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp71°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA2.87 HR/91.06
17	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	PHI	35.7%	86%	64.69	63.91	95.23	61.67	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR19 AB308 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.68 HR/92.01
18	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SD	40.4%	86%	71.51	52.64	57.86	61.75	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB299 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.34 HR/90.87
19	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	PHI	38.4%	86%	60.89	66.01	85.37	61.67	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR17 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp84°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.68 HR/92.01
20	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CHC	38.4%	83%	79.48	70.42	80.32	52.49	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB343 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp72°F Wind6 mph NE vs pitcher NameColin Rea HandR ERA4.74 HR/91.34
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ATL	39.5%	86%	69.71	63.91	44.86	61.75	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB392 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp86°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameMartín Pérez HandL ERA3.54 HR/91.11
22	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	MIA	31.1%	86%	67.52	61.11	60.85	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB368 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp94°F Wind14 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.89 HR/90.92
23	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	CLE	33.4%	83%	51.60	63.91	61.74	50.49	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR13 AB362 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp68°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.55 HR/91.18
24	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	LAD	34.8%	86%	68.02	41.65	88.75	61.67	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR21 AB360 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp84°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameEric Lauer HandL ERA4.81 HR/92.11
25	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	37.3%	83%	62.87	66.71	53.77	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB372 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp67°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameBraydon Fisher HandR ERA3.65 HR/91.09

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