ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	55.0%	86%	81.43	68.81	56.65	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR41 AB573 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	46.5%	86%	51.89	54.11	50.83	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB516 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
3	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	LAD	44.6%	86%	69.74	70.21	48.12	57.58	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR20 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.79
4	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TB	34.8%	86%	67.25	36.75	42.29	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR18 AB418 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	LAD	39.3%	86%	67.51	66.01	55.62	57.58	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB625 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.79
6	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	LAD	35.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	43.31	57.58	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB591 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.79
7	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SD	29.8%	86%	77.14	61.11	49.73	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.59 HR/91.20
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	35.9%	86%	72.67	63.21	58.35	47.01	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA2.56 HR/90.82
9	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	32.7%	86%	20.29	47.11	41.50	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.198 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %4.8% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle16.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %7.8% EV50— season HR19 AB471 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
10	Cody Bellinger ▸	NYY	TB	38.9%	86%	35.43	40.74	37.59	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.0 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %39.2% Launch Angle22.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up30.1% Blast %6.8% EV50— season HR17 AB496 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
11	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ATL	35.5%	73%	78.54	66.01	56.50	57.58	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	36.4%	80%	80.33	70.42	33.51	47.01	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR16 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp64°F Wind12 mph NE vs pitcher NameHagen Smith HandL ERA1.29 HR/90.32
13	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	TB	27.9%	86%	56.02	27.65	41.05	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR14 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
14	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	38.2%	86%	62.87	66.71	65.46	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.61 HR/91.56
15	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	LAD	37.8%	86%	71.51	52.64	44.87	57.58	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR25 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTarik Skubal HandL ERA2.72 HR/90.79
16	William Contreras ▸	MIL	SD	34.5%	86%	54.94	63.21	53.65	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR18 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp59°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameRobbie Ray HandL ERA3.59 HR/91.20
17	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	NYY	27.0%	86%	71.61	61.53	62.50	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR10 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.61 HR/91.56
18	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	ATL	27.0%	73%	64.69	63.91	72.24	57.58	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB488 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
19	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	ATL	28.2%	73%	60.89	66.01	65.33	57.58	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Will Smith ▸	LAD	ATL	31.7%	73%	50.79	66.01	64.26	57.58	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	NYY	30.3%	86%	51.31	64.61	65.89	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.61 HR/91.56
22	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	ATL	31.8%	73%	81.72	52.64	47.92	57.58	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR4 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp92°F Wind6 mph SE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIL	31.7%	86%	69.71	63.91	39.91	42.95	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB626 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp59°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameJacob Misiorowski HandR ERA1.80 HR/90.72
24	Ryan McMahon ▸	NYY	TB	20.3%	86%	40.81	18.55	37.03	62.11	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.272 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %54.2% Launch Angle4.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up23.3% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR11 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA2.67 HR/90.73
25	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	NYY	26.1%	86%	58.80	48.44	66.45	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR22 AB580 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind6 mph E vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.61 HR/91.56

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