ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	66.28	61.97	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR31 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.19 HR/90.99
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	40.5%	80%	73.14	70.21	91.56	58.25	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp92°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.74 HR/91.82
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	ATL	39.1%	86%	80.28	73.01	79.78	62.75	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.79 HR/91.39
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	49.5%	80%	74.52	59.01	48.63	61.75	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB351 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp83°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameYohan Ramírez HandR ERA3.21 HR/90.64
5	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	WSH	38.3%	86%	69.74	70.21	62.81	62.75	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR7 AB206 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	ATL	37.7%	86%	75.85	70.91	77.50	62.75	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB394 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameGrant Holmes HandR ERA3.79 HR/91.39
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	WSH	37.5%	86%	67.51	66.01	81.24	62.75	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR28 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	NYY	45.6%	83%	72.67	63.21	83.21	61.97	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR23 AB254 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameRyan Weathers HandL ERA4.25 HR/91.42
9	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	36.3%	86%	68.76	66.01	58.31	57.45	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB346 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp92°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameSonny Gray HandR ERA2.78 HR/91.01
10	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	WSH	36.2%	86%	68.10	63.21	72.82	62.75	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB389 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	CWS	45.8%	83%	67.25	36.75	47.94	61.97	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB301 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.19 HR/90.99
12	Masataka Yoshida ▸	BOS	ATH	35.6%	80%	66.32	61.11	67.37	58.25	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.385 Exit Velo95.3 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %63.2% Launch Angle7.6° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up51.5% Blast %27.3% EV50— season HR4 AB211 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp92°F Wind12 mph S vs pitcher NameMason Barnett HandR ERA4.74 HR/91.82
13	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	MIA	35.0%	83%	77.17	70.21	62.68	53.50	29.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR12 AB236 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp73°F Wind9 mph NE vs pitcher NameEury Pérez HandR ERA3.56 HR/91.19
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CHC	42.3%	83%	86.93	52.64	78.00	61.70	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp84°F Wind7 mph SE vs pitcher NameJavier Assad HandR ERA3.86 HR/91.65
15	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	LAD	33.8%	86%	77.62	73.01	87.86	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR15 AB260 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameRoki Sasaki HandR ERA4.71 HR/91.92
16	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	PIT	37.7%	80%	53.95	54.11	38.11	61.75	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR8 AB257 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp83°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameYohan Ramírez HandR ERA3.21 HR/90.64
17	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	WSH	33.2%	86%	71.51	52.64	79.36	62.75	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB330 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA5.23 HR/91.22
18	Josh Bell ▸	MIN	KC	36.9%	83%	51.60	63.91	58.97	61.70	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.351 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %11.4% Hard Hit %47.7% Launch Angle17.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.2 mph Squared Up22.9% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR13 AB385 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA4.93 HR/91.17
19	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	SEA	32.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	54.89	60.93	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.37 HR/90.94
20	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	39.7%	80%	77.16	39.55	50.55	61.75	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR22 AB407 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp83°F Wind8 mph N vs pitcher NameYohan Ramírez HandR ERA3.21 HR/90.64
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	39.4%	80%	62.87	66.71	81.11	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR15 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameCole Winn HandR ERA5.94 HR/91.73
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	SF	30.6%	73%	69.71	63.91	51.42	59.09	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB420 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp80°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	CWS	26.6%	83%	56.02	27.65	44.70	61.97	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR7 AB214 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp84°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameSean Burke HandR ERA3.19 HR/90.99
24	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	SEA	29.9%	86%	64.69	63.91	67.48	60.93	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR21 AB328 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.37 HR/90.94
25	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	SEA	29.5%	86%	60.89	66.01	57.74	60.93	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB412 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp87°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameBryan Woo HandR ERA4.37 HR/90.94

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