ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATH	41.0%	86%	73.14	70.21	91.15	61.16	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB340 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp87°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.58
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	49.2%	86%	80.15	70.42	68.95	59.25	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp89°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.52 HR/91.02
3	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	50.6%	86%	74.52	59.01	72.67	61.27	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR18 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	HOU	39.2%	86%	79.50	73.01	82.52	60.61	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB312 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp88°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA5.59 HR/91.40
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	TOR	48.1%	83%	80.28	73.01	100.00	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB409 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA10.23 HR/93.68
6	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	BOS	37.3%	86%	68.76	66.01	59.14	61.16	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR21 AB341 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp87°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA3.31 HR/90.90
7	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	TOR	40.9%	83%	75.85	70.91	98.58	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR27 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA10.23 HR/93.68
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	WSH	42.7%	80%	78.75	69.72	38.88	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB375 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp75°F Wind11 mph SE vs pitcher NameEddy Yean HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
9	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	NYY	44.2%	83%	72.67	63.21	57.74	62.43	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR22 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind17 mph SW vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.97 HR/90.13
10	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	LAA	35.8%	86%	80.04	70.42	56.63	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR34 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.52
11	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	NYM	41.6%	83%	67.51	66.01	52.52	60.16	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR27 AB410 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA1.93 HR/90.39
12	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	41.6%	86%	80.33	70.42	42.52	61.27	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB333 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp87°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.42 HR/91.00
13	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	CLE	35.5%	86%	53.95	54.11	61.54	61.27	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR8 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
14	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	NYM	36.5%	83%	68.10	63.21	42.12	60.16	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR19 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA1.93 HR/90.39
15	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	41.0%	86%	77.16	39.55	72.52	61.27	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR21 AB396 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp87°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameSlade Cecconi HandR ERA4.60 HR/91.30
16	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SF	33.1%	83%	77.14	61.11	66.16	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB298 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp72°F Wind15 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.31 HR/91.41
17	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	TEX	33.5%	86%	77.62	73.01	68.19	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR15 AB257 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp94°F Wind8 mph S vs pitcher NameKumar Rocker HandR ERA4.13 HR/91.13
18	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	BAL	39.8%	86%	79.48	70.42	62.15	60.25	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB357 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp89°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.49 HR/90.95
19	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	CHC	39.4%	83%	86.93	52.64	67.96	55.15	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB398 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp96°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA5.97 HR/90.91
20	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	LAA	31.8%	86%	76.01	63.91	40.38	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR13 AB344 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.52
21	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	40.1%	86%	67.64	61.53	62.30	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA4.90 HR/91.08
22	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	NYM	37.8%	83%	71.51	52.64	51.58	60.16	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR20 AB318 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp83°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA1.93 HR/90.39
23	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	LAA	29.6%	86%	67.52	61.11	47.95	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB380 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp88°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.78 HR/90.52
24	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	36.7%	86%	67.49	66.01	37.81	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB406 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.16 HR/90.99
25	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	DET	32.2%	86%	50.24	54.11	47.22	60.25	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR18 AB435 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind12 mph SW vs pitcher NameKeider Montero HandR ERA3.14 HR/90.85

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