ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	33.6%	82%	78.75	69.72	60.86	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB359 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.79 HR/91.60
2	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SD	38.1%	79%	67.51	66.01	86.98	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB393 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGriffin Canning HandR ERA6.67 HR/91.37
3	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SD	35.1%	79%	68.10	63.21	78.06	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR18 AB361 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGriffin Canning HandR ERA6.67 HR/91.37
4	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SD	35.9%	79%	71.51	52.64	82.69	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB302 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGriffin Canning HandR ERA6.67 HR/91.37
5	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	STL	28.1%	79%	61.77	66.01	43.91	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB295 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.17
6	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	STL	27.9%	79%	67.64	61.53	53.81	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR15 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.17
7	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TOR	27.8%	82%	62.87	66.71	82.11	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR14 AB377 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
8	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	32.4%	82%	80.33	70.42	59.36	40.95	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB324 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameTaj Bradley HandR ERA3.85 HR/91.34
9	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	ARI	27.3%	79%	86.93	52.64	73.33	47.56	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB381 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.22
10	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	TOR	26.7%	82%	71.61	61.53	71.80	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR3 AB210 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
11	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ATL	32.3%	79%	69.71	63.91	28.47	55.55	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR8 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.06 HR/90.69
12	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	KC	24.3%	76%	79.48	70.42	65.74	41.23	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR22 AB347 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
13	Dominic Smith ▸	ATL	SD	21.9%	79%	62.80	43.75	67.50	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.443 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %42.4% Launch Angle10.8° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR6 AB217 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGriffin Canning HandR ERA6.67 HR/91.37
14	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	ARI	21.6%	79%	77.15	43.75	63.79	47.56	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR15 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.22
15	Nick Fortes ▸	TB	TOR	20.4%	82%	38.33	59.71	71.41	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.327 Exit Velo87.2 mph Barrel %2.4% Hard Hit %41.5% Launch Angle8.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up24.7% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR4 AB224 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
16	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	TOR	20.1%	82%	58.80	48.44	82.58	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR14 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
17	Colt Keith ▸	DET	KC	19.4%	76%	66.09	66.01	48.19	41.23	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR8 AB266 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
18	Mauricio Dubón ▸	ATL	SD	20.1%	79%	41.64	43.12	67.92	55.55	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.329 Exit Velo88.3 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %35.3% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %12.9% EV50— season HR10 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameGriffin Canning HandR ERA6.67 HR/91.37
19	Kevin McGonigle ▸	DET	KC	18.5%	76%	61.53	66.01	46.24	41.23	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %37.7% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up33.7% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR9 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
20	Spencer Torkelson ▸	DET	KC	18.0%	76%	59.57	63.21	61.72	41.23	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo89.8 mph Barrel %9.7% Hard Hit %48.4% Launch Angle16.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.6 mph Squared Up21.6% Blast %11.4% EV50— season HR19 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp57°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NameRandy Dobnak HandR ERA1.93 HR/91.29
21	Junior Caminero ▸	TB	TOR	17.1%	82%	51.15	41.44	100.00	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %36.2% Launch Angle16.8° bat tracking Bat Speed80.2 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR29 AB383 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameShane Bieber HandR ERA5.70 HR/92.66
22	Xander Bogaerts ▸	SD	ATL	18.3%	79%	55.47	48.44	29.90	55.55	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo89.5 mph Barrel %7.0% Hard Hit %40.4% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %13.2% EV50— season HR9 AB338 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp76°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA2.06 HR/90.69
23	Iván Herrera ▸	STL	ARI	16.7%	79%	65.30	36.75	58.54	47.56	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %5.9% Hard Hit %51.0% Launch Angle3.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up29.5% Blast %15.2% EV50— season HR11 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA4.58 HR/91.22
24	Daulton Varsho ▸	TOR	TB	16.5%	82%	35.75	40.74	66.97	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.340 Exit Velo85.1 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %34.7% Launch Angle17.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up20.0% Blast %6.7% EV50— season HR7 AB300 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind1 mph NW vs pitcher NameIan Seymour HandL ERA4.79 HR/91.60
25	Ketel Marte ▸	ARI	STL	16.3%	79%	64.58	32.55	55.94	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.380 Exit Velo92.4 mph Barrel %9.6% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle7.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.9 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR18 AB395 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.17

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