ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	ARI	48.6%	86%	85.09	73.01	60.50	62.34	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB148 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameZac Gallen HandR ERA4.45 HR/90.56
2	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TB	46.6%	80%	73.14	70.21	90.68	46.58	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp63°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA5.14 HR/91.93
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATH	46.6%	86%	80.15	70.42	78.75	47.32	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB135 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.23
4	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIN	48.1%	83%	80.28	73.01	100.00	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA6.49 HR/92.08
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIN	40.9%	83%	75.85	70.91	99.09	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameSimeon Woods Richardson HandR ERA6.49 HR/92.08
6	Edouard Julien ▸	COL	NYM	46.1%	80%	60.31	47.74	55.96	44.21	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.356 Exit Velo91.7 mph Barrel %11.5% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle1.9° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up35.3% Blast %17.6% EV50— season HR2 AB93 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp61°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA4.26 HR/91.42
7	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TEX	43.3%	86%	78.94	39.55	62.66	45.67	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR15 AB133 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.30
8	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	PHI	43.0%	86%	68.76	66.01	59.01	47.32	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA5.28 HR/90.93
9	Francisco Alvarez ▸	NYM	COL	32.1%	86%	77.17	70.21	71.66	44.21	29.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.465 Exit Velo89.6 mph Barrel %22.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle6.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up26.2% Blast %15.5% EV50— season HR4 AB100 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCiti Field HR Factor0.96 Temp61°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameJose Quintana HandL ERA4.07 HR/91.85
10	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CHC	38.7%	86%	74.52	59.01	35.00	41.04	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB146 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.40 HR/90.65
11	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TEX	31.5%	86%	67.25	36.75	62.66	45.67	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB116 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp61°F Wind11 mph NW vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.67 HR/91.30
12	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	PIT	33.8%	86%	61.77	66.01	48.02	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR6 AB110 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA2.85 HR/90.22
13	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	BAL	39.2%	80%	67.49	66.01	69.89	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameCade Povich HandL ERA4.41 HR/91.65
14	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	SD	33.8%	83%	86.93	52.64	57.62	49.84	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB132 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp68°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA2.95 HR/90.68
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PIT	35.0%	86%	67.64	61.53	34.39	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp85°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameMitch Keller HandR ERA2.85 HR/90.22
16	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	BOS	37.9%	80%	62.87	66.71	62.50	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR5 AB129 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp63°F Wind9 mph W vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA1.80 HR/91.80
17	Liam Hicks ▸	MIA	BAL	32.7%	80%	51.31	66.01	69.89	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR8 AB109 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp89°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameCade Povich HandL ERA4.41 HR/91.65
18	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	WSH	34.0%	86%	64.66	61.53	47.67	42.36	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR1 AB84 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp58°F Wind9 mph WNW vs pitcher NameJake Irvin HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.04
19	Tyler Stephenson ▸	CIN	CHC	27.9%	86%	53.95	54.11	35.00	41.04	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.336 Exit Velo94.9 mph Barrel %12.0% Hard Hit %44.0% Launch Angle26.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up30.4% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR2 AB88 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.40 HR/90.65
20	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	MIA	34.5%	86%	50.24	54.11	49.09	58.90	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR9 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp89°F Wind15 mph SE vs pitcher NameMax Meyer HandR ERA2.68 HR/90.49
21	Mickey Moniak ▸	COL	NYM	33.0%	80%	39.38	29.75	83.27	44.21	100.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.3 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %31.0% Launch Angle32.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %6.6% EV50— season HR11 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCoors Field HR Factor1.50 Temp61°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameChristian Scott HandR ERA4.26 HR/91.42
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CHC	28.3%	86%	77.16	39.55	35.00	41.04	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB139 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameShota Imanaga HandL ERA2.40 HR/90.65
23	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	ATH	28.6%	86%	68.02	41.65	75.33	47.32	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR9 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind9 mph NW vs pitcher NameJ.T. Ginn HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.23
24	Bryan Reynolds ▸	PIT	ARI	27.9%	86%	65.78	47.74	42.36	62.34	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.382 Exit Velo93.1 mph Barrel %10.9% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.2° bat tracking Bat Speed73.0 mph Squared Up25.0% Blast %12.1% EV50— season HR4 AB131 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp85°F Wind4 mph E vs pitcher NameZac Gallen HandR ERA4.45 HR/90.56
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	SD	27.2%	83%	77.15	43.75	38.25	49.84	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR5 AB138 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp68°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA2.95 HR/90.68

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