ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TOR	55.0%	83%	81.43	68.81	66.25	61.12	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR16 AB155 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp88°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA1.40 HR/91.15
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PHI	48.8%	86%	74.52	59.01	89.99	58.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR11 AB195 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp92°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.77
3	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TOR	47.9%	83%	78.94	39.55	66.25	61.12	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR16 AB176 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp88°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA1.40 HR/91.15
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ATH	38.3%	86%	79.50	73.01	66.56	59.52	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR12 AB170 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp81°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameAaron Civale HandR ERA2.70 HR/91.16
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	MIA	43.4%	86%	67.51	66.01	73.68	62.09	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB187 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.08
6	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	LAA	36.8%	86%	68.76	66.01	57.70	59.52	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR8 AB170 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp81°F Wind11 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Kochanowicz HandR ERA4.56 HR/90.88
7	James Wood ▸	WSH	NYM	46.3%	80%	80.28	73.01	69.70	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR13 AB189 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameZach Thornton HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	KC	40.6%	86%	73.14	70.21	62.63	44.00	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR10 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp60°F Wind10 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael Wacha HandR ERA2.83 HR/91.10
9	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	MIN	42.2%	86%	80.04	70.42	59.08	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR15 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.20 HR/90.53
10	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TOR	36.7%	83%	67.25	36.75	49.94	61.12	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR6 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp88°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameTrey Yesavage HandR ERA1.40 HR/91.15
11	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	NYY	43.8%	86%	78.75	69.72	28.20	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB175 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp88°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameCam Schlittler HandR ERA1.35 HR/90.30
12	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	MIA	43.8%	86%	68.10	63.21	66.34	62.09	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR9 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameJanson Junk HandR ERA4.14 HR/91.08
13	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	NYM	38.8%	80%	75.85	70.91	62.15	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB176 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameZach Thornton HandL ERA4.20 HR/91.15
14	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PHI	37.9%	86%	77.16	39.55	91.59	58.23	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB184 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp92°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA5.91 HR/91.77
15	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	STL	37.6%	86%	85.09	73.01	54.68	44.85	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB193 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp61°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameMichael McGreevy HandR ERA2.10 HR/91.05
16	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	SF	40.8%	86%	61.77	66.01	81.20	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR7 AB162 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp84°F Wind2 mph S vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA5.59 HR/91.74
17	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	MIN	29.0%	86%	76.01	63.91	33.26	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB157 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.20 HR/90.53
18	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	SEA	37.7%	86%	72.67	63.21	74.03	39.95	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR17 AB167 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp55°F Wind4 mph N vs pitcher NameEmerson Hancock HandR ERA3.02 HR/91.34
19	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	DET	35.8%	73%	80.33	70.42	60.46	40.05	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB164 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp55°F Wind10 mph E vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	MIN	33.5%	86%	67.52	61.11	52.08	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR11 AB180 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp55°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.20 HR/90.53
21	Gunnar Henderson ▸	BAL	TB	35.7%	86%	50.24	54.11	71.27	61.15	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.326 Exit Velo90.6 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle18.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %9.9% EV50— season HR10 AB204 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkOriole Park at Camden Yards HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameSteven Matz HandL ERA3.86 HR/91.45
22	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	PIT	32.7%	86%	86.93	52.64	66.08	44.85	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR13 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp61°F Wind7 mph NE vs pitcher NameCarmen Mlodzinski HandR ERA4.40 HR/90.40
23	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	ATL	35.1%	86%	67.49	66.01	35.77	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB191 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp86°F Wind14 mph E vs pitcher NameChris Sale HandL ERA1.96 HR/90.98
24	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	LAD	35.5%	86%	69.71	63.91	25.00	55.32	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR0 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp75°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameShohei Ohtani HandR ERA0.82 HR/90.41
25	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	CIN	32.0%	86%	68.02	41.65	67.03	58.23	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR12 AB177 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp92°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameAndrew Abbott HandL ERA4.21 HR/91.05

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