ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Giancarlo Stanton ▸	NYY	TB	46.1%	80%	68.61	63.21	55.00	58.86	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.354 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %36.0% Launch Angle23.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.50
2	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	PHI	47.5%	80%	85.22	70.42	80.00	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.436 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %16.0% Hard Hit %40.0% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB42 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp62°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameTaijuan Walker HandR ERA9.31 HR/92.79
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ARI	47.2%	80%	98.24	70.42	56.00	46.10	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %33.3% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle29.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB44 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA6.75 HR/90.84
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	44.4%	83%	87.33	69.72	57.33	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.426 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %43.3% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp50°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA4.40 HR/91.15
5	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	CIN	46.0%	80%	91.75	73.01	75.68	46.48	30.91	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.437 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %42.9% Launch Angle19.2° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB46 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp64°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameBrandon Williamson HandL ERA4.76 HR/92.38
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	SEA	45.6%	80%	100.00	70.42	47.94	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.606 Exit Velo96.2 mph Barrel %25.0% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle22.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB44 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp45°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.15
7	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	TB	44.5%	80%	74.72	32.55	55.00	58.86	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %26.1% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA2.25 HR/91.50
8	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	BOS	41.3%	77%	100.00	52.64	80.00	50.08	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.438 Exit Velo98.3 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %75.0% Launch Angle12.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp69°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA8.64 HR/92.16
9	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	SEA	33.9%	80%	82.45	70.91	47.94	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo87.8 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle8.8° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp45°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA2.79 HR/91.15
10	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	LAA	38.2%	80%	99.60	39.55	63.75	46.48	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo93.8 mph Barrel %21.4% Hard Hit %57.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB47 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGeorge Klassen HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.15
11	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	STL	38.0%	77%	68.75	63.21	56.92	50.08	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle14.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB44 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp69°F Wind8 mph SE vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA5.40 HR/90.90
12	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CHC	43.0%	80%	100.00	73.01	46.25	44.16	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %61.5% Launch Angle6.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB50 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp60°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameEdward Cabrera HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
13	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	CLE	37.4%	80%	69.53	66.01	38.00	59.35	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %42.3% Launch Angle14.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB54 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA0.82 HR/90.82
14	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	NYM	40.7%	80%	76.69	66.01	49.69	45.95	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.364 Exit Velo94.3 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle10.7° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB43 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA3.09 HR/91.15
15	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	CLE	39.8%	80%	91.76	52.64	38.00	59.35	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.464 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle9.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB58 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp81°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA0.82 HR/90.82
16	Shea Langeliers ▸	ATH	NYM	36.2%	80%	76.40	59.01	49.69	45.95	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo92.9 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %41.7% Launch Angle28.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB49 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA3.09 HR/91.15
17	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	37.8%	83%	74.47	66.71	46.25	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.395 Exit Velo91.2 mph Barrel %8.8% Hard Hit %47.1% Launch Angle8.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind7 mph E vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA1.35 HR/91.15
18	Max Muncy ▸	ATH	NYM	28.9%	80%	74.14	56.91	49.69	45.95	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.334 Exit Velo95.1 mph Barrel %17.4% Hard Hit %65.2% Launch Angle10.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB51 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind15 mph NW vs pitcher NameKodai Senga HandR ERA3.09 HR/91.15
19	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	LAA	34.3%	80%	64.71	43.12	63.75	46.48	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo95.0 mph Barrel %11.1% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle18.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp64°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGeorge Klassen HandR ERA6.75 HR/91.15
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	TEX	32.6%	80%	96.80	66.01	38.00	47.26	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.479 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %23.1% Hard Hit %53.8% Launch Angle17.3° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR3 AB55 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp65°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.82
21	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	COL	35.1%	77%	77.84	63.91	55.12	48.83	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %14.8% Hard Hit %70.4% Launch Angle0.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR0 AB53 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp67°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameRyan Feltner HandR ERA4.32 HR/91.08
22	Will Smith ▸	LAD	TEX	33.4%	80%	79.65	73.01	38.00	47.26	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.431 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %20.8% Hard Hit %37.5% Launch Angle18.5° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB42 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp65°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA2.45 HR/90.82
23	Randy Arozarena ▸	SEA	HOU	30.4%	80%	80.13	66.01	50.74	50.00	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.412 Exit Velo91.3 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %46.9% Launch Angle2.6° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR1 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp45°F Wind4 mph S vs pitcher NameLance McCullers Jr. HandR ERA3.27 HR/91.15
24	Corey Seager ▸	TEX	LAD	32.6%	80%	81.24	34.65	80.00	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.363 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %17.9% Hard Hit %53.6% Launch Angle14.4° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR4 AB47 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGlobe Life Field HR Factor1.05 Temp65°F Wind10 mph SW vs pitcher NameEmmet Sheehan HandR ERA8.00 HR/92.00
25	Adolis García ▸	PHI	ARI	27.9%	80%	74.71	47.74	56.00	46.10	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.353 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle16.1° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR2 AB48 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind12 mph NW vs pitcher NameBrandon Pfaadt HandR ERA6.75 HR/90.84

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