ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	NYM	38.3%	76%	81.43	68.81	55.00	39.27	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR14 AB137 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp54°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameHuascar Brazobán HandR ERA2.14 HR/90.43
2	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	TEX	32.8%	82%	80.04	70.42	68.45	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR14 AB168 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.62 HR/91.21
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	BAL	32.7%	79%	80.28	73.01	69.67	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR12 AB171 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA5.21 HR/90.71
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	DET	32.2%	82%	78.75	69.72	27.33	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB160 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.90 HR/90.58
5	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	PIT	31.5%	82%	80.15	70.42	84.37	33.98	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR20 AB169 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp47°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.62 HR/91.38
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	BAL	31.1%	79%	75.85	70.91	63.33	52.80	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameChris Bassitt HandR ERA5.21 HR/90.71
7	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	ATL	30.8%	82%	73.14	70.21	44.51	40.57	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR8 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameBryce Elder HandR ERA1.81 HR/90.49
8	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CHC	30.6%	79%	72.67	63.21	90.90	48.06	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR15 AB154 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp66°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJameson Taillon HandR ERA3.94 HR/92.17
9	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	CLE	30.6%	82%	74.52	59.01	57.83	40.19	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind14 mph S vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA2.98 HR/90.99
10	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	NYM	29.9%	76%	78.94	39.55	55.00	39.27	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR16 AB161 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp54°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameHuascar Brazobán HandR ERA2.14 HR/90.43
11	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	LAD	29.8%	82%	79.50	73.01	35.00	45.33	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR11 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp62°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.42 HR/90.40
12	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	SF	29.4%	76%	68.76	66.01	64.39	42.33	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR8 AB156 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp59°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameTrevor McDonald HandR ERA2.92 HR/91.46
13	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	COL	28.8%	82%	67.64	61.53	71.66	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR5 AB144 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp61°F Wind3 mph NW vs pitcher NameTomoyuki Sugano HandR ERA4.07 HR/91.93
14	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	TEX	28.7%	82%	76.01	63.91	42.97	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB151 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.62 HR/91.21
15	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CIN	28.7%	82%	80.33	70.42	83.61	40.19	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR6 AB147 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp56°F Wind14 mph S vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA7.63 HR/91.76
16	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	KC	28.6%	79%	86.93	52.64	66.50	53.97	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR13 AB165 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind1 mph W vs pitcher NameNoah Cameron HandL ERA5.55 HR/91.26
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	TEX	27.4%	82%	67.52	61.11	63.62	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR10 AB166 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp74°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameJacob deGrom HandR ERA2.62 HR/91.21
18	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	BOS	27.2%	79%	67.51	66.01	57.25	40.57	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR14 AB174 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA1.99 HR/90.79
19	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	PHI	26.9%	82%	85.09	73.01	47.78	33.98	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR10 AB181 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp47°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameCristopher Sánchez HandL ERA2.11 HR/90.49
20	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	NYM	26.2%	76%	67.25	36.75	40.20	39.27	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR6 AB142 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp54°F Wind6 mph SW vs pitcher NameHuascar Brazobán HandR ERA2.14 HR/90.43
21	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	MIA	25.9%	79%	62.87	66.71	46.35	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR6 AB158 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA3.90 HR/90.62
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	TB	25.4%	79%	67.49	66.01	28.20	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR4 AB175 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind8 mph E vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA1.70 HR/90.57
23	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	BOS	25.1%	79%	68.10	63.21	37.25	40.57	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR8 AB143 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp56°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NamePayton Tolle HandL ERA1.99 HR/90.79
24	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	CLE	23.8%	82%	77.16	39.55	59.46	40.19	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR10 AB172 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp56°F Wind14 mph S vs pitcher NameJoey Cantillo HandL ERA2.98 HR/90.99
25	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	LAA	23.7%	82%	78.54	66.01	32.02	45.33	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR4 AB163 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp62°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameJosé Soriano HandR ERA1.66 HR/90.83

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