ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	BAL	46.7%	79%	81.43	68.81	77.92	33.78	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR11 AB106 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp46°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Gibson HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
2	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	44.8%	79%	80.15	70.42	95.25	56.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR11 AB119 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.11 HR/91.61
3	James Wood ▸	WSH	MIL	42.1%	66%	80.28	73.01	77.92	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR10 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	MIN	38.1%	82%	78.75	69.72	33.30	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR2 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind9 mph SW vs pitcher NameJoe Ryan HandR ERA3.76 HR/90.70
5	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	MIL	35.5%	66%	75.85	70.91	74.56	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR8 AB114 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	BOS	38.5%	82%	80.04	70.42	40.19	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR12 AB127 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp44°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.09 HR/90.77
7	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	NYM	30.4%	82%	79.50	73.01	56.25	43.56	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR10 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp60°F Wind7 mph SW vs pitcher NameClay Holmes HandR ERA1.75 HR/90.75
8	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	HOU	36.9%	76%	73.14	70.21	69.32	33.02	49.09	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR7 AB114 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp44°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameCody Bolton HandR ERA5.79 HR/90.96
9	Aaron Judge ▸	NYY	BAL	34.8%	79%	78.94	39.55	77.92	33.78	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.427 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %28.6% Hard Hit %52.4% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up19.2% Blast %13.1% EV50— season HR12 AB117 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp46°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Gibson HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	PIT	34.0%	82%	74.52	59.01	64.31	32.55	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR10 AB130 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp33°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.71 HR/90.79
11	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	BOS	27.9%	82%	76.01	63.91	40.19	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR4 AB113 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp44°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.09 HR/90.77
12	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	CHC	32.7%	79%	67.64	61.53	52.50	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR4 AB107 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp47°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMatthew Boyd HandL ERA7.00 HR/90.50
13	Oneil Cruz ▸	PIT	CIN	35.1%	82%	85.09	73.01	67.95	32.55	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo97.1 mph Barrel %20.5% Hard Hit %61.4% Launch Angle7.9° bat tracking Bat Speed78.5 mph Squared Up25.8% Blast %19.2% EV50— season HR9 AB136 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPNC Park HR Factor0.93 Temp33°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameChase Burns HandR ERA2.65 HR/91.32
14	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	CLE	27.0%	82%	68.76	66.01	35.00	39.34	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR5 AB115 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp55°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameParker Messick HandL ERA1.73 HR/90.25
15	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	34.2%	79%	67.49	66.01	54.75	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR3 AB128 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp76°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameJesús Luzardo HandL ERA5.50 HR/90.79
16	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	ATH	26.6%	82%	80.33	70.42	48.76	39.34	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR5 AB108 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp55°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameAaron Civale HandR ERA3.23 HR/90.88
17	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	BOS	29.4%	82%	67.52	61.11	40.19	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR8 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp44°F Wind8 mph NW vs pitcher NameRanger Suarez HandL ERA3.09 HR/90.77
18	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	BAL	33.2%	79%	67.25	36.75	64.35	33.78	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR5 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp46°F Wind13 mph N vs pitcher NameTrey Gibson HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
19	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	COL	29.0%	79%	67.51	66.01	44.97	37.82	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR11 AB133 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp52°F Wind8 mph W vs pitcher NameKyle Freeland HandL ERA3.48 HR/90.87
20	Bryce Harper ▸	PHI	MIA	29.3%	79%	68.02	41.65	84.06	56.39	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.424 Exit Velo88.9 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %39.6% Launch Angle10.9° bat tracking Bat Speed73.8 mph Squared Up24.8% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR6 AB121 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp76°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameChris Paddack HandR ERA6.11 HR/91.61
21	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	TEX	23.2%	82%	79.48	70.42	89.65	32.55	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR6 AB101 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp37°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameJack Leiter HandR ERA5.17 HR/91.72
22	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	PIT	24.7%	82%	77.16	39.55	64.19	32.55	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR9 AB123 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp33°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.71 HR/90.79
23	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	LAD	25.5%	79%	86.93	52.64	46.25	33.12	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR10 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp46°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA1.50 HR/91.15
24	Ramón Laureano ▸	SD	CWS	27.6%	79%	65.56	57.33	71.00	45.58	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.392 Exit Velo89.3 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle12.5° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up23.0% Blast %12.3% EV50— season HR4 AB115 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp62°F Wind6 mph NW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA6.12 HR/91.44
25	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	STL	26.3%	82%	78.54	66.01	52.34	33.12	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR3 AB124 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp46°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameDustin May HandR ERA5.28 HR/90.88

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