ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	TB	38.0%	83%	80.33	70.42	54.40	47.56	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR16 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
2	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	MIL	37.9%	73%	78.54	66.01	56.50	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
3	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	LAD	32.5%	86%	77.14	61.11	40.63	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
4	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	CLE	37.9%	83%	62.87	66.71	61.58	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
5	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	MIL	27.4%	73%	60.89	66.01	65.33	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
6	William Contreras ▸	MIL	LAD	33.9%	86%	54.94	63.21	44.91	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR18 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
7	Will Smith ▸	LAD	MIL	31.2%	73%	50.79	66.01	64.26	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
8	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	CLE	27.4%	83%	51.31	64.61	62.01	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
9	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	MIL	34.0%	73%	81.72	52.64	47.92	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR4 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
10	Jonathan Aranda ▸	TB	CLE	25.9%	83%	58.80	48.44	62.57	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.362 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %10.2% Hard Hit %49.0% Launch Angle20.4° bat tracking Bat Speed70.4 mph Squared Up31.2% Blast %11.2% EV50— season HR22 AB580 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
11	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	LAD	22.9%	86%	76.73	32.55	56.79	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR26 AB477 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
12	Brice Turang ▸	MIL	LAD	23.6%	86%	68.92	34.65	46.96	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.394 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %10.3% Hard Hit %48.7% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up32.5% Blast %14.5% EV50— season HR21 AB582 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
13	José Ramírez ▸	CLE	TB	22.6%	83%	58.34	47.74	50.59	47.56	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %11.9% Hard Hit %40.7% Launch Angle29.3° bat tracking Bat Speed70.2 mph Squared Up25.9% Blast %10.1% EV50— season HR12 AB473 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
14	Junior Caminero ▸	TB	CLE	20.8%	83%	51.15	41.44	77.74	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.338 Exit Velo90.2 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %36.2% Launch Angle16.8° bat tracking Bat Speed80.2 mph Squared Up14.7% Blast %12.8% EV50— season HR42 AB616 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
15	Christian Yelich ▸	MIL	LAD	18.1%	86%	31.97	45.01	42.70	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.283 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %5.4% Hard Hit %40.5% Launch Angle-2.4° bat tracking Bat Speed72.4 mph Squared Up20.6% Blast %10.3% EV50— season HR12 AB442 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
16	Jo Adell ▸	CLE	TB	18.6%	83%	49.51	45.92	57.47	47.56	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %5.0% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle19.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.6 mph Squared Up22.5% Blast %9.4% EV50— season HR23 AB603 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
17	Brayan Rocchio ▸	CLE	TB	13.1%	83%	37.19	47.74	51.91	47.56	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.2 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %34.0% Launch Angle10.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up25.4% Blast %6.1% EV50— season HR15 AB534 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGriffin Jax HandR ERA3.53 HR/91.20
18	Jorge Mateo ▸	TB	CLE	11.0%	71%	0.00	50.61	54.52	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.000 Exit Velo0.0 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %0.0% Launch Angle0.0° bat tracking Bat Speed— Squared Up— Blast %— EV50— season HR5 AB207 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
19	Mookie Betts ▸	LAD	MIL	14.3%	73%	45.72	27.65	66.87	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo89.9 mph Barrel %8.3% Hard Hit %33.3% Launch Angle22.9° bat tracking Bat Speed69.1 mph Squared Up55.6% Blast %13.9% EV50— season HR23 AB478 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
20	Miguel Rojas ▸	LAD	MIL	10.6%	73%	44.98	27.65	49.29	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.346 Exit Velo90.0 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %43.5% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed68.7 mph Squared Up31.9% Blast %10.6% EV50— season HR4 AB225 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
21	David Hamilton ▸	MIL	LAD	9.2%	86%	22.32	31.85	34.76	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo84.2 mph Barrel %3.6% Hard Hit %25.0% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed68.2 mph Squared Up18.3% Blast %8.5% EV50— season HR4 AB339 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
22	Teoscar Hernández ▸	LAD	MIL	9.9%	73%	42.96	22.75	60.72	59.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.322 Exit Velo89.7 mph Barrel %11.1% Hard Hit %38.9% Launch Angle10.0° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up22.3% Blast %9.7% EV50— season HR16 AB442 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
23	Chandler Simpson ▸	TB	CLE	8.9%	83%	19.59	30.03	49.10	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.313 Exit Velo82.7 mph Barrel %0.0% Hard Hit %13.8% Launch Angle-1.5° bat tracking Bat Speed64.0 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %3.9% EV50— season HR0 AB571 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
24	Jonny DeLuca ▸	TB	CLE	7.8%	83%	34.28	21.35	58.44	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.301 Exit Velo89.2 mph Barrel %3.6% Hard Hit %28.6% Launch Angle11.7° bat tracking Bat Speed73.7 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR11 AB350 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp65°F Wind5 mph NE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.76 HR/91.37
25	Sal Frelick ▸	MIL	LAD	7.0%	86%	22.02	20.65	34.76	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.307 Exit Velo85.7 mph Barrel %2.4% Hard Hit %26.8% Launch Angle10.2° bat tracking Bat Speed67.8 mph Squared Up28.1% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR4 AB339 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85

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