ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	CWS	39.7%	82%	81.43	68.81	82.23	44.99	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR20 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp62°F Wind2 mph SW vs pitcher NameAnthony Kay HandL ERA4.34 HR/91.36
2	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	ARI	33.7%	82%	79.50	73.01	57.09	57.71	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR17 AB262 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp92°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameEduardo Rodriguez HandL ERA2.55 HR/90.89
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	MIA	41.2%	82%	80.15	70.42	75.46	45.26	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR25 AB265 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp62°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameSandy Alcantara HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.11
4	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	TOR	33.5%	82%	73.14	70.21	97.74	41.79	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR16 AB241 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp57°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Scherzer HandR ERA10.23 HR/93.68
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	KC	42.4%	76%	80.28	73.01	83.25	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR20 AB281 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.13
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	BOS	32.8%	79%	78.75	69.72	41.22	50.00	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR3 AB250 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp57°F Wind1 mph S vs pitcher NameJake Bennett HandL ERA5.28 HR/90.59
7	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	DET	39.4%	79%	80.04	70.42	55.00	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR24 AB270 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.27 HR/90.38
8	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SF	37.0%	82%	67.51	66.01	93.00	50.41	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR20 AB278 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA5.54 HR/91.52
9	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	KC	35.4%	76%	75.85	70.91	72.44	52.80	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR14 AB267 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp72°F Wind5 mph SW vs pitcher NameLuinder Avila HandR ERA6.19 HR/91.13
10	Luke Raley ▸	SEA	BAL	30.1%	82%	77.62	73.01	80.58	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %53.1% Launch Angle12.1° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up17.6% Blast %12.7% EV50— season HR14 AB191 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp54°F Wind2 mph N vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA4.30 HR/91.35
11	Nick Kurtz ▸	ATH	PIT	29.6%	82%	68.76	66.01	61.38	43.86	45.45	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo97.9 mph Barrel %14.3% Hard Hit %60.7% Launch Angle15.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.9 mph Squared Up18.0% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR18 AB260 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkSutter Health Park HR Factor1.05 Temp61°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameBraxton Ashcraft HandR ERA3.30 HR/90.85
12	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CLE	29.1%	82%	77.14	61.11	52.31	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR5 AB190 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp54°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.32 HR/91.35
13	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	HOU	34.5%	79%	79.48	70.42	60.26	56.59	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR16 AB243 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.47 HR/90.79
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIL	28.2%	82%	80.33	70.42	76.90	39.49	23.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR7 AB240 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp54°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameBrandon Sproat HandR ERA5.70 HR/91.80
15	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	DET	28.8%	79%	76.01	63.91	31.63	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR7 AB247 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.27 HR/90.38
16	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	PHI	33.9%	82%	67.49	66.01	70.14	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR5 AB290 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp62°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameAndrew Painter HandR ERA6.43 HR/91.71
17	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SF	34.9%	82%	71.51	52.64	92.35	50.41	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR13 AB188 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp69°F Wind3 mph W vs pitcher NameAdrian Houser HandR ERA5.54 HR/91.52
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	LAA	27.1%	76%	67.64	61.53	39.23	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR12 AB260 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp92°F Wind4 mph W vs pitcher NameSam Aldegheri HandL ERA2.12 HR/90.53
19	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	DET	31.5%	79%	67.52	61.11	51.09	50.00	36.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR18 AB277 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NameCasey Mize HandR ERA2.27 HR/90.38
20	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	LAD	25.7%	82%	62.87	66.71	42.10	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR12 AB259 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp61°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameShohei Ohtani HandR ERA1.06 HR/90.40
21	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	NYM	29.0%	82%	77.16	39.55	58.62	43.41	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR14 AB270 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp60°F Wind1 mph SE vs pitcher NameNolan McLean HandR ERA4.01 HR/90.94
22	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	STL	30.8%	82%	69.71	63.91	51.73	46.70	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR2 AB273 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp64°F Wind7 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Leahy HandR ERA4.64 HR/91.27
23	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	TB	24.1%	82%	78.54	66.01	43.01	44.39	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR11 AB268 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp61°F Wind3 mph S vs pitcher NameShane McClanahan HandL ERA3.23 HR/90.42
24	Colt Keith ▸	DET	HOU	23.5%	79%	66.09	66.01	35.26	56.59	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.355 Exit Velo93.9 mph Barrel %9.8% Hard Hit %56.1% Launch Angle13.7° bat tracking Bat Speed72.7 mph Squared Up38.1% Blast %21.4% EV50— season HR4 AB195 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.47 HR/90.79
25	Kevin McGonigle ▸	DET	HOU	28.3%	79%	61.53	66.01	36.11	56.59	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.411 Exit Velo88.1 mph Barrel %9.4% Hard Hit %37.7% Launch Angle19.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up33.7% Blast %11.5% EV50— season HR5 AB262 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind5 mph E vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.47 HR/90.79

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