ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	SD	40.5%	82%	81.43	68.81	66.06	55.78	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR36 AB509 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp75°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.11 HR/91.00
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	SD	34.8%	82%	51.89	54.11	60.75	55.78	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR28 AB458 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp75°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameMichael King HandR ERA3.11 HR/91.00
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	ATL	43.4%	82%	80.15	70.42	78.21	46.48	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR41 AB508 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp64°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA4.25 HR/91.22
4	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	MIL	41.2%	82%	74.52	59.01	68.73	51.60	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR22 AB486 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp70°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.45 HR/91.60
5	James Wood ▸	WSH	LAD	33.2%	79%	80.28	73.01	77.54	53.70	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR30 AB450 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind0 mph E vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.40
6	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	LAD	31.6%	79%	75.85	70.91	70.18	53.70	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR29 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp73°F Wind0 mph E vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA3.65 HR/91.40
7	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	MIN	31.6%	82%	72.67	63.21	84.16	53.24	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR30 AB384 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameBailey Ober HandR ERA4.37 HR/91.43
8	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	PIT	30.6%	82%	79.50	73.01	55.94	44.45	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR20 AB448 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp60°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NamePaul Skenes HandR ERA3.97 HR/90.90
9	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	PHI	36.0%	82%	67.51	66.01	94.14	46.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR37 AB551 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.95
10	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	CIN	32.2%	82%	77.14	61.11	68.06	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR9 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp70°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameBrady Singer HandR ERA4.83 HR/91.65
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	PHI	32.9%	82%	68.10	63.21	83.90	46.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR24 AB515 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.95
12	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	COL	28.3%	79%	86.93	52.64	86.32	48.89	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR28 AB545 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp66°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73
13	Ildemaro Vargas ▸	ARI	HOU	25.9%	79%	61.77	66.01	41.61	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.409 Exit Velo86.4 mph Barrel %8.6% Hard Hit %37.1% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up38.6% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR9 AB415 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.66 HR/90.88
14	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	MIL	32.7%	82%	77.16	39.55	75.65	51.60	63.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR31 AB545 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp70°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameKyle Harrison HandL ERA3.45 HR/91.60
15	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	HOU	29.7%	79%	67.64	61.53	49.12	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR19 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp82°F Wind3 mph N vs pitcher NamePeter Lambert HandR ERA3.66 HR/90.88
16	Trevor Larnach ▸	MIN	CWS	27.4%	82%	64.66	61.53	36.73	53.24	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.407 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed70.5 mph Squared Up32.7% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR11 AB367 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTarget Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind3 mph NE vs pitcher NameBryan Hudson HandL ERA3.03 HR/90.61
17	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	NYY	26.7%	82%	69.71	63.91	52.24	55.78	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR19 AB550 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp75°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameGerrit Cole HandR ERA3.29 HR/91.13
18	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	TEX	26.5%	82%	62.87	66.71	57.83	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR21 AB543 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp80°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMacKenzie Gore HandL ERA4.31 HR/91.05
19	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	WSH	26.4%	79%	78.54	66.01	38.65	53.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB514 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp73°F Wind0 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.47 HR/90.50
20	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	PHI	33.0%	82%	71.51	52.64	84.54	46.48	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR22 AB469 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp64°F Wind5 mph N vs pitcher NameAaron Nola HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.95
21	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CLE	26.9%	82%	79.48	70.42	73.25	42.36	7.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR26 AB498 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp58°F Wind0 mph N vs pitcher NameGavin Williams HandR ERA3.81 HR/91.49
22	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	WSH	24.1%	79%	64.69	63.91	53.44	53.70	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR26 AB421 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp73°F Wind0 mph E vs pitcher NameAndrew Alvarez HandL ERA3.47 HR/90.50
23	Ian Happ ▸	CHC	MIA	25.6%	79%	56.81	45.92	56.53	57.03	47.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.330 Exit Velo90.9 mph Barrel %18.4% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle9.8° bat tracking Bat Speed72.1 mph Squared Up19.6% Blast %14.0% EV50— season HR23 AB569 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkWrigley Field HR Factor1.06 Temp77°F Wind6 mph N vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.43 HR/91.14
24	Dominic Canzone ▸	SEA	ATH	23.4%	82%	73.45	59.01	67.21	50.00	16.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.386 Exit Velo94.1 mph Barrel %13.8% Hard Hit %48.3% Launch Angle27.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.6 mph Squared Up32.3% Blast %17.7% EV50— season HR21 AB401 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkT-Mobile Park HR Factor0.89 Temp55°F Wind3 mph SE vs pitcher NameGage Jump HandL ERA5.15 HR/90.97
25	Alec Burleson ▸	STL	COL	22.9%	79%	77.15	43.75	79.85	48.89	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.422 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %12.1% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle12.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.2% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR21 AB542 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp66°F Wind7 mph N vs pitcher NameTanner Gordon HandR ERA5.18 HR/91.73

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