ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	TB	53.9%	86%	81.43	68.81	68.41	46.73	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR41 AB573 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.10 HR/91.10
2	Luis García Jr. ▸	NYY	TB	43.0%	86%	51.89	54.11	62.59	46.73	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.333 Exit Velo90.8 mph Barrel %8.5% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.5° bat tracking Bat Speed73.4 mph Squared Up27.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR30 AB516 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.10 HR/91.10
3	Ronald Acuña Jr. ▸	ATL	LAD	44.2%	83%	69.74	70.21	54.32	54.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.405 Exit Velo88.0 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %43.6% Launch Angle15.0° bat tracking Bat Speed75.5 mph Squared Up21.4% Blast %13.7% EV50— season HR20 AB408 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
4	Munetaka Murakami ▸	CWS	CLE	41.7%	80%	72.67	63.21	90.89	53.58	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %21.2% Hard Hit %57.6% Launch Angle13.3° bat tracking Bat Speed74.1 mph Squared Up24.5% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR35 AB454 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGuaranteed Rate Field HR Factor1.02 Temp73°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameDaniel Espino HandR ERA4.11 HR/91.76
5	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	LAD	40.6%	83%	67.51	66.01	61.79	54.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR41 AB625 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
6	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	CWS	38.8%	83%	80.33	70.42	36.96	53.58	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR16 AB495 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp73°F Wind5 mph W vs pitcher NameSean Newcomb HandL ERA3.09 HR/90.40
7	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	LAD	42.1%	83%	68.10	63.21	51.55	54.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR26 AB591 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
8	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	SD	30.2%	86%	77.14	61.11	58.04	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR11 AB461 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp88°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.63 HR/91.29
9	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	TB	41.0%	86%	67.25	36.75	54.05	46.73	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR18 AB418 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.10 HR/91.10
10	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	MIL	40.5%	73%	69.71	63.91	62.32	60.87	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR25 AB626 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp88°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
11	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	ATL	37.6%	83%	78.54	66.01	55.02	54.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR16 AB579 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.21
12	William Contreras ▸	MIL	SD	35.1%	86%	54.94	63.21	62.33	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.357 Exit Velo91.8 mph Barrel %4.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle18.4° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up28.6% Blast %12.2% EV50— season HR18 AB566 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp88°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.63 HR/91.29
13	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	LAD	31.5%	83%	71.51	52.64	51.89	54.98	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR25 AB549 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Glasnow HandR ERA3.53 HR/90.85
14	Yandy Díaz ▸	TB	NYY	36.0%	86%	62.87	66.71	38.05	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.365 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %7.3% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle5.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up30.7% Blast %20.8% EV50— season HR22 AB614 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.80 HR/90.32
15	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	ATL	29.0%	83%	64.69	63.91	70.77	54.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR29 AB488 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.21
16	Andy Pages ▸	LAD	ATL	24.5%	83%	60.89	66.01	63.85	54.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %8.9% Hard Hit %55.6% Launch Angle19.3° bat tracking Bat Speed72.9 mph Squared Up20.8% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR23 AB511 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.21
17	Cody Bellinger ▸	NYY	TB	31.3%	86%	35.43	40.74	49.35	46.73	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.323 Exit Velo87.0 mph Barrel %7.8% Hard Hit %39.2% Launch Angle22.2° bat tracking Bat Speed69.8 mph Squared Up30.1% Blast %6.8% EV50— season HR17 AB496 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.10 HR/91.10
18	Richie Palacios ▸	TB	NYY	25.5%	86%	71.61	61.53	36.31	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.419 Exit Velo91.5 mph Barrel %12.5% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle17.0° bat tracking Bat Speed69.3 mph Squared Up29.4% Blast %14.7% EV50— season HR10 AB345 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.80 HR/90.32
19	Austin Wells ▸	NYY	TB	26.8%	86%	56.02	27.65	52.81	46.73	92.73	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.325 Exit Velo93.5 mph Barrel %9.1% Hard Hit %54.5% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed73.5 mph Squared Up26.4% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR14 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameNick Martinez HandR ERA3.10 HR/91.10
20	Will Smith ▸	LAD	ATL	30.7%	83%	50.79	66.01	62.78	54.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.376 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %36.6% Launch Angle17.7° bat tracking Bat Speed69.0 mph Squared Up26.6% Blast %9.6% EV50— season HR10 AB235 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.21
21	Liam Hicks ▸	TB	NYY	25.9%	86%	51.31	64.61	39.23	50.00	27.27	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.368 Exit Velo88.8 mph Barrel %6.1% Hard Hit %38.8% Launch Angle8.2° bat tracking Bat Speed68.1 mph Squared Up46.1% Blast %15.8% EV50— season HR18 AB479 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTropicana Field HR Factor0.95 Temp64°F Wind6 mph S vs pitcher NameMax Fried HandL ERA2.80 HR/90.32
22	Shohei Ohtani ▸	LAD	ATL	28.2%	83%	81.72	52.64	46.44	54.98	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.414 Exit Velo94.0 mph Barrel %23.9% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle14.7° bat tracking Bat Speed74.5 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %13.5% EV50— season HR4 AB305 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp75°F Wind2 mph E vs pitcher NameTyler Mahle HandR ERA3.99 HR/91.21
23	Jackson Merrill ▸	SD	MIL	27.4%	73%	54.44	48.44	63.90	60.87	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.352 Exit Velo88.5 mph Barrel %13.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed73.3 mph Squared Up19.1% Blast %11.0% EV50— season HR26 AB613 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp88°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
24	Xander Bogaerts ▸	SD	MIL	22.6%	73%	55.47	48.44	55.28	60.87	21.82	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.374 Exit Velo89.5 mph Barrel %7.0% Hard Hit %40.4% Launch Angle11.1° bat tracking Bat Speed71.4 mph Squared Up30.8% Blast %13.2% EV50— season HR13 AB520 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp88°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameTBD HandR ERA4.20 HR/91.15
25	Jake Bauers ▸	MIL	SD	23.0%	86%	76.73	32.55	74.20	50.00	40.00	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.384 Exit Velo93.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %56.4% Launch Angle7.7° bat tracking Bat Speed76.1 mph Squared Up28.4% Blast %18.2% EV50— season HR26 AB477 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp88°F Wind7 mph NW vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA4.63 HR/91.29

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