ballKnower9001 — HR Predictions

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ADVANCED MLB HOME RUN PREDICTION SYSTEM

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#	Player	Team	Opp	Prob %	Conf	Statcast	Form	Matchup	Weather	Park	Lineup
1	Ben Rice ▸	NYY	PIT	45.5%	86%	81.43	68.81	74.49	58.30	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.467 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %23.3% Hard Hit %70.0% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed71.9 mph Squared Up26.9% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR29 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.77 HR/90.95
2	Elly De La Cruz ▸	CIN	SEA	39.9%	86%	74.52	59.01	72.09	62.39	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.388 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %15.2% Hard Hit %52.2% Launch Angle13.1° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up24.6% Blast %16.7% EV50— season HR16 AB319 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.23
3	Kyle Schwarber ▸	PHI	LAD	48.9%	86%	80.15	70.42	56.61	60.66	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo93.6 mph Barrel %27.3% Hard Hit %51.5% Launch Angle27.7° bat tracking Bat Speed75.9 mph Squared Up18.6% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR33 AB363 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkCitizens Bank Park HR Factor1.05 Temp83°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameJustin Wrobleski HandL ERA2.69 HR/90.72
4	Mike Trout ▸	LAA	STL	39.6%	86%	79.50	73.01	85.92	61.56	30.91	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.481 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %28.3% Hard Hit %45.7% Launch Angle22.6° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.4% Blast %16.4% EV50— season HR18 AB297 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAngel Stadium HR Factor0.97 Temp87°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameMatthew Liberatore HandL ERA5.00 HR/91.63
5	Willson Contreras ▸	BOS	BAL	38.9%	86%	73.14	70.21	67.26	55.39	49.09	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.415 Exit Velo91.1 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %42.1% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed75.8 mph Squared Up18.5% Blast %13.0% EV50— season HR22 AB325 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkFenway Park HR Factor1.07 Temp75°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameKyle Bradish HandR ERA3.61 HR/91.01
6	James Wood ▸	WSH	COL	37.6%	86%	80.28	73.01	87.50	54.74	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.401 Exit Velo94.7 mph Barrel %23.8% Hard Hit %59.5% Launch Angle3.3° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up19.7% Blast %15.4% EV50— season HR28 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp95°F Wind19 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.22 HR/91.30
7	Matt Olson ▸	ATL	SD	37.0%	86%	67.51	66.01	82.77	60.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo92.5 mph Barrel %18.8% Hard Hit %45.8% Launch Angle13.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.7 mph Squared Up21.9% Blast %14.6% EV50— season HR26 AB386 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.36 HR/91.21
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ▸	TOR	TB	44.7%	86%	78.75	69.72	42.35	50.00	45.45	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.413 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %15.4% Hard Hit %48.1% Launch Angle2.3° bat tracking Bat Speed75.6 mph Squared Up27.8% Blast %18.5% EV50— season HR6 AB351 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkRogers Centre HR Factor1.05 Temp73°F Wind13 mph W vs pitcher NameDrew Rasmussen HandR ERA3.26 HR/91.09
9	Yordan Alvarez ▸	HOU	MIA	36.3%	86%	80.04	70.42	67.22	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.529 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %19.2% Hard Hit %46.2% Launch Angle24.6° bat tracking Bat Speed74.9 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %17.8% EV50— season HR33 AB364 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp95°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.48 HR/90.96
10	CJ Abrams ▸	WSH	COL	36.0%	86%	75.85	70.91	82.03	54.74	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.432 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %14.0% Hard Hit %50.0% Launch Angle16.6° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up29.1% Blast %17.5% EV50— season HR22 AB363 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkNationals Park HR Factor0.95 Temp95°F Wind19 mph SE vs pitcher NameMichael Lorenzen HandR ERA6.22 HR/91.30
11	Michael Harris II ▸	ATL	SD	35.7%	86%	68.10	63.21	73.82	60.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %15.6% Hard Hit %46.7% Launch Angle5.4° bat tracking Bat Speed74.8 mph Squared Up24.3% Blast %12.6% EV50— season HR18 AB352 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.36 HR/91.21
12	Trent Grisham ▸	NYY	PIT	35.5%	86%	67.25	36.75	57.82	58.30	92.73	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.379 Exit Velo92.1 mph Barrel %12.8% Hard Hit %64.1% Launch Angle15.1° bat tracking Bat Speed69.5 mph Squared Up35.1% Blast %22.1% EV50— season HR11 AB274 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkYankee Stadium HR Factor1.31 Temp80°F Wind9 mph S vs pitcher NameBubba Chandler HandR ERA4.77 HR/90.95
13	Sal Stewart ▸	CIN	SEA	33.9%	86%	77.16	39.55	73.84	62.39	63.64	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.442 Exit Velo93.4 mph Barrel %21.3% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.7 mph Squared Up23.5% Blast %13.4% EV50— season HR20 AB379 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkGreat American Ball Park HR Factor1.15 Temp86°F Wind9 mph N vs pitcher NameLuis Castillo HandR ERA4.93 HR/91.23
14	Chase DeLauter ▸	CLE	MIN	39.5%	77%	80.33	70.42	37.65	55.68	23.64	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.418 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %17.8% Hard Hit %51.1% Launch Angle13.2° bat tracking Bat Speed72.0 mph Squared Up34.0% Blast %17.0% EV50— season HR11 AB315 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkProgressive Field HR Factor0.93 Temp76°F Wind11 mph W vs pitcher NameKendry Rojas HandL ERA2.79 HR/90.47
15	Jordan Walker ▸	STL	LAA	33.0%	86%	86.93	52.64	50.95	61.56	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.476 Exit Velo95.8 mph Barrel %24.4% Hard Hit %62.2% Launch Angle14.1° bat tracking Bat Speed78.1 mph Squared Up23.9% Blast %19.5% EV50— season HR22 AB373 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkBusch Stadium HR Factor1.00 Temp87°F Wind13 mph SW vs pitcher NameWalbert Ureña HandR ERA2.88 HR/90.55
16	Drake Baldwin ▸	ATL	SD	32.5%	86%	71.51	52.64	78.42	60.41	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.406 Exit Velo89.4 mph Barrel %16.4% Hard Hit %42.6% Launch Angle11.9° bat tracking Bat Speed75.0 mph Squared Up25.5% Blast %13.8% EV50— season HR18 AB297 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkTruist Park HR Factor1.02 Temp87°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameWalker Buehler HandR ERA5.36 HR/91.21
17	Dillon Dingler ▸	DET	CHC	32.4%	86%	79.48	70.42	73.91	57.46	7.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.428 Exit Velo92.8 mph Barrel %15.8% Hard Hit %57.9% Launch Angle7.4° bat tracking Bat Speed71.5 mph Squared Up31.4% Blast %15.1% EV50— season HR21 AB340 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkComerica Park HR Factor0.84 Temp77°F Wind14 mph NW vs pitcher NameDavid Peterson HandL ERA6.45 HR/90.98
18	Corbin Carroll ▸	ARI	ATH	32.3%	86%	67.64	61.53	77.07	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.403 Exit Velo91.9 mph Barrel %12.2% Hard Hit %43.9% Launch Angle6.4° bat tracking Bat Speed75.2 mph Squared Up22.2% Blast %10.2% EV50— season HR14 AB356 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkChase Field HR Factor1.02 Temp99°F Wind10 mph W vs pitcher NameJack Perkins HandR ERA6.87 HR/91.56
19	Cam Smith ▸	HOU	MIA	32.3%	86%	76.01	63.91	49.38	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.393 Exit Velo90.7 mph Barrel %17.0% Hard Hit %53.2% Launch Angle9.1° bat tracking Bat Speed77.9 mph Squared Up20.3% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR12 AB334 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp95°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.48 HR/90.96
20	Freddie Freeman ▸	LAD	PHI	37.4%	86%	78.54	66.01	46.13	60.66	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.416 Exit Velo92.7 mph Barrel %16.7% Hard Hit %51.7% Launch Angle15.8° bat tracking Bat Speed70.9 mph Squared Up36.6% Blast %16.8% EV50— season HR15 AB369 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.13 HR/90.97
21	Garrett Mitchell ▸	MIL	NYM	31.2%	83%	77.14	61.11	32.35	50.00	40.00	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.387 Exit Velo96.8 mph Barrel %19.0% Hard Hit %61.9% Launch Angle8.9° bat tracking Bat Speed76.2 mph Squared Up18.2% Blast %14.3% EV50— season HR8 AB286 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkAmerican Family Field HR Factor1.02 Temp79°F Wind13 mph NW vs pitcher NameZac Thornton HandL ERA2.60 HR/90.52
22	Otto Lopez ▸	MIA	HOU	30.7%	86%	67.49	66.01	70.07	50.00	27.27	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.366 Exit Velo93.0 mph Barrel %13.2% Hard Hit %54.7% Launch Angle8.1° bat tracking Bat Speed72.5 mph Squared Up29.8% Blast %18.3% EV50— season HR9 AB388 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkloanDepot park HR Factor0.95 Temp95°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameTatsuya Imai HandR ERA6.06 HR/91.56
23	Fernando Tatis Jr. ▸	SD	ATL	30.6%	86%	69.71	63.91	44.99	60.41	21.82	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.360 Exit Velo95.2 mph Barrel %13.7% Hard Hit %72.5% Launch Angle4.8° bat tracking Bat Speed74.2 mph Squared Up31.1% Blast %21.3% EV50— season HR7 AB387 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkPetco Park HR Factor0.92 Temp87°F Wind10 mph S vs pitcher NameReynaldo López HandR ERA3.50 HR/91.17
24	Christian Walker ▸	HOU	MIA	30.3%	86%	67.52	61.11	59.67	50.00	36.36	Probable
statcast xwOBA0.375 Exit Velo90.5 mph Barrel %15.1% Hard Hit %49.1% Launch Angle14.9° bat tracking Bat Speed74.3 mph Squared Up27.7% Blast %16.1% EV50— season HR20 AB365 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkDaikin Park HR Factor1.00 Temp95°F Wind7 mph W vs pitcher NameTyler Phillips HandR ERA3.48 HR/90.96
25	Max Muncy ▸	LAD	PHI	32.7%	86%	64.69	63.91	55.05	60.66	16.36	Confirmed
statcast xwOBA0.378 Exit Velo92.6 mph Barrel %17.6% Hard Hit %55.9% Launch Angle14.5° bat tracking Bat Speed71.6 mph Squared Up21.8% Blast %7.9% EV50— season HR18 AB304 OPS0.000 ISO0.000 environment BallparkUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium HR Factor0.89 Temp83°F Wind5 mph S vs pitcher NameZack Wheeler HandR ERA2.13 HR/90.97

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